Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.</li>
<li>We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.
We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).
The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.


CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.
We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.


Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$600.9 million, led by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, and offset by financials, communication services, health care.</li>
<li>Outflows were driven by Material, Industries and Consumer Discretionary sectors. We highlight flows for CATL (300750 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 16th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$600.9 million, led by materials, industrials, consumer discretionary, and offset by financials, communication services, health care.
Outflows were driven by Material, Industries and Consumer Discretionary sectors. We highlight flows for CATL (300750 CH).


<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,018.4 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by health care, consumer staples, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,018.4 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by health care, consumer staples, utilities.
We highlight flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Aug 9th): Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$486.3 million, led by financials, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer discretionary, materials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$486.3 million, led by financials, health care, utilities sectors, and offset by consumer discretionary, materials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home.


Northbound Flows (Aug 2nd): Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home

China

Will Semiconductor Co.,Ltd. Shanghai manufactures image sensor products and semiconductor products. The Company produces and sells complementary metal oxide semiconductors, protecting devices, power devices, power management integrated circuits, radio frequency devices, microphone sensors, and more. Will Semiconductor Shanghai markets its products worldwide.

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Will Semiconductor Shan (603501 CH)

Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 3Q2024 and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, Wuliangye, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 16th): CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CATL (ticker: 300750 CH).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 9th): Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 2nd): Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

There could be 12 adds, 6 deletes in Dec. Impact is not very large, but 12 stocks will have flows from other index trackers too. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 3Q2024 and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, Wuliangye, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 16th): CATL

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for CATL (ticker: 300750 CH).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 9th): Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Aug 2nd): Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass Industry, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Wanhua Chemical, Moutai, CATL, Fuyao Glass...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM