SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The last week of SPACs was packed with buyouts, IPOs, and deal amendments.</li><li>A co-working spaces provider gets a lifeline with a restructuring deal with its creditors, while a SPAC terminates a deal with a group of companies.</li><li>Also, two new IPOs are announced, including one from serial sponsor Michael Klein after a three-year hiatus. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. </li></ul>

The last week of SPACs was packed with buyouts, IPOs, and deal amendments.A co-working spaces provider gets a lifeline with a restructuring deal with its creditors, while a SPAC terminates a deal with a group of companies.Also, two new IPOs are announced, including one from serial sponsor Michael Klein after a three-year hiatus. Read on to find out the latest about all things SPACs. 

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

It's official: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-we-company-wework" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28061:1" rel="noopener">The We Company (WeWork) (WE US)</a> has decided to <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-16/wework-is-said-to-likely-delay-ipo-after-valuation-plummets" target="_blank" rel="noopener">pull its IPO for now, but still expects to complete it by yearend.</a>Don't hold your breath.This comes just days after WeWork <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/the-we-company-ipo-wework-confirms-nasdaq-listing-governance-changes-2019-9?utm_source=notification&amp;utm_medium=referral" target="_blank" rel="noopener">filed an amended S-1</a> announcing plans to list its new shares on the Nasdaq index even as its IPO valuation continues to dissolve. Reuters had reported on Friday that deal insiders were considering an implied equity valuation of <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-wework-ipo-valuation-exclusive-idUSKCN1VY1PB" target="_blank" rel="noopener">just $10-12 billion,</a> a stunning 78% drop versus the extravagant $47 billion floated since January. My analysis shows even $10 billion is too high.So it's not surprising that long-term backer and top investor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27445:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Corp (9434 JP)</a>, arguably the most responsible for WeWork's incredible equity valuations, had <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/111f8e00-d346-11e9-8367-807ebd53ab77" target="_blank" rel="noopener">urged the company to scuttle the IPO</a> given the "cool reception" it's been getting.Yet WeWork is compelled to push on regardless, seemingly <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/f28474a2-d57e-11e9-a0bd-ab8ec6435630" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ready to concede to any terms</a>to get a deal done, because its financial condition is much more fragile than it has been trying to project. It has little time to waste and few alternatives.That means Plan B must already be in the works.Either way, risk has intensified for WeWork's overpriced bonds.Read on for Bond Angle analysis: How did WeWork get so expensive and What's next? Plus a new WeWork model, equity valuation and forecast, and more.

It's official: The We Company (WeWork) (WE US) has decided to pull its IPO for now, but still expects to complete it by yearend.Don't hold your breath.This comes just days after WeWork filed an amended S-1 announcing plans to list its new shares on the Nasdaq index even as its IPO valuation continues to dissolve. Reuters had reported on Friday that deal insiders were considering an implied equity valuation of just $10-12 billion, a stunning 78% drop versus the extravagant $47 billion floated since January. My analysis shows even $10 billion is too high.So it's not surprising that long-term backer and top investor Softbank Corp (9434 JP), arguably the most responsible for WeWork's incredible equity valuations, had urged the company to scuttle the IPO given the "cool reception" it's been getting.Yet WeWork is compelled to push on regardless, seemingly ready to concede to any termsto get a deal done, because its financial condition is much more fragile than it has been trying to project. It has little time to waste and few alternatives.That means Plan B must already be in the works.Either way, risk has intensified for WeWork's overpriced bonds.Read on for Bond Angle analysis: How did WeWork get so expensive and What's next? Plus a new WeWork model, equity valuation and forecast, and more.

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<ul>
<li>Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week</li>
<li>The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs</li>
<li>Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR</li>
</ul>


Tech weakness has not only eroded the underlying asset value but raised concerns on leverage and the potential for an ARM IPO. The discount expanded by 4pp in one week
The timing and pricing of an ARM IPO looks more precarious as the semiconductor sector fell 13% over two days and is now down 34% from all-time highs
Currency tailwinds have provided some offset with an unprecedented dollar move mimiting downside in Softbank shares to 8% YTD versus a 24% decline for the $-based ADR


Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Nvidia's stock soars 15%, aiming to make shares more accessible</li>
<li>TotalEnergies invests £450 million in UK power plant, enhancing renewables</li>
<li>Consolidation trend observed in Singapore's office market amid tech shifts</li>
</ul>


Nvidia's stock soars 15%, aiming to make shares more accessible
TotalEnergies invests £450 million in UK power plant, enhancing renewables
Consolidation trend observed in Singapore's office market amid tech shifts


#12Business Buzz: Nvidia's Stock Split, TotalEnergies' UK Power Play, Tencent's Singapore Shift

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>SoftBank group’s headline NAV discount is over 50%, factoring in the T-Mobile shares windfall at December-end</li>
<li>SoftBank Corp is looking to IPO digital payments company PayPay, which should also be a positive driver for SoftBank Group shares going forward, but only a marginal one</li>
<li>Arm shares have been defying gravity, but we see downside risk going forward, as well as questions over SVF1 and SVF2 private company valuations; and the threat of JPY appreciation</li>
</ul>


SoftBank group’s headline NAV discount is over 50%, factoring in the T-Mobile shares windfall at December-end
SoftBank Corp is looking to IPO digital payments company PayPay, which should also be a positive driver for SoftBank Group shares going forward, but only a marginal one
Arm shares have been defying gravity, but we see downside risk going forward, as well as questions over SVF1 and SVF2 private company valuations; and the threat of JPY appreciation


Softbank (9984 JP): Big Fat NAV Discount, but Headwinds Outweigh Tailwinds Going Forward

United States

Anywhere Real Estate Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, provides real estate, franchising, brokerage, relocation, and title and settlement services. Anywhere Real Estate offers its services worldwide.

Tejon Ranch Co. is a diversified real estate development and agri-business company owning land located in Los Angeles and Kern counties, California. The Company is in the process of developing its land holdings along transportation corridors into master-planned business and residential communities.

Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company. The Company acquires entitled real estate and develops it into finished residential lots for sale to homebuilders with a strategic focus on asset turns. Forestar Group serves customers in the United States.

CorEnergy Infrastructure Trust, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily owns  midstream and downstream U.S. energy infrastructure assets subject to long-term triple net participating leases with energy companies. These assets include pipelines, storage tanks, transmission lines and gathering systems.

Trinity Place Holdings, Inc. owns real estate and intellectual property assets from the Syms Corporation Chapter 11. The company's current business plan includes the monetization of 16 commercial real estate properties and the development of 28-42 Trinity Place in Lower Manhattan.

Cushman & Wakefield plc operates as a commercial real estate company. The Company develops commercial properties, as well as provides property leasing, facilities management, tenant representation, and valuation services. Cushman & Wakefield serves clients worldwide.

Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. operates as a self-advised real estate investment trust focusing on the lodging industry. The Company owns several hotel properties in primary, secondary, and resort markets throughout the United States.

Clipper Realty Inc. operates as a real estate investment company. The Company acquires, owns, manages, operates, and repositions multi-family residential and commercial properties in the New York metropolitan area.

Office Properties Income Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company focuses on ownership and leasing of office properties. Office Properties Income Trust serves customers in the United States.

The Howard Hughes Corporation develops real estate. The Company manages master planned communities, shopping malls, and mixed-use developments throughout the United States.

Luminor Financial Holdings Limited is a property developer engaged in developing integrated residential and commercial properties in the PRC. The Company's projects are integrated residential and commercial properties in Chongqing and other second and third tier cities in the PRC, which are mainly large-scale, mid to high end and multi-phased projects.

Luminor Financial Holdings Limited (STHL SP)

Boill Healthcare Holdings Limited operates non residential building construction. The Company develops and constructs club houses, parking lots, and other projects. Boill Healthcare Holdings also operates property development, health resort development, securities investment, foundation piling subcontracting, and other businesses.

The Agency Group Australia Ltd provides real estate services. The Company buys, sells, and rents commercial and residential real estate spaces, as well as social media campaigns and market research services. Agency Group serves customers worldwide.

GPS Alliance Holdings Limited is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in real estate, property development and interior design.

Zodiac Ventures Ltd. develops real estate and offers construction services.

Grand Field Group Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties.

Eminence Enterprise Limited provides real estates services. The Company engages in property investment and development, as well as invests in listed securities and money lending business. Eminence Enterprise serves investors in in Hong Kong.

International Equities Corporation Limited is a property developer and operates a hotel in Perth, Western Australia.

Yincheng International Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a property service provider. The Company offers development and sale of residential and commercial properties, leasing of investment properties, and other real estate services. Yincheng International Holding serves clients in China.

KC Property Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries develop land and real estate in Thailand. The Company develops commercial buildings, apartment buildings, condominiums, single houses, townhouses, cluster houses, and garden resorts. The Company's projects include Ban Klang Buri, Modern Home  Place, and Modern Home Garden Village.

WeWork Inc. provides co-working spaces for individuals and entrepreneurs. The Company offers private offices, office suites, headquarters, and custom build out options to fit a variety of office needs, as well as desk spaces and conference rooms. WeWork serves customers worldwide.

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WeWork (WEWKQ US)

Rebooting WeWork

A co-working spaces provider gets a lifeline with a restructuring deal with its creditors, while a SPAC terminates a deal with a group of companies.

subSPAC

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

WSJ reports that WeWork will file bankruptcy next week, pending ongoing discussions with its beleaguered creditors. Surprised? You shouldn't be....

Vicki Bryan

Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

The discount to fair value has expanded by 4pp in a week as tech weakness not only reduces net asset value but also raises concerns on an IPO of...

Kirk Boodry

#12Business Buzz: Nvidia's Stock Split, TotalEnergies' UK Power Play, Tencent's Singapore Shift

Nvidia's stock surges, TotalEnergies invests in UK renewables, and Singapore's office market sees consolidation due to tech changes.

Nimish Maheshwari

Softbank (9984 JP): Big Fat NAV Discount, but Headwinds Outweigh Tailwinds Going Forward

SoftBank group's NAV discount is 50%+, post T-Mobile shares windfall. PayPay IPO may boost SoftBank shares a bit but JPY strength detracts, Arm...

Victor Galliano

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rebooting WeWork

A co-working spaces provider gets a lifeline with a restructuring deal with its creditors, while a SPAC terminates a deal with a group of companies.

subSPAC

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

WSJ reports that WeWork will file bankruptcy next week, pending ongoing discussions with its beleaguered creditors. Surprised? You shouldn't be....

Vicki Bryan

Softbank Group - Semiconductor Weakness Expands Discount

The discount to fair value has expanded by 4pp in a week as tech weakness not only reduces net asset value but also raises concerns on an IPO of...

Kirk Boodry

#12Business Buzz: Nvidia's Stock Split, TotalEnergies' UK Power Play, Tencent's Singapore Shift

​Nvidia's stock surges, TotalEnergies invests in UK renewables, and Singapore's office market sees consolidation due to tech changes.

Nimish Maheshwari

Softbank (9984 JP): Big Fat NAV Discount, but Headwinds Outweigh Tailwinds Going Forward

​SoftBank group's NAV discount is 50%+, post T-Mobile shares windfall. PayPay IPO may boost SoftBank shares a bit but JPY strength detracts, Arm...

Victor Galliano

Nvidia's stock surges, TotalEnergies invests in UK renewables, and Singapore's office market sees consolidation due to tech changes.

SoftBank group's NAV discount is 50%+, post T-Mobile shares windfall. PayPay IPO may boost SoftBank shares a bit but JPY strength detracts, Arm...