Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in June 2024.</li>
<li>Based on the current data, I see two low-conviction ADDs and two low-conviction DELs.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI serves as a benchmark to reflect the overall performance of the top 50 "Mainland China" securities listed in Hong Kong.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSCEI index rebal event in June 2024.
Based on the current data, I see two low-conviction ADDs and two low-conviction DELs.


Quiddity HSCEI Jun 24 Flow Expectations: Many Reasons to Follow the Developments Closely

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.</li>
<li>Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


During 1Q2024, the 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +8.7%y/y, down slightly from the +10.1% reported during 4Q2023.
Only 47% of companies delivered positive EPS surprises, and only 44% delivered positive Sales surprises, a sharp correction from the positive trend witnessed during 2023.
Historically, there has been a significant difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes.  In this note, we provide our initial thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes.  In this note, we provide our initial thoughts on valuations.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha </a> (ChaPanda), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming</a> (Good me) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auntea-jenny-shanghai-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40891:1" rel="noopener">Auntea </a>are said to be looking to raise around US$300m.</li>
<li>All four are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.</li>
<li>We undertook a peer comparison in Feb 2024. In this note, we add Auntea to the mix and include the latest financials for ChaPanda.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha  (ChaPanda), Guming (Good me) and Auntea are said to be looking to raise around US$300m.
All four are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.
We undertook a peer comparison in Feb 2024. In this note, we add Auntea to the mix and include the latest financials for ChaPanda.


MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me/Auntea Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Store Additions Driving Growth as SSSG Lags

China

Yum China Holdings, Inc. operates chain restaurants. The Company offers pizza, entrees, pasta, rice dishes, appetizers, soups, vegetables, beverages, and desserts. Yum China Holding conducts its business worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Yum China Holdings (9987 HK)

Quiddity HSCEI Jun 24 Flow Expectations: Many Reasons to Follow the Developments Closely

The reference period for HSCEI June 2024 review ended on 31st March 2024 and my expectations for index changes remain unchanged since I published...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 1Q2024

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends by looking at Sales and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive surprises,...

Wium Malan, CFA

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our...

Sumeet Singh

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me/Auntea Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha ChaPanda, Good me and Auntea are looking to raise around US$300m....

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Store Additions Driving Growth as SSSG Lags

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the PHIP updates.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)