Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Indian IT giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-consultancy-svcs-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18708:1" rel="noopener">Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN)</a> released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 14th February 2022. </li>
<li>The company is planning to spend up to INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) which is one of the largest amounts spent in Tender Offer-style Buybacks in India.</li>
<li>Below is a closer look at the details of this Buyback.</li>
</ul>


Indian IT giant Tata Consultancy Svcs (TCS IN) released their public announcement document for their latest buyback after market close on 14th February 2022. 
The company is planning to spend up to INR180bn (~US$2.4bn) which is one of the largest amounts spent in Tender Offer-style Buybacks in India.
Below is a closer look at the details of this Buyback.


Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.</li>
<li>The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>


Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.
The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.
Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.


Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>In a recent Insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/regulating-esg-ratings-in-india-outline-of-sebi-s-proposed-regulatory-framework" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:64468" rel="noopener">Regulating ESG Ratings in India: Outline of SEBI's Proposed Regulatory Framework</a>, I summarised SEBI's proposed regulatory framework for ESG ratings in India. </li>
<li>This Insight goes a bit further, looking at implications of regulation on stocks of ESG ratings providers (ERPs), especially Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) and Research Analysts (RAs).</li>
<li>Downside risk are minimal for ERPs, but a few scenarios and stipulations related to conflicts of interest and compensation (how ERPs are paid, and by whom) could have an impact.</li>
</ul>


In a recent Insight, Regulating ESG Ratings in India: Outline of SEBI's Proposed Regulatory Framework, I summarised SEBI's proposed regulatory framework for ESG ratings in India. 
This Insight goes a bit further, looking at implications of regulation on stocks of ESG ratings providers (ERPs), especially Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) and Research Analysts (RAs).
Downside risk are minimal for ERPs, but a few scenarios and stipulations related to conflicts of interest and compensation (how ERPs are paid, and by whom) could have an impact.


Credit Rating Agency Stocks Most Impacted by SEBI Regulation of ESG Ratings in India

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

Creating Wealth through Alpha and Compounding

Yellowstone Equity

Providing unbiased and independent research on Indian equities to global institutions and individual investors


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Regulatory Disclosure: 
Note that Ankit Agrawal (Proprietor of Yellowstone Equity) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst (Registration No.: INH000007216). Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Research Analyst Contact Details:
Address: A-412, Shilp Aaron, Sindhu Bhavan Road, Ahmedabad, Gujarat - 380059
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289

Compliance/Grievance Officer:
Name: Ankit Agrawal
Email: services@yellowstoneequity.com
Mobile: +91-7575817289
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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TCS reported a healthy revenue growth of 15.4% YoY in constant currency (CC) terms. Operating margins contracted by -60bp to 25%, due to supply-side challenges. </li>
<li>LTM attrition for TCS was 15.4%, best in the industry. However, on an absolute basis, it is high and TCS is continuously working on stabilizing it.  </li>
<li>Growth has been broad-based across sectors and the demand outlook remains robust on the back of strong spends by corporates on digital transformation and adoption of cloud.</li>
</ul>


TCS reported a healthy revenue growth of 15.4% YoY in constant currency (CC) terms. Operating margins contracted by -60bp to 25%, due to supply-side challenges. 
LTM attrition for TCS was 15.4%, best in the industry. However, on an absolute basis, it is high and TCS is continuously working on stabilizing it.  
Growth has been broad-based across sectors and the demand outlook remains robust on the back of strong spends by corporates on digital transformation and adoption of cloud.


Earnings Update | TCS: Reports Decent Earnings

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.</li>
<li>As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.</li>
<li>Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.</li>
</ul>


The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.
As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.
Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.


Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

India

Wipro Limited specializes in IT and computer related technologies. The Group's services encompass a number of areas, including software architecture, business intelligence systems, e-commerce, data warehousing, Internet access devices, network management, system administration, messaging systems, IT consulting and design. Wipro also has a presence in niche markets of consumer products.

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Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)

Tata Consultancy Services (TCS IN): US$2.4bn Mega Buyback

Indian IT giant TCS officially launched a US$2.4bn Buyback which is one of the largest buybacks in Indian history. The Buyback Price is INR4,500...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

In this insight, I take a longer-term view on the 4 largest companies in the Indian IT Services sector, analysing their recent financial...

Wium Malan, CFA

Credit Rating Agency Stocks Most Impacted by SEBI Regulation of ESG Ratings in India

The potential impacts of SEBI's proposed framework for regulating ESG ratings are unclear at this stage, but a few things (related to conflicts of...

Kyle Rudden

Earnings Update | TCS: Reports Decent Earnings

TCS reported healthy 15%+ YoY growth in CC terms. Demand outlook continues to remain highly optimistic. Supply-side challenges are stabilizing now.

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, the Russell Micro Caps index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&P 500 is above 4495, we...

Vermilion Research

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