Earnings Alerts

Disappointing Earnings: Cathay Pacific Airways (293) Misses Key Estimates in FY Report

  • Cathay Pacific’s available tonne kilometers for the fiscal year is 21.23 billion, falling short of the estimated 22.08 billion.
  • The passenger yield stands at 76.3 HK cents.
  • Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK) is reported to be 73.34 billion, which is lower than the estimated 78.69 billion.
  • Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) is 85.61 billion, again missing the estimated 89.98 billion.
  • The available cargo tonne kilometers is 13.07 billion, slightly less than the estimated 13.18 billion.
  • The passenger load factor is 85.7%, which is lower than the estimated 87%.
  • The cargo load factor is also lower than expected at 62%, compared to the estimated 63.4%.
  • In terms of stock performance, there have been 13 buys, with no holds or sells recorded.

Cathay Pacific Airways on Smartkarma

Cathay Pacific Airways has been receiving a lot of attention from independent analysts on Smartkarma, a platform where top analysts publish their research on companies. One recent report by Neil Glynn, titled “Cathay Pacific – Reported Air China Interest Prompts Assessment of Structural Disadvantages,” takes a critical look at the airline’s historical margin challenges and compares them to other global airlines. The report suggests that Cathay Pacific may be at a disadvantage due to its higher costs and lack of joint ventures or mergers. On the other hand, Osbert Tang, CFA, has a more positive outlook in their report titled “Cathay Pacific (293 HK): Taking off with Momentum.” Tang predicts that Cathay Pacific will exceed market expectations with strong traffic and improved yield, leading to further growth in the future.

In another report by Neil Glynn, “Cathay Pacific – Strong Pax Momentum Suggests 2024 Can Outperform Expectations,” the analyst analyzes the airline’s 2024 earnings prospects and believes that expectations for that year are too low. They point to the success of other North Asian airlines and their unit passenger revenue momentum as a positive indicator for Cathay Pacific’s future. Finally, Mohshin Aziz‘s report, “Cathay Pacific (293 HK, BUY, TP HK$9.90): Inputs from Analyst Briefing,” highlights the airline’s recent analyst briefing, where management discussed solid passenger demand, improving cargo operations, and manageable costs. Aziz predicts strong profits for the near future and recommends Cathay Pacific as a “value BUY” with a target price of HK$9.90.


A look at Cathay Pacific Airways Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value3
Dividend1
Growth5
Resilience2
Momentum5
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.2

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited, one of the leading airlines in the world, has a positive long-term outlook according to the Smartkarma Smart Scores. These scores, ranging from 1 to 5, indicate the company’s overall performance in various factors. While the company scores a 3 in value and a 1 in dividend, it excels in growth and momentum with a score of 5 for both. This shows that Cathay Pacific Airways is focused on expanding and continuously improving its performance for the future.

As a company that operates scheduled airline services, Cathay Pacific Airways is also involved in providing other related services such as airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering. With a resilience score of 2, the company has shown its ability to weather challenges and adapt to changes in the industry. This, coupled with its strong growth and momentum scores, positions Cathay Pacific Airways as a promising player in the aviation industry for the long term.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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