Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

In this note, we highlight the widening performance gap between commodities and EM currencies along with going over the reasons behind it and the timing when it can start reversing.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we highlight the widening performance gap between commodities and EM currencies along with going over the reasons behind it and the timing when it can start reversing.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM currency market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: Divergence Between Commodities and EM Currencies Grows

In this note, we discuss the rise in volatility for Latin American currencies especially relative to their carry. The low carry relative to the volatility puts the accommodative monetary policies in Peru and Colombia at risk in our view.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we discuss the rise in volatility for Latin American currencies especially relative to their carry. The low carry relative to the volatility puts the accommodative monetary policies in Peru and Colombia at risk in our view.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: High Volatility Relative to Carry Weighing on LatAm Currencies

In this note, we discuss the underperformance of the Colombian peso due to fiscal concerns potentially leading to a risk of credit rating downgrades. It may become a buying opportunity once one of the rating agencies downgrades the country.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we discuss the underperformance of the Colombian peso due to fiscal concerns potentially leading to a risk of credit rating downgrades. It may become a buying opportunity once one of the rating agencies downgrades the country.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM currency market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among currencies by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other currencies based on their respective betas to the broad market.

FX Dashboard: Monitor Colombian Peso for an Entry Point

This is the third edition of our monthly trade ideas recap note in which we list our current trade recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12 trade recommendations so far, of which 8 are in the money.

This is the third edition of our monthly trade ideas recap note in which we list our current trade recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12 trade recommendations so far, of which 8 are in the money.

Alpha Bites: Monthly Trade Ideas Recap (May 2021)

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

USD shows lead lows versus IDR, THB and INR that are trending higher already ahead of the likes of the SGD and KRW. USD/ZAR is making a macro low near 14 that has our attention and will see the EM complex follow this lead.DXY staged an impressive reversal Friday off of the 90.40 buy support (trendline and price) but our attention is centered around more bullish macro signals unfolding in the weekly cycle.A dollar low align nicely with our call for an SPX top near wedge line resistance. Short have been recommended in EEM and EWZ on the back of a USD low and rally cycle.

USD shows lead lows versus IDR, THB and INR that are trending higher already ahead of the likes of the SGD and KRW. USD/ZAR is making a macro low near 14 that has our attention and will see the EM complex follow this lead.DXY staged an impressive reversal Friday off of the 90.40 buy support (trendline and price) but our attention is centered around more bullish macro signals unfolding in the weekly cycle.A dollar low align nicely with our call for an SPX top near wedge line resistance. Short have been recommended in EEM and EWZ on the back of a USD low and rally cycle.

South Africa

The South African rand is the official currency of The Republic of South Africa.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ZAR (USDZAR CURNCY)

FX Dashboard: Divergence Between Commodities and EM Currencies Grows

In this note, we highlight the widening performance gap between commodities and EM currencies along with going over the reasons behind it and the...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: High Volatility Relative to Carry Weighing on LatAm Currencies

The volatility of LatAm currencies has risen especially relative to their carry. The low carry relative to the volatility puts the accommodative...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX Dashboard: Monitor Colombian Peso for an Entry Point

We discuss the underperformance of the Colombian peso due to the risk of credit rating downgrades. It may become a buying opportunity once one of...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Alpha Bites: Monthly Trade Ideas Recap (May 2021)

In our monthly trade ideas recap note, we list our current recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

USD Low Ties in with Risk Peak

DXY staged an impressive reversal Friday off of the 90.40 buy support (trendline and price) but our attention is centered around more bullish macro...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)