HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec is facing how to keep high growth momentum under the high base of last year's performance.If there’s no high growth point with certainty,high valuation is hard to sustain.</li>
<li>The US wouldn’t stop tightening monetary policy until "it’s fully prepared".Investors need to consider a situation that high interest rate environment is longer than expected,under which CXO remains in trouble.</li>
<li>Market sentiment towards CXO has changed. We think CXO isn't suitable for long-term hold but only for short-term trade in 2023. Buying low and selling high is a better strategy.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec is facing how to keep high growth momentum under the high base of last year's performance.If there’s no high growth point with certainty,high valuation is hard to sustain.
The US wouldn’t stop tightening monetary policy until "it’s fully prepared".Investors need to consider a situation that high interest rate environment is longer than expected,under which CXO remains in trouble.
Market sentiment towards CXO has changed. We think CXO isn't suitable for long-term hold but only for short-term trade in 2023. Buying low and selling high is a better strategy.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - Not the Time to Be Happy Even After a Positive Profit Alert

<ul>
<li>The benefits of assisted reproduction being covered by medical insurance are limited. Its main role is still to delay not fundamentally reverse the decline of China's birth rate.</li>
<li>If the valuation collapse occurs collectively in one field, it basically reflects that Miss Market does not hold much hope for this field in the future, such as cell therapy. </li>
<li>We mainly analyzed some key points of the companies that investors may be interested in, such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iray-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35716:1" rel="noopener">iRay Technology (688301 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-medicilon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30368:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Medicilon Inc (688202 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The benefits of assisted reproduction being covered by medical insurance are limited. Its main role is still to delay not fundamentally reverse the decline of China's birth rate.
If the valuation collapse occurs collectively in one field, it basically reflects that Miss Market does not hold much hope for this field in the future, such as cell therapy. 
We mainly analyzed some key points of the companies that investors may be interested in, such as iRay Technology (688301 CH) and Shanghai Medicilon Inc (688202 CH).


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.10) - Assisted Reproduction into NRDL, Cell Therapy, Medicilon, IRay,

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
We have looked at the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuations

CStone Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The revenue brought by CStone’s differentiated layout of pipeline does not match the R&amp;D investment. CStone needs to in-license more late-stage products, but the Company is not cash rich.</li>
<li>CStone was incubated by WuXi Bio. Its business model is“VC+IP+CRO”. Cstone doesn’t have independent R&amp;D capability. The increasingly low cost performance of in-licensed products has made the capital “reconsider” .</li>
<li>Cstone doesn’t have the potential to be a biopharma as it licensed out the key/core candidates. Its future valuation growth would be “discounted”. Corporate governance/instability is also a concern.</li>
</ul>


The revenue brought by CStone’s differentiated layout of pipeline does not match the R&amp;D investment. CStone needs to in-license more late-stage products, but the Company is not cash rich.
CStone was incubated by WuXi Bio. Its business model is“VC+IP+CRO”. Cstone doesn’t have independent R&amp;D capability. The increasingly low cost performance of in-licensed products has made the capital “reconsider” .
Cstone doesn’t have the potential to be a biopharma as it licensed out the key/core candidates. Its future valuation growth would be “discounted”. Corporate governance/instability is also a concern.


CStone Pharmaceuticals Placement (2616.HK) - There Is No Certainty that the Dilemma Will Reverse

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>We believe Healthcare names could be given top priority when selecting additions for the upcoming rebalance.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) in March 2023.
We believe Healthcare names could be given top priority when selecting additions for the upcoming rebalance.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)