Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

The Week that Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - The Wheels of Business, Thai Bev, and Hospitals

Stocks/ Retirement/ US-China/ Diplomacy/ Ponzi

Dollar Asia Oversold with Turn Risk Signals

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM

Dollar, Euro & Sterling in Focus, Asian Currencies Under the Radar Screen

PBoC Likely to Keep Renminbi on Tight Leash

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

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<li>
Capital outflows (largely ‘safe’ assets) major risk for US dollar</li>
<li>
Asian currencies appear to be targeted by policy-makers</li>
<li>
Euro (and gold bullion) main beneficiaries of weaker US dollar</li>
<li>
5-10% US dollar depreciation, but Euro testing US$1.30-1.40/€</li>
</ul>



Capital outflows (largely ‘safe’ assets) major risk for US dollar

Asian currencies appear to be targeted by policy-makers

Euro (and gold bullion) main beneficiaries of weaker US dollar

5-10% US dollar depreciation, but Euro testing US$1.30-1.40/€


2021 Outlook: Will The Dollar’s Long-Term Devaluation Continue?