Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Thursday 25 February 2016</p><p><strong>Risk on/off triggers</strong><br>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI</a> </strong>4:17 min.</p><div>We see the following as defining a risk off turn lower or continue mild risk on bias.</div><div><strong>1. Brent breakout of triangulation</strong></div><div><strong>2. AUD at 0.72 pivot</strong></div><div><strong>3. USD/JPY dual low or new low along with Nikkei 16,400 line.</strong></div><div>
<strong>4.Shanghai's turn is in line with our bounce call to 2,850-3,000 and then turning lower to 2,500.This will put pressure on Asia and should sway the AUD and</strong>…</div>

Chartonics webcast Thursday 25 February 2016Risk on/off triggers To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI 4:17 min.We see the following as defining a risk off turn lower or continue mild risk on bias.1. Brent breakout of triangulation2. AUD at 0.72 pivot3. USD/JPY dual low or new low along with Nikkei 16,400 line.
4.Shanghai's turn is in line with our bounce call to 2,850-3,000 and then turning lower to 2,500.This will put pressure on Asia and should sway the AUD and…

Parsley Energy Inc Class A / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Tuesday February 16 2016</p><p><strong>Draw down prior to bullish March</strong></p><div>To view click on this link:</div><div><strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT5" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT5</a></strong></div><p>6:26 min.</p><div>Our focus is on a ST top in equities tonight in NY or Wednesday followed by a draw down into next week that sets the stage for a much bigger rally in March and viewed as an equity and dollar buying opportunity.</div><p>S&amp;P buy support lies at 1,850-60. Pushing above 1,870 does initiate a more bullish bias per our view outlined Friday after key sectors hit…</p>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday February 16 2016Draw down prior to bullish MarchTo view click on this link:http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT56:26 min.Our focus is on a ST top in equities tonight in NY or Wednesday followed by a draw down into next week that sets the stage for a much bigger rally in March and viewed as an equity and dollar buying opportunity.S&amp;P buy support lies at 1,850-60. Pushing above 1,870 does initiate a more bullish bias per our view outlined Friday after key sectors hit…

Global Macro Strategy

Callum Henderson

Macroeconomics

<p>* The CNY is becoming a basket currency and greater basket currency flexibility is likely this year</p><p>* The PBoC monetary policy report stated that <em>two-way flexibility</em> of the CNY will increase</p><p>* This appears to be in line with calls from former PBoC advisers for a basket currency with wide bands</p><p>* Reduced Fed hike expectations take some pressure off CNY vs. USD, allowing it to weaken vs. EUR, JPY</p><p>* CNY basket flexibility and band widening is likely by Q3, before SDR implementation in October</p><p>In my…</p>

* The CNY is becoming a basket currency and greater basket currency flexibility is likely this year* The PBoC monetary policy report stated that two-way flexibility of the CNY will increase* This appears to be in line with calls from former PBoC advisers for a basket currency with wide bands* Reduced Fed hike expectations take some pressure off CNY vs. USD, allowing it to weaken vs. EUR, JPY* CNY basket flexibility and band widening is likely by Q3, before SDR implementation in OctoberIn my…

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's outlook for midterm oil industry fundamentals, we are amending our methodology for forecasting near-term oil and gas prices.</p><p>Based on our current expectation that oil supply and demand will come into balance in mid-2017, we are launching updated Brent forecasts of $50-$55 for the second half of 2017 and $55-$60 for 2018 (approximately 20% higher than current strip prices on average). </p><p>We will update our oil and gas producer valuations with this new pricing by the end of the current earnings period.</p><p><em>Analyst: Lorraine Tan, CFA</em></p><p> </p>

Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's outlook for midterm oil industry fundamentals, we are amending our methodology for forecasting near-term oil and gas prices.Based on our current expectation that oil supply and demand will come into balance in mid-2017, we are launching updated Brent forecasts of $50-$55 for the second half of 2017 and $55-$60 for 2018 (approximately 20% higher than current strip prices on average). We will update our oil and gas producer valuations with this new pricing by the end of the current earnings period.Analyst: Lorraine Tan, CFA 

Oil and Gas Price Outlook: Updating Our Near-Term Methodology for Forecasting Prices

<p>* CNY remains under pressure given the economic slowdown, concerns about debt and capital outflows</p><p>* China's FX reserves look more than enough, but true adequacy depends on the nature of the FX regime</p><p>* China can go forward or back on the FX regime; loosening controls on foreign flows sends a bold message</p><p>* Expect greater flexibility of the CNY basket and wider bands, sooner rather than later, ahead of SDR</p><p>* CNY will be a basket currency not a basket case and short-term weakness against the USD will not last</p>

* CNY remains under pressure given the economic slowdown, concerns about debt and capital outflows* China's FX reserves look more than enough, but true adequacy depends on the nature of the FX regime* China can go forward or back on the FX regime; loosening controls on foreign flows sends a bold message* Expect greater flexibility of the CNY basket and wider bands, sooner rather than later, ahead of SDR* CNY will be a basket currency not a basket case and short-term weakness against the USD will not last

Asia Calling: CNY - A Basket Currency, Not a Basket Case

China

Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited manufactures solar glass.  The Company produces ultra-clear photovoltaic raw glass and ultra-clear photovoltaic processed glass. Xinyi Solar Holdings offers its products to major solar product component manufactures both domestically and internationally.

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Xinyi Solar Holdings (968 HK)

Risk On/Off Inflection Pivots

Chartonics webcast Thursday 25 February 2016Risk on/off triggersTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI 4:17 min.We see...

Thomas Schroeder

Draw Down Prior to Bullish March

Chartonics webcast Tuesday February 16 2016Draw down prior to bullish MarchTo view click on this link:http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT56:26...

Thomas Schroeder

CNY Band Widening Likely by Q3

* The CNY is becoming a basket currency and greater basket currency flexibility is likely this year* The PBoC monetary policy report stated that...

Callum Henderson

Oil and Gas Price Outlook: Updating Our Near-Term Methodology for Forecasting Prices

Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's...

Morningstar, Inc.

Asia Calling: CNY - A Basket Currency, Not a Basket Case

* CNY remains under pressure given the economic slowdown, concerns about debt and capital outflows* China's FX reserves look more than enough, but...

Callum Henderson

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