Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.</li>
<li>61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.</li>
<li>Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.</li>
</ul>


The 200 largest weighted companies in the GEM index reported average EPS growth of +32.6%y/y for 2Q22, an acceleration from what was reported for 1Q22.
61% of companies delivered positive sales surprise, up from 58% in 1Q22, whilst 56% delivered positive EPS surprise, down from 64% in 1Q22.
Historically, there has been a massive difference in relative share price performance between the largest positive versus negative surprise generators, for 3 months after the reporting date.


Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming, Alchip, Catcher, Faraday, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Largan. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 2nd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming, Alchip, Catcher, Faraday, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Largan. 


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 2nd): Yang Ming, Evergreen, Largan

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 26th, which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 12.9bn. </li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in EVA Airways, Alchip, and Faraday. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 26th, which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 12.9bn. 
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in EVA Airways, Alchip, and Faraday. 


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 26th): EVA Airways, Alchip, Faraday

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE stocks last week which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 13.3bn. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip, Unimicron, and Evergreen Marine.</li>
<li>Top shorts in the market were UMC, Taiwan Cement, and Yang Ming Marine. </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE stocks last week which has an aggregated short interest worth USD 13.3bn. 
We highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip, Unimicron, and Evergreen Marine.
Top shorts in the market were UMC, Taiwan Cement, and Yang Ming Marine. 


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 19th): Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Orient Overseas International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> will welcome its inclusion in Hang Seng Index, there is risk that it will follow the pattern that new inclusions performed badly post entry.</li>
<li>Globally, many container shipping stocks have retreated from their peaks in Mar this year, but OOIL is still hovering around its peak level, making is susceptible to a correction.</li>
<li>Challenging factors include softening sequential momentum, peaking out of spot rates, weaker demand picture, increase in supply pressure and declining earnings trend are weighing on the industry and the company.</li>
</ul>


While Orient Overseas International (316 HK) will welcome its inclusion in Hang Seng Index, there is risk that it will follow the pattern that new inclusions performed badly post entry.
Globally, many container shipping stocks have retreated from their peaks in Mar this year, but OOIL is still hovering around its peak level, making is susceptible to a correction.
Challenging factors include softening sequential momentum, peaking out of spot rates, weaker demand picture, increase in supply pressure and declining earnings trend are weighing on the industry and the company.


Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Cursed by Index Inclusion?

Taiwan

Yang Ming Marine Transport provides transportation services and handles domestic and foreign maritime services on cargos.  The Company also operates warehouse, wharf, tug, barge, and container freight station services as well as repairs, leases, and sells containers and chassis.

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Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)

Global Emerging Markets: Reporting Season Summary, 2Q2022

In this quarterly insight, we analyse recent GEM reporting trends with reference to Sales- and EPS growth, size and percentage of positive...

Wium Malan, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 2nd): Yang Ming, Evergreen, Largan

We analyzed short interest in the TWSE market last week and highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming, Alchip, Catcher, Faraday, Via Tech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 26th): EVA Airways, Alchip, Faraday

We analyzed TWSE short interest data last week and highlight weekly short interest changes in EVA Airways, Alchip, and Faraday.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 19th): Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya

We analyzed the TWSE short interest last week and highlight short interest changes in Yang Ming Marine, Silergy, Nan Ya Printed, Powerchip,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Orient Overseas Intl (316 HK): Cursed by Index Inclusion?

While news of HSI inclusion is positive, OOIL is now open to the pattern of post-entry weakness. It is facing more challenges and outperformance...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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