Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> reported the results of their ¥800bn Tender Offer Buyback, originally intended to repurchase 290.12mm shares from cross-holders. </li>
<li>In the end, 343.83mm shares were tendered (53.71mm shares more than originally expected, worth about ¥150bn at Tender Price). That creates back-end "issues" which must be considered.</li>
<li>The resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, I expect sees positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) reported the results of their ¥800bn Tender Offer Buyback, originally intended to repurchase 290.12mm shares from cross-holders. 
In the end, 343.83mm shares were tendered (53.71mm shares more than originally expected, worth about ¥150bn at Tender Price). That creates back-end "issues" which must be considered.
The resulting supply/demand profile is mixed, but on balance, I expect sees positive demand into the H1 earnings announcement. Watch for another buyback possibly announced then.


Toyota Partial Offer Results - What Next?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JD.com Inc (ADR) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.</li>
<li>There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, we looked at a number of upcoming listings in India.
There was a revival in placement flows during the week, after a lull over the past few weeks.


ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Yamaha Motor share sale by Toyota, Yamaha Corp and MS&amp;AD may take time to clear, but the outlook for Yamaha Motor is improving. Expect Yamaha Corp strength on buyback expectations.</li>
<li>Ueda signalling a slightly hawkish tone on Friday should be good for banks and utilities, but less good for exporters, tourism related and real estate.</li>
<li>6963 Rohm is starting to look interesting again with a few upcoming drivers which should help it rebound, including next weeks NKY225 rebalance announcement.</li>
</ul>


Yamaha Motor share sale by Toyota, Yamaha Corp and MS&amp;AD may take time to clear, but the outlook for Yamaha Motor is improving. Expect Yamaha Corp strength on buyback expectations.
Ueda signalling a slightly hawkish tone on Friday should be good for banks and utilities, but less good for exporters, tourism related and real estate.
6963 Rohm is starting to look interesting again with a few upcoming drivers which should help it rebound, including next weeks NKY225 rebalance announcement.


Japan Morning Connection: Yamaha Motor, Rohm, Kawasaki Heavy

<ul>
<li>ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.</li>
<li>Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">TEL (8035)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai (6525).</a>
</li>
<li>Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-heavy-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8790:1" rel="noopener">KHI (7012 JP)</a> rebound sharply also.</li>
</ul>


ARM +11% after a broker upgrade yesterday will see Softbank Group (9984 JP) rebound sharply off heavily sold levels yesterday, despite its surprise Y500bn buyback.
Tech wide relief rally in the US sets the tone for a very strong day in Japan, helped by strong earnings by the likes of TEL (8035) and Kokusai (6525).

Jobs data saw leisure and powersports names in the US rally which should help the likes of Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) and KHI (7012 JP) rebound sharply also.


Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

<ul>
<li>The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail - 80% of the book - is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. </li>
<li>The Offering has follow-on "non-discretionary" demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.</li>
<li>The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda's relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.</li>
</ul>


The ¥500bn Offering of Honda shares is now priced (¥1,664.5/share) making it ¥497.46bn. Bookbuilding for retail - 80% of the book - is now. The price today closed at ¥1,665/share. 
The Offering has follow-on "non-discretionary" demand which is non-negligible. It is worth understanding the amounts and timing.
The lockups and non-discretionary demand, along with Honda's relative cheapness as a large cap OEM and likely upcoming offerings on competitors means it has support.


Big Honda (7267) Offering - Flow Timing Matters

Japan

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

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Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)

Toyota Partial Offer Results - What Next?

A discussion of the Toyota Tender Offer Results, what they mean for supply/demand dynamics near-term, when the current buyback could be completed,...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Yamaha Motor, Rohm, Kawasaki Heavy

Yamaha Motor outlook improving with share sale, Ueda's hawkish tone favors banks and utilities, Rohm showing rebound potential with upcoming drivers.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

Big Honda (7267) Offering - Flow Timing Matters

The Honda Offering is BIG at ¥500bn but over time, the net overhang is substantially reduced by behavioural expectations, passive buying, a...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Toyota Partial Offer Results - What Next?

A discussion of the Toyota Tender Offer Results, what they mean for supply/demand dynamics near-term, when the current buyback could be completed,...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (26th Aug 2024) - Zomato, Colowide, Star Asia, Yamaha, 99Speed, Hero Fin, Bajaj Housing

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Japan Morning Connection: Yamaha Motor, Rohm, Kawasaki Heavy

​Yamaha Motor outlook improving with share sale, Ueda's hawkish tone favors banks and utilities, Rohm showing rebound potential with upcoming drivers.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: 9984 JP, 8035 JP, 6525 JP

​ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...

Andrew Jackson

Big Honda (7267) Offering - Flow Timing Matters

The Honda Offering is BIG at ¥500bn but over time, the net overhang is substantially reduced by behavioural expectations, passive buying, a...

Travis Lundy

Yamaha Motor outlook improving with share sale, Ueda's hawkish tone favors banks and utilities, Rohm showing rebound potential with upcoming drivers.

ARM stock surges after broker upgrade, Softbank Group rebounds, tech rally in US boosts Japan market, leisure and powersports names rally in US...