Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Nomura Research Institute / Equity Bottom-Up

On 21 June 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-research-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18129:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP)</a> announced (<a href="https://ir.nri.com/jp/ir/news/auto_20210621452515/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>) a buyback program of up to 20,000,000 shares (3.30% of shares out) spending up to ¥60 billion, with the program running from 22 June 2021 to 30 December 2021, with possible buying on market and on ToSTNeT-3, but excluding dates in the 10 days around the day after the quarterly results announcements. The company ALSO announced a ToSTNeT-3 buyback tomorrow morning for up to 16,925,200 shares at today's closing price of ¥3,545/share. That 16.925mm shares at that price = ¥59,999,834,000 so one can assume that if the ToSTNeT-3 buyback is completed to the full extent, that will mean the buyback program will be done tomorrow before the market opens.The announcement suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:742:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Holdings (8604 JP)</a> intended to sell as many as 14.105 million shares in the buyback leaving 2.815mm shares for other holders if they want to sell Monday's close. But I remind readers that a) short selling is allowed, and b) it is entirely pro rata (with some niggling little procedural exceptions) so if people stepped in to sell, they would probably get a decent portion of their offer sold at that price. More below the fold.

On 21 June 2021, Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP) announced (link) a buyback program of up to 20,000,000 shares (3.30% of shares out) spending up to ¥60 billion, with the program running from 22 June 2021 to 30 December 2021, with possible buying on market and on ToSTNeT-3, but excluding dates in the 10 days around the day after the quarterly results announcements. The company ALSO announced a ToSTNeT-3 buyback tomorrow morning for up to 16,925,200 shares at today's closing price of ¥3,545/share. That 16.925mm shares at that price = ¥59,999,834,000 so one can assume that if the ToSTNeT-3 buyback is completed to the full extent, that will mean the buyback program will be done tomorrow before the market opens.The announcement suggested that Nomura Holdings (8604 JP) intended to sell as many as 14.105 million shares in the buyback leaving 2.815mm shares for other holders if they want to sell Monday's close. But I remind readers that a) short selling is allowed, and b) it is entirely pro rata (with some niggling little procedural exceptions) so if people stepped in to sell, they would probably get a decent portion of their offer sold at that price. More below the fold. 

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

Bond market data and technology, BondEvalue

BondEvalue

Bond market data and technology

BondEvalue is a Singapore-based Fintech that specializes in bond market data and technology. The company's information services business offers bond market data on hard-currency corporate & sovereign bonds across Asia, Middle East, Europe and the Americas. The data, which includes bond prices, yields, news and analytics, is offered to end investors via interactive Mobile and Web Apps. Investors can sign up for a free trial of the service either via the company's website (https://bondevalue.com) or by downloading the BondEvalue Mobile App (http://onelink.to/wej7jq). BondEvalue is also developing an electronic bond exchange, BondbloX in Singapore that allows investors to trade bonds electronically in smaller sizes (US$1,000 or equivalent). For more information, visit https://www.bondblox.com/

Bond Market Data and Technology

Credit

US markets pulled back slightly a day after reaching record level with the FOMC meeting got underway. S&amp;P and NASDAQ were down 0.2% and 0.7% respectively.  Tech weighed down on the indices, down 0.6% while Energy was up 2.1% providing support. Tesla   was down 3% and Apple and Microsoft were down 0.6% each. US producer prices  saw the fastest increase on record when it registered a gain of 6.6% YoY. However, retail sales were lower by 1.3%, against estimates of 0.6%. US 10Y Treasury yields were flat at 1.5%. European markets rallied with DAX, CAC and FTSE up 0.4% each. Spreads widened marginally – US IG and HY CDS widened 0.04bp and 0.2bp respectively. EU main and crossover CDS also widened 0.5bp and 3.7bp respectively. In the Gulf, the Saudi TASI reversed its gains and was down 0.8% while ADX was up 0.1%. In Latam, Brazil’s Bovespa was down 0.1%. Asian markets started cautiously and are now down ~0.5% with Shanghai down 0.8%. Asia ex-Japan CDS spreads were flat.

eHi, Wipro, Gajah Launch Bonds; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; Top Gainers & L...

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Asia Index Private Limited has announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> for the upcoming review in June. The rebalance will be effective from the open on 21 June and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on 18 June.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> will be included in the index replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)</a>.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a> was the highest ranking non-constituent but the Index Committee went with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> to reduce the underweight of the Materials sector in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> vs the BSE All Cap index.<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> was deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> in December and makes its way back into the index after a big rally while out of the index.Passive funds will need to buy 0.33 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> and sell 1.63 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)</a>. The actual impact will be higher since the delivery volumes on both stocks are much lower, especially on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a>.

Asia Index Private Limited has announced the changes to the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) for the upcoming review in June. The rebalance will be effective from the open on 21 June and passive funds will need to trade at the close (VWAP over the last 30 minutes of trading) on 18 June.Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) will be included in the index replacing Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN).Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN) was the highest ranking non-constituent but the Index Committee went with Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) to reduce the underweight of the Materials sector in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) vs the BSE All Cap index.Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) was deleted from the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) in December and makes its way back into the index after a big rally while out of the index.Passive funds will need to buy 0.33 days of ADV on Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) and sell 1.63 days of ADV on Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN). The actual impact will be higher since the delivery volumes on both stocks are much lower, especially on Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN). 

Sensex Index Rebalance: Tata Steel IN, ONGC OUT

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Indian IT Service companies all expect double-digit top-line growth for FY2022 (to end March 2022), which is a significant acceleration from what they have delivered over the past 5+ years, but very achievable due to the low base set during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in FY2021. 
With all these companies currently trading at historically peak valuation levels, the key controversy on these stocks is whether this is still the early stages of a 3-5yr heightened growth period and whether this has already been priced in. 
With the Indian IT Services sector set to record exceptional growth acceleration, at least for the early part of the coming financial year, in this insight, I analyse whether a multi-year hyper-growth scenario is already priced in, by looking at earnings forecasts, relative valuation levels, and implied future growth rates.

The Indian IT Service companies all expect double-digit top-line growth for FY2022 (to end March 2022), which is a significant acceleration from what they have delivered over the past 5+ years, but very achievable due to the low base set during the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in FY2021. 
With all these companies currently trading at historically peak valuation levels, the key controversy on these stocks is whether this is still the early stages of a 3-5yr heightened growth period and whether this has already been priced in. 
With the Indian IT Services sector set to record exceptional growth acceleration, at least for the early part of the coming financial year, in this insight, I analyse whether a multi-year hyper-growth scenario is already priced in, by looking at earnings forecasts, relative valuation levels, and implied future growth rates.

Indian IT Services: Is a Multi-Year Hyper-Growth Scenario Priced In?

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

On our next webinar, we're happy to welcome back Insight Provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/wium-malan-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:9615" rel="noopener">Wium Malan, CFA</a> who will share an updated view on key IT services companies in India. The webinar will cover <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infosys-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:267:1" rel="noopener">Infosys Ltd (INFO IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wipro-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15360:1" rel="noopener">Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hcl-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20025:1" rel="noopener">Hcl Technologies (HCLT IN)</a>, as Indian IT services companies expect significant growth in FY2022 - albeit off a low base. Is this the start of a hyper-growth period, and has this already been priced into their lofty valuations?
<h3>The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 12 May 2021, 17:00 SGT/HKT.</h3>
<div class="content-highlight">
<h2><a href="https://share.hsforms.com/1H9pFZOB-RF2J00kbvMmxcw2c5gj?zoom_webinar_id=85689024246" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Register for the Webinar here</a></h2>
</div>
Wium Malan is a Global Equity Analyst with 13+ years of experience on the Buy-side covering companies in Emerging and Developed markets. He specialises in Fundamental and Quantitative analysis on companies in the Internet, Telecommunication, Media, Technology, IT Services, Healthcare, Pharmaceutical, and other Industrial sectors.

On our next webinar, we're happy to welcome back Insight Provider Wium Malan, CFA who will share an updated view on key IT services companies in India. The webinar will cover Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN), Infosys Ltd (INFO IN), Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN), and Hcl Technologies (HCLT IN), as Indian IT services companies expect significant growth in FY2022 - albeit off a low base. Is this the start of a hyper-growth period, and has this already been priced into their lofty valuations?
The webinar will be hosted on Wednesday, 12 May 2021, 17:00 SGT/HKT.

Register for the Webinar here

Wium Malan is a Global Equity Analyst with 13+ years of experience on the Buy-side covering companies in Emerging and Developed markets. He specialises in Fundamental and Quantitative analysis on companies in the Internet, Telecommunication, Media, Technology, IT Services, Healthcare, Pharmaceutical, and other Industrial sectors.

Smartkarma Webinar | Indian IT Services: Picks and Pans

India

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

LTIMindtree Limited provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers analytics and information management, enterprise integration, applications management, cloud computing, testing, and consulting services, as well as geographical information and manufacturing execution systems. LTIMindtree serves customers worldwide.

Mphasis Limited is a global IT and BPO service provider to G2000 companies around the globe, assists its clients in innovating and streamlining their business processes by offering custom solutions for technology and operations outsourcing. The Company focuses on financial services, logistics and technology verticals.

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

WNS (Holdings) Ltd., operates as a holding company The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides business process outsourcing services including finance, accounting, customer relationship management, and business administration services.

Firstsource Solutions Limited provides business process outsourcing services. The Company provides services globally to companies in the banking, financial services, and insurance industries.

Sonata Software Limited operates an Information Technology company, which provides software products, development services, IT consulting, and a number of business solutions services.  The Group exports its products primarily to the U.S.A., Europe and Asia.

eClerx Services Limited provides data analytics and solutions to global enterprise clients in the financial services, retail and manufacturing industries. The Company offers data analytics, operations management, data audits, metrics management and reporting services.

Mastek Limited provides software solutions and integration services for the financial services, insurance, manufacturing, telecom and retail sectors.

Computershare Limited operates share registries and computer bureaus which includes the administration of employee share and option plans and the provision of software that specializes in share registry, financial and stock markets. The Company also provides corporate trust services and acts as a trustee for clients' debt offerings in certain markets.

OBIC Co., Ltd. provides computer system integration, office automation, consultation, and system support services primarily for small and medium size companies.  The Company sells, leases, and maintains computers, peripherals, and related systems.  OBIC also develops and sells customized software and network systems.

Paychex, Inc. provides comprehensive payroll and integrated human resource and employee benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses in the United States. The Company's services range from calculating payroll and filing tax payments to administering retirement plans and workers' compensation.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation provides custom Information Technology (IT) consulting and technology services as well as outsourcing services. The Company's core competencies include technology strategy consulting, complex systems development, enterprise software package implementation and maintenance, data warehousing and business intelligence.

Global Payments Inc. provides electronic transaction processing, information systems, and services.  The Company serves the financial, corporate, government, and merchant communities on a worldwide basis.  Global Payments provides funds transfer, merchant services, merchant accounting, Internet services, and other services.

Gartner, Inc. provides research and analysis on the computer hardware, software, communications, and related information technology industries.  The Company's business segments include research, consulting, measurement, events and executive programs.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. provides management and technology consulting services to the U.S. government in the defense, intelligence and civil markets. The Company offers economic and business analysis, information technology, intelligence and operations analysis, modeling and simulation, organization and other consulting services.

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. is a payment services provider. The Company provides credit and debit card processing, electronic banking services, check risk management, check cashing, and merchant card processing services to financial institutions and merchants.

Corpay, Inc. operates as a business payments company. The Company offers global payment, currency risk management, and invoice automation solutions which help businesses to control, simplify, and secure payment for vehicle related expenses, general payables, tolls, insurance, and lodging expenses. Corpay serves customers worldwide.

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

Wipro Limited specializes in IT and computer related technologies. The Group's services encompass a number of areas, including software architecture, business intelligence systems, e-commerce, data warehousing, Internet access devices, network management, system administration, messaging systems, IT consulting and design. Wipro also has a presence in niche markets of consumer products.

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Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a PRE-OPEN ToSTNeT-3 buyback...

Travis Lundy

eHi, Wipro, Gajah Launch Bonds; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; Top Gainers & L...

US markets pulled back slightly a day after reaching record level with the FOMC meeting got underway. S&P and NASDAQ were down 0.2% and 0.7%...

BondEvalue

Sensex Index Rebalance: Tata Steel IN, ONGC OUT

Tata Steel will replace ONGC in the Sensex after the close of trading on 18 June. Tata Steel is back in the index after a 6 month break. Rebalance...

Brian Freitas

Indian IT Services: Is a Multi-Year Hyper-Growth Scenario Priced In?

With the Indian IT Services sector set to record exceptional growth acceleration, in this insight, I analyse whether a multi-year hyper-growth...

Wium Malan, CFA

Smartkarma Webinar | Indian IT Services: Picks and Pans

On 12 May, 5pm SGT, join us as we welcome back Wium Malan, who will share an updated view on key IT services companies in India like Tata...

Smartkarma Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nomura Research Institute ToSTNeT-3 Buyback

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a *PRE-OPEN* ToSTNeT-3 buyback...

Travis Lundy

eHi, Wipro, Gajah Launch Bonds; Macro; Rating Changes; New Issues; Talking Heads; Top Gainers & L...

US markets pulled back slightly a day after reaching record level with the FOMC meeting got underway. S&P and NASDAQ were down 0.2% and 0.7%...

BondEvalue

Sensex Index Rebalance: Tata Steel IN, ONGC OUT

Tata Steel will replace ONGC in the Sensex after the close of trading on 18 June. Tata Steel is back in the index after a 6 month break. Rebalance...

Brian Freitas

Indian IT Services: Is a Multi-Year Hyper-Growth Scenario Priced In?

With the Indian IT Services sector set to record exceptional growth acceleration, in this insight, I analyse whether a multi-year hyper-growth...

Wium Malan, CFA

Smartkarma Webinar | Indian IT Services: Picks and Pans

On 12 May, 5pm SGT, join us as we welcome back Wium Malan, who will share an updated view on key IT services companies in India like Tata...

Smartkarma Research

NRI is one of the higher-multiple (forward consensus EV/EBIT or EV/EBITDA) Japanese IT service companies. There is a PRE-OPEN ToSTNeT-3 buyback...