Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100 but there are two more months to the base date and our expectations can change until then.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the December 2024 index rebal event.
Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100 but there are two more months to the base date and our expectations can change until then.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele, Chunghwa Telecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Aug 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele, Chunghwa Telecom.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 adds and 4 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December with implementation taking place from 15-21 December.</li>
<li>The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 16.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.26bn.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in a lot of the adds/deletes and the real action could be in the other stocks with capping and/or funding flows.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 adds and 4 deletes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December with implementation taking place from 15-21 December.
The constituent changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 16.1% resulting in a one-way trade of US$1.26bn.
There will be positioning in a lot of the adds/deletes and the real action could be in the other stocks with capping and/or funding flows.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

<ul>
<li>The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.</li>
<li>Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.51% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows dropped 0.92%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.21% vs -0.75%.</li>
<li>Since the start of November, the adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a>. There has been significant outperformance in just the last week.</li>
</ul>


The Yuanta/P-shares Dividend Plus ETF (0056 TT) started to rebalance its holdings on Friday and will continue to do so for the next 4 trading days.
Stocks with buy flows dropped 0.51% on average on Friday while the stocks with sell flows dropped 0.92%. On a flow weighted basis, the numbers were -0.21% vs -0.75%.
Since the start of November, the adds have outperformed the deletes and the TWSE INDEX. There has been significant outperformance in just the last week.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Overall, it was a strong week for Taiwan Tech. TSMC and Mediatek showed strong performances, as well as key names we like such as Yageo and Himax.</li>
<li>AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) </a>performed well.</li>
<li>According to insight provider Patrick Liao, MediaTek WiFi 7 chip competition is likely to become fierce in 2024.</li>
</ul>


Overall, it was a strong week for Taiwan Tech. TSMC and Mediatek showed strong performances, as well as key names we like such as Yageo and Himax.
AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) performed well.
According to insight provider Patrick Liao, MediaTek WiFi 7 chip competition is likely to become fierce in 2024.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Despite Strong Taiwan Tech Market Performance

Taiwan

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

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Wistron Neweb (6285 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion

T100 and TDIV member Formosa Sumco Technology (3532 TT) is very close to violating a key eligibility requirement for T100 which could see the name...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 5.2% since the announcement of the changes and by 1.12% since the start of the implementation...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Despite Strong Taiwan Tech Market Performance

AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) performed well.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion

T100 and TDIV member Formosa Sumco Technology (3532 TT) is very close to violating a key eligibility requirement for T100 which could see the name...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Aug 16th): TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TSMC, Fortune Elec, Hon Hai, Far Eastone Tele,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

On average, the adds have outperformed the deletes by 5.2% since the announcement of the changes and by 1.12% since the start of the implementation...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves

The 0056 TT ETF started rebalancing on Friday and that will continue for the next 4 trading days. The adds have outperformed the deletes...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AI Plays Weak Despite Strong Taiwan Tech Market Performance

AI-Related Taiwan plays showed relative weakness. This weakness interestingly happened during a week when NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) performed well.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Dec 24: An Alternate Possibility for Formosa Sumco TDIV Deletion

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: Changes Lead to Huge Turnover

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF: Day 1 Flows & Stock Moves