Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12763'>Tata Motors ADR</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-384'>Yankuang Energy Group</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Tata Motors ADRYankuang Energy Group

Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Yankuang Energy Group

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a> has got approval to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.</li>
<li>That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.</li>
<li>The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH) has got approval to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and reports are that the listing could be up to US$3bn.
That issue size is around half of the maximum that the company can issue. But it would still need cornerstone investors and a nice discount on the H-shares.
The stock will still get included in some indices even with the scaled down size, and inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect is a given.


Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.</li>
<li>With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.</li>
<li>Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.
With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.
Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC, Meituan, HKEx, China Hongqiao, CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

China

Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates coal businesses. The Company produces fine coal, blown coal, power coal, and coal chemical products. Yankuang Energy Group also conducts power generation, railway transport, machinery manufacturing, and heating businesses.

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Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)

Morning Views Asia: Tata Motors ADR, Yankuang Energy Group

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Midea Group (000333 CH): Index Implications at US$3bn Issue Size

The CSRC and HKEX have both approved Midea Group's H-share listing. Reports indicate an issue size of up to US$3bn. Index inclusion gets tougher at...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Announcement on Friday post market close. Health Care industry still underweight. Index committee has a lot of discretion in stock selection. We...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (July): 11 Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for July and highlighted inflows into ICBC, Tencent, CCB, Yankuang, Sinopec, and outflows from HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)