ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. </li>
<li>Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.</li>
<li>Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. 
Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.
Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. 


Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> is well-positioned to fend off the challenge of incoming EV players to Indonesia, a country far more suited to Hybrid EVs, with little charging infrastructure.</li>
<li>Despite new entrants, the company has maintained its market share at 57% YTD, with Chinese EV makers fighting amongst themselves and other Japanese ICE brands losing some share. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra</a> continues to develop new HEV products, with a line up of 10 BEVs due by 2028 from Toyota but investments in the ecosystem are already underway. Valuations remain attractive.</li>
</ul>



Astra International is well-positioned to fend off the challenge of incoming EV players to Indonesia, a country far more suited to Hybrid EVs, with little charging infrastructure.
Despite new entrants, the company has maintained its market share at 57% YTD, with Chinese EV makers fighting amongst themselves and other Japanese ICE brands losing some share. 

Astra continues to develop new HEV products, with a line up of 10 BEVs due by 2028 from Toyota but investments in the ecosystem are already underway. Valuations remain attractive.


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Digging in Against the BEV Threat

<ul>
<li>This week we look at the noise surrounding the entrance of new EV players to Indonesia and suggest that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> is well-positioned to face the renewed competition. </li>
<li>We also look at CVC's move on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siloam-international-hospitals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:878:1" rel="noopener">Siloam International Hospitals</a>, Kopi Kenangan's expansion plans, and Microsoft's commitment to invest US$1.7bn in the AI space in Indonesia. </li>
<li>CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.</li>
</ul>


This week we look at the noise surrounding the entrance of new EV players to Indonesia and suggest that Astra International is well-positioned to face the renewed competition. 
We also look at CVC's move on Siloam International Hospitals, Kopi Kenangan's expansion plans, and Microsoft's commitment to invest US$1.7bn in the AI space in Indonesia. 
CrossASEAN Ground Zero is a thematic weekly product that focuses on key Southeast Asian themes and technology trends with a core focus on Indonesia.


CrossASEAN Ground Zero - EV Frenzy, Siloam Gets New Investors, Kopi Kenangan, and Microsoft's Pledge

<ul>
<li>Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. </li>
<li>The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. </li>
<li>We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International</a> as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.</li>
</ul>


Indonesia's election race is about to begin with the Presidential candidates announcing running mates on 26th October and with campaigns that could boost consumer demand. 
The Indonesian economy should see GDP growth above 5% in 2023 and 2024, with inflation already under control at 2.28% in September. FDI remains positive although may slow before elections. 
We explore the prospects for different sectors with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra International as a market proxy, with some opportunities in tech.


Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>'s recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities through its controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors</a>.</li>
<li>The company has continued to deploy its war chest of funds from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-permata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:728:1" rel="noopener">Bank Permata</a> sale, investing in commercial vehicle leasing, hydro-power, and digital banking in 3Q2022 alone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ</a> trades on 9.0x FY2023 PER and 8.5x FY2024E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 14x, making it attractive at current levels. </li>
</ul>



Astra International (ASII IJ)'s recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities through its controlling stake in United Tractors.
The company has continued to deploy its war chest of funds from the Bank Permata sale, investing in commercial vehicle leasing, hydro-power, and digital banking in 3Q2022 alone.

Astra International (ASII IJ trades on 9.0x FY2023 PER and 8.5x FY2024E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 14x, making it attractive at current levels. 


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Driving into Indonesia's Growth Areas

Hong Kong

Wuling Motors Holdings Limited manufactures motor vehicle engines, parts and special vehicles in China. The Company's activities also include securities dealing, margin financing, money lending and property investment.

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Wuling Motors Holdings (305 HK)

Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top...

Angus Mackintosh

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Digging in Against the BEV Threat

Astra International is well-positioned to fend-off the challenge of incoming EV players to Indonesia, a country which far more suited to Hybrid EVs...

Angus Mackintosh

CrossASEAN Ground Zero - EV Frenzy, Siloam Gets New Investors, Kopi Kenangan, and Microsoft's Pledge

This week we look at the noise surrounding the entrance of new EV players to Indonesia and suggest that Astra International is well-positioned to...

Angus Mackintosh

Indonesian Strategy - Election Race Hots Up Amidst Profits Recovery

We explore the prospects across different sectors in Indonesia with a positive view on banks, retail, consumer staples, property, and Astra...

Angus Mackintosh

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Driving into Indonesia's Growth Areas

Astra's recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities...

Angus Mackintosh

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