Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We write about one stock each from the large, mid and small cap portfolios, briefly giving the reasons behind their the innovation scores and inclusion in the portfolio.  </li>
<li>The three companies are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-johnson-831a1ab9-b291-4564-99b0-dc7f8d2b8175" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26818:1" rel="noopener">Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ UN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mondelez-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8111:1" rel="noopener">Mondelez International (MDLZ US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qorvo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11965:1" rel="noopener">Qorvo Inc (QRVO US), which have the highest weighting in each portfolio</a>
</li>
<li>For the week the large cap portfolio was up 1.2%, the midcap was up 1.4% and the small cap was up 0.9%, all in US$ terms.  </li>
</ul>


We write about one stock each from the large, mid and small cap portfolios, briefly giving the reasons behind their the innovation scores and inclusion in the portfolio.  
The three companies are Johnson &amp; Johnson (JNJ UN) , Mondelez International (MDLZ US) and Qorvo Inc (QRVO US), which have the highest weighting in each portfolio

For the week the large cap portfolio was up 1.2%, the midcap was up 1.4% and the small cap was up 0.9%, all in US$ terms.  


How the Portfolios Did for the First Week

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Positive impression of Q2 results: sales +28% YoY beat consensus, OP +16% in-line. </li>
<li>Near term headwinds for the precision motors and appliance businesses, but FX will significantly offset downside risk</li>
<li>We remain bullish on the stock given solid progress in the e-Axle business. We see the division turning a profit next year</li>
</ul>


Positive impression of Q2 results: sales +28% YoY beat consensus, OP +16% in-line. 
Near term headwinds for the precision motors and appliance businesses, but FX will significantly offset downside risk
We remain bullish on the stock given solid progress in the e-Axle business. We see the division turning a profit next year


Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

Event-Driven

is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a> overvalued or undervalued?   It depends on the what investors see as the right comps and given the current situation regards to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US)</a> ,  there is a growing possibility that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> looks to diversify away from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a> sooner versus later.

is LG Electronics (066570 KS) overvalued or undervalued?   It depends on the what investors see as the right comps and given the current situation regards to DiDi Chuxing (DIDI US) ,  there is a growing possibility that Apple Inc (AAPL US) looks to diversify away from Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT) sooner versus later. 

Does LG Group Hold Leverage over Apple and Not the Other Way Around?

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200mn in its Hong Kong IPO.The company sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health monitoring devices. The company derived most of its revenue from North AmericaOverall, growth of Vesync has been strong as the company has adapted well by selling products that have been in demand during the California fires in 2018 - 2019 and COVID-19. Its vendor central program allowed the company to scale up quickly and sell in bulk to Amazon without having to incur fulfilment costs unlike products sold via seller central program.In this note, we will look at the company’s business, revenue drivers, deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Vesync (2148 HK) is looking to raise up to US$200mn in its Hong Kong IPO.The company sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health monitoring devices. The company derived most of its revenue from North AmericaOverall, growth of Vesync has been strong as the company has adapted well by selling products that have been in demand during the California fires in 2018 - 2019 and COVID-19. Its vendor central program allowed the company to scale up quickly and sell in bulk to Amazon without having to incur fulfilment costs unlike products sold via seller central program.In this note, we will look at the company’s business, revenue drivers, deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.

Vesync IPO - The Tale of Valuation Dichotomy

Managing Director

Elan Gore

TMI Data Science

TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade & traditional media.  Our proprietary software, TMI Machine, is a text-mining platform designed with the buy-side & capital markets professional in mind, text-mining the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income & individual equities.  TMI provides custom leading indicators and systematic trading strategies, operating at the nexus of linguistics & statistics drawing on vast experience in investment banking and hedge fund settings in senior quantitative and fundamental roles.  

TMI Data Science was founded by Elan Gore, an award-winning Senior Global Basic Materials Equity Analyst & China Economist with 15 years of experience in North American hedge funds & institutional managers; and Alessandro Porrino, Ph.D., an Algorithmic Trading Analyst and Programmer with 10 years of front-office experience ranging from complex FX option pricing to auto-hedging strategies at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Standard Chartered.  Mr. Gore holds an MBA in Finance from New York University Stern School of Business, and Mr. Porrino holds a Ph.D. in Systems Engineering from Brunel University London.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The strength of US housing has been an unassailable consensus theme coming out of the March-April shock, aided by record-low rates and signs of deurbanization</li>
<li>We text-mine across a range of housing vectors to find greater nuance to the story than headlines imply</li>
<li>Extreme sentiment readings are seen in recent reporting on housing data releases (i.e. existing home sales, housing starts, NAHB); but our text-mined indicators of homebuyer intentions, deurbanization pressure and sales reported above asking price have turned softer</li>
<li>This is partially confirmed by Zillow app store data, which peaked on a Y/Y basis in July and on an absolute basis in August, recently turning roughly flat Y/Y; and by Redfin median square footage comps, which peaked in August</li>
<li>Similarly, our indicator of wood product shortages peaked in September and has stabilized since, in-line with forest products ETF relative performance and wood product pricing</li>
<li>We suspect US housing demand has been losing momentum, but remains at elevated absolute levels</li>
</ul><div class="content-highlight">TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade &amp; traditional media. Our proprietary software text-mines the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income &amp; individual equities. </div>


The strength of US housing has been an unassailable consensus theme coming out of the March-April shock, aided by record-low rates and signs of deurbanization
We text-mine across a range of housing vectors to find greater nuance to the story than headlines imply
Extreme sentiment readings are seen in recent reporting on housing data releases (i.e. existing home sales, housing starts, NAHB); but our text-mined indicators of homebuyer intentions, deurbanization pressure and sales reported above asking price have turned softer
This is partially confirmed by Zillow app store data, which peaked on a Y/Y basis in July and on an absolute basis in August, recently turning roughly flat Y/Y; and by Redfin median square footage comps, which peaked in August
Similarly, our indicator of wood product shortages peaked in September and has stabilized since, in-line with forest products ETF relative performance and wood product pricing
We suspect US housing demand has been losing momentum, but remains at elevated absolute levels
TMI Data Science utilizes Natural Language Processing to build custom leading indicators using unstructured data sourced from the global financial, trade &amp; traditional media. Our proprietary software text-mines the global media to discern and quantify nuanced qualitative shifts in press coverage as they apply to macroeconomics, equity indexes/ETFs, commodities, currencies, fixed income &amp; individual equities. 

TMI Snapshot: Some US Housing Indicators Lose Momentum as Deurbanization Theme Appears Transitory

United States

Whirlpool Corporation manufactures and markets major home appliances.  The Company's principal products include laundry appliances, refrigeration and room air conditioning equipment, cooking appliances, dishwashers, and mixers and other small household appliances.  Whirlpool's products are sold worldwide

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Whirlpool Corp (WHR US)

How the Portfolios Did for the First Week

We assess how the three portfolios did for the first week and discuss about one stock each from the large, mid and small cap portfolios, briefly...

Pyari Menon

Nidec (6594) | Solid Traction

We remain bullish on the stock given solid progress in the e-Axle business. We see the division turning a profit next year

Mark Chadwick

Does LG Group Hold Leverage over Apple and Not the Other Way Around?

Apple needs LG more than vice versa? The current situation might force Apple to diversify away from Hon Hai faster than anticipated

Ken S. Kim

Vesync IPO - The Tale of Valuation Dichotomy

Vesync sells small home appliances mainly through Amazon’s e-commerce marketplace and its products range from home environment appliances to health...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

TMI Snapshot: Some US Housing Indicators Lose Momentum as Deurbanization Theme Appears Transitory

We see potentially peaking momentum in US housing, as data suggests the pandemic-driven deurbanization theme seen as a multi-year secular catalyst...

Elan Gore

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