Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. </li>
<li>Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.</li>
<li>Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. 
Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.
Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.


Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

<ul>
<li>Our measures of momentum and profitability suggest industry bottomed in Q1 2023</li>
<li>In addition, shares of container shipping stocks have stopped reacting to (plentiful) bad news</li>
<li>Outcome of ongoing rate negotiations and Q1 earnings calls will drive near-term performance</li>
</ul>


Our measures of momentum and profitability suggest industry bottomed in Q1 2023
In addition, shares of container shipping stocks have stopped reacting to (plentiful) bad news
Outcome of ongoing rate negotiations and Q1 earnings calls will drive near-term performance


TRACKING TRAFFIC/Container Shipping: Momentum Bottomed | Shares Stabilized | Focus on May News

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 7th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Makalot, Getac Holdings, Via Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 7th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Makalot, Getac Holdings, Via Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Apr 7th): Makalot, Getac, Via Tech

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 31st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip Semico, Alchip Tech, Nan Ya Printed, Unimicron Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 31st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip Semico, Alchip Tech, Nan Ya Printed, Unimicron Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 31st): Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip

Taiwan

Yang Ming Marine Transport provides transportation services and handles domestic and foreign maritime services on cargos.  The Company also operates warehouse, wharf, tug, barge, and container freight station services as well as repairs, leases, and sells containers and chassis.

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Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TRACKING TRAFFIC/Container Shipping: Momentum Bottomed | Shares Stabilized | Focus on May News

Container shipping industry momentum bottomed in Q1, and related shares have stopped reacting to bad news. News and commentary from industry...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Apr 7th): Makalot, Getac, Via Tech

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Makalot, Getac Holdings, Via Tech.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 31st): Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Powerchip

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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