Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Tower Bersama Infrastructure / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ended on 29 December. The changes should be announced in the last week of January, becoming effective after the close on 31 January.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Barito Renewables Energy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ)</a> raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share.</li>
<li>Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we covered the company’s performance, had undertaken a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share.
Barito Renewables (BR) is Indonesia’s largest geothermal power producer, and the third-largest globally by installed capacity, as per the firm.
In our previous notes, we covered the company’s performance, had undertaken a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Barito Renewables IPO Trading - Peers Look More Attractive Instead

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:722:1" rel="noopener">Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)</a> in the LQ45 Index next week.</li>
<li>There are some large changes to free float plus capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>There could be jumps in the stocks of the adds/deletes today, though there should be pre-positioning and a potential reversal later in the week.</li>
</ul>



Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) and Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ) will replace Timah Persero (TINS IJ) and Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ) in the LQ45 Index next week.
There are some large changes to free float plus capping changes for Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) and Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ). 
There could be jumps in the stocks of the adds/deletes today, though there should be pre-positioning and a potential reversal later in the week.


​​​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in a Few Days

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletions than the inclusions since lower liquidity stocks are replaced with higher liquidity stocks.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Review Period Nearly Complete

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/puradelta-lestari-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:428:1" rel="noopener">Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metrodata-electronic-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7184:1" rel="noopener">PT Metrodata Electronics (MTDL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dbs-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22:1" rel="noopener">DBS (DBS SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a thematic insight looking at Vietnamese banks, an insight looking at the SET50 rebalance which will see a benefit for financials and real estate.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Puradelta Lestari (DMAS IJ), PT Metrodata Electronics (MTDL IJ), DBS (DBS SP), and Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO IJ).
There was also a thematic insight looking at Vietnamese banks, an insight looking at the SET50 rebalance which will see a benefit for financials and real estate.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Deltamas on Form, Metrodata Enabling Digital, and DBS & Oil

Indonesia

PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk. (WIKA:IJ) one of the largest listed state-owned engineering, procurement and construction (“EPC”) companies in Indonesia with diversified construction projects was established In 1960 under the name Perusahaan Negara Bangunan Widjaja Karja.

WIKA have four business segments: Industry, Infrastructure & Building, Energy & Industrial Plant, and Realty & Property, Through these segments, we have successfully undertaken key national infrastructure projects including Balikpapan-Samarinda Toll Road, Semanggi Interchange, Jatigede Dam, Soekarno-Hatta Airport Terminal 3, Ngurah Rai Airport and the Suramadu Bridge, Serang-Panimbang Toll Road and Jakarta-Bandung High Speed Railway.

As of December 2021, WIKA is owned by the Government as to 65,05% and by public shareholders as to 34,95%, with market capitalization IDR9,91 Trillion and total order book IDR88,12 trillion

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PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

Barito Renewables IPO Trading - Peers Look More Attractive Instead

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share. In this...

Ethan Aw

LQ45 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in a Few Days

GGRM and MAPI replace TINS and JPFA in the LQ45. Passives need to buy between 1-3x ADV in the next 4 trading days. There will be pre-positioning on...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Review Period Nearly Complete

There could be up to 5 changes for the LQ45 in July. The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletes compared to the adds....

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Deltamas on Form, Metrodata Enabling Digital, and DBS & Oil

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (Jan): Reading the Tea Leaves

There could be 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in January. The potential adds have performed well while the potential deletes are trading...

Brian Freitas

Barito Renewables IPO Trading - Peers Look More Attractive Instead

Barito Renewables (2306028D IJ) raised around US$200m in its Indonesian IPO, after pricing at the top end of its IPO range at IDR780/share. In this...

Ethan Aw

​​​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in a Few Days

GGRM and MAPI replace TINS and JPFA in the LQ45. Passives need to buy between 1-3x ADV in the next 4 trading days. There will be pre-positioning on...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Review Period Nearly Complete

There could be up to 5 changes for the LQ45 in July. The impact of passive trading will be higher on the deletes compared to the adds....

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Deltamas on Form, Metrodata Enabling Digital, and DBS & Oil

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

LQ45 Index Rebalance: Two Changes in a Few Days