Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a>'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Trial Holdings (5882 JP)'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO.
TH operates a network of retail stores that offer one-stop shopping under its everyday low price model, across a variety of daily necessities, food items and other products.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shoppers are facing a further round of price increases this month, with leading companies raising prices on more than 4,000 items. </li>
<li>Price inflation on FMCG is now at its highest level since the 1980s and there is growing caution among shoppers: 85.3% feel burdened by price hikes according to a Nomura survey.</li>
<li>With incomes falling again, many households are now holding back on all but essential spending, seeking out bargains and avoiding supermarkets that are seen as too expensive.</li>
</ul>


Shoppers are facing a further round of price increases this month, with leading companies raising prices on more than 4,000 items. 
Price inflation on FMCG is now at its highest level since the 1980s and there is growing caution among shoppers: 85.3% feel burdened by price hikes according to a Nomura survey.
With incomes falling again, many households are now holding back on all but essential spending, seeking out bargains and avoiding supermarkets that are seen as too expensive.


More Price Increases Bring Further Challenges for Japan's Retailers

<ul>
<li>Japanese consumer households continues to face significant barriers to spending post-Covid although there are clear signs of higher spending on categories like luxuries.</li>
<li>The biggest barrier is inflation, particularly in essential categories like food where there were 20,743 item price rises in the 11 months to November 2022.</li>
<li>Although wages have increased, much of the bounty is going into savings rather than higher spending.</li>
</ul>


Japanese consumer households continues to face significant barriers to spending post-Covid although there are clear signs of higher spending on categories like luxuries.
The biggest barrier is inflation, particularly in essential categories like food where there were 20,743 item price rises in the 11 months to November 2022.
Although wages have increased, much of the bounty is going into savings rather than higher spending.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Yaoko opened a discount supermarket last year and added a second in March, using knowhow acquired from the Ave chain it bought in 2017. </li>
<li>The new store is purpose built to save costs and offer lower prices, and should prove popular as inflation rises, while delivering higher margins than supermarkets typically achieve.</li>
<li>The format stands in marked contrast to other discounters such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kobe-bussan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4701:1" rel="noopener">Kobe Bussan (3038 JP)'s </a>Gyomu Super but both formats show that discounters can make more money than other supermarkets.</li>
</ul>


Yaoko opened a discount supermarket last year and added a second in March, using knowhow acquired from the Ave chain it bought in 2017. 
The new store is purpose built to save costs and offer lower prices, and should prove popular as inflation rises, while delivering higher margins than supermarkets typically achieve.
The format stands in marked contrast to other discounters such as Kobe Bussan (3038 JP)'s Gyomu Super but both formats show that discounters can make more money than other supermarkets.


Discount Retail Gets Mainstream Support: Yaoko Expands Discount Supermarket

<ul>
<li>OK Super is today the biggest single chain of supermarkets in Tokyo with a strong customer following thanks to its low prices.</li>
<li>It still aims to be the cheapest store in any local area, backed by aggressive buying and low cost operations, and will expand store openings this year.</li>
<li>Although it is a private company, it is a serious competitor to any listed supermarket chain in the Kanto area.</li>
</ul>


OK Super is today the biggest single chain of supermarkets in Tokyo with a strong customer following thanks to its low prices.
It still aims to be the cheapest store in any local area, backed by aggressive buying and low cost operations, and will expand store openings this year.
Although it is a private company, it is a serious competitor to any listed supermarket chain in the Kanto area.


Japan

Yaoko Co., Ltd. operates local supermarkets in the Saitama Prefecture. The Company handles fresh food products, daily-use sundry products, and other various goods in local area.

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Yaoko Co Ltd (8279 JP)

Trial Holdings Pre-IPO - The Positives - Steady past Performance with an Expanding Footprint

Trial Holdings (5882 JP)'s is looking to raise around US$375m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

More Price Increases Bring Further Challenges for Japan's Retailers

Price increases on FMCG products are hitting consumer sentiment in Japan with wide ranging implications for retailers. The gap is widening and will...

Michael Causton

Japanese Consumer Markets in 2023

Japanese consumer spending is rising again but there are headwinds such as fears over inflation and social security reforms. There is more...

Michael Causton

Discount Retail Gets Mainstream Support: Yaoko Expands Discount Supermarket

Discount retailing continues to boom in Japan and now even the best mainstream supermarket chains like Yaoko are entering the market. The high...

Michael Causton

OK Super: Winning in Inflation Era

OK Corporation runs Japan's most successful discount supermarket operation and is a benchmark to measure its listed competitors. It is likely to...

Michael Causton

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