Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>• 3Q23 sales of 1,043 boe/d was above our expectations of 987 boe/d. • In addition, ten Harms East Federal / Quale Federal wells are expected to come online in December or January. • 3Q23 operating income was US$4.3 mm, compared to US$4.2 mm in 2Q23.</li></ul>

• 3Q23 sales of 1,043 boe/d was above our expectations of 987 boe/d. • In addition, ten Harms East Federal / Quale Federal wells are expected to come online in December or January. • 3Q23 operating income was US$4.3 mm, compared to US$4.2 mm in 2Q23.

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): High sales in 3Q23

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN) C ; Target price C$0.35 per share: Encouraging drilling results. Decreasing opex – Production to date in October is 950 bbl/d, the same level as reported on 24 September.</li>
<li>The MGH-43 well has encountered 41 m of prospective gross sand intervals with good to excellent oil shows in the main TAF target that will now be perforated.</li>
<li>Due to unstable hole conditions in MGH-43, Criterium was unable to conduct pressure testing and resistivity calculations on the zones of interest and therefore could not determine the estimated productivity rates. </li>
</ul>


Criterium Energy (CEQ CN) C ; Target price C$0.35 per share: Encouraging drilling results. Decreasing opex – Production to date in October is 950 bbl/d, the same level as reported on 24 September.
The MGH-43 well has encountered 41 m of prospective gross sand intervals with good to excellent oil shows in the main TAF target that will now be perforated.
Due to unstable hole conditions in MGH-43, Criterium was unable to conduct pressure testing and resistivity calculations on the zones of interest and therefore could not determine the estimated productivity rates. 


<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$26 per share: Downtime and blockades continue to impact production.</li>
<li>All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d).</li>
<li>Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$26 per share: Downtime and blockades continue to impact production.
All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d).
Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline.


<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Another horizontal well with high flow rate – The fourth horizontal well at Carrizales Notre (CNB HZ-5) has been put on production at a gross oil rate of 2.7 mbbl/d (1.35 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 11%.</li>
<li>This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of &gt;2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).</li>
<li>Overall gross oil production from the three other horizontal wells is ~5.62 mbbl/d (~2.8 mbbl/d net to Arrow) including 2.1 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-4, 1.9 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-3 and 1.6 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-1.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Another horizontal well with high flow rate – The fourth horizontal well at Carrizales Notre (CNB HZ-5) has been put on production at a gross oil rate of 2.7 mbbl/d (1.35 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 11%.
This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of &gt;2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).
Overall gross oil production from the three other horizontal wells is ~5.62 mbbl/d (~2.8 mbbl/d net to Arrow) including 2.1 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-4, 1.9 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-3 and 1.6 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-1.


<ul>
<li>Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price C$5.80 per share: Initiating coverage – Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.</li>
<li>Condor was transformed in 2024 by the acquisition of &gt;10 mboe/d production of natural gas in Uzbekistan.</li>
<li>The key value driver for the shares is the imminent sanction of Condor’s 1st liquefaction plant in Kazakhstan to convert low-cost natural gas into high value LNG to displace expensive diesel for rail and mining haul truck transportation.</li>
</ul>


Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price C$5.80 per share: Initiating coverage – Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.
Condor was transformed in 2024 by the acquisition of &gt;10 mboe/d production of natural gas in Uzbekistan.
The key value driver for the shares is the imminent sanction of Condor’s 1st liquefaction plant in Kazakhstan to convert low-cost natural gas into high value LNG to displace expensive diesel for rail and mining haul truck transportation.


United Kingdom

Zephyr Energy plc operates as a technology-led exploration and production company. The Company focuses on the delivery of economic returns from developed oil and gas projects in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States.

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Zephyr Energy (ZPHR LN)

Zephyr Energy Plc (AIM: ZPHR): High sales in 3Q23

• 3Q23 sales of 1,043 boe/d was above our expectations of 987 boe/d. • In addition, ten Harms East Federal / Quale Federal wells are expected to...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/10/2024

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN) C: Encouraging drilling results. Decreasing opex – Production to date in October is 950 bbl/d, the same level as...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/10/2024

All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/09/2024

This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of >2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/09/2024

Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.

Auctus Advisors

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