Founder, BWS Financial Inc

Hamed Khorsand

Founder

Independent Stock Specific Research

BWS Financial Inc

BWS provides independent stock specific research focused on companies with distinct value that are going through a special situation where there is a tangible catalyst not priced in. The catalyst can be anything from new product, restructuring, M&A, management change, change in business strategy, etc. BWS’s focus is to understand the change and evaluate the potential return for investors.

BWS utilizes a self formed proprietary approach in discovering stocks by putting great emphasis on deep research. BWS does generate short recommendations following a similar criteria.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WDFC reported fiscal fourth quarter (August) results missing the Company’s guidance due to slower roll out of price increases and continued inflationary pressures on input costs</li>
<li>The miss underscores our continued concerns in the business where WDFC is depending on price increases to solve demand shortfall with management affirming unit volumes declined in the quarter</li>
<li>WDFC’s sales benefited from certain customers pulling forward orders in anticipation of announced price increases in fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal first quarter</li>
</ul>


WDFC reported fiscal fourth quarter (August) results missing the Company’s guidance due to slower roll out of price increases and continued inflationary pressures on input costs
The miss underscores our continued concerns in the business where WDFC is depending on price increases to solve demand shortfall with management affirming unit volumes declined in the quarter
WDFC’s sales benefited from certain customers pulling forward orders in anticipation of announced price increases in fiscal fourth quarter and fiscal first quarter


<ul>
<li>The recent decline in crude oil has resulted in optimism WDFC’s gross margin would improve. There is a delay before WDFC sees a benefit/impact from the price of oil</li>
<li>We continue to maintain our viewpoint of WDFC experiencing slower demand for its products from consumers and retailers holding back on orders</li>
<li>WDFC’s exposure to international markets could negatively impact sales due to the strong US Dollar</li>
</ul>


The recent decline in crude oil has resulted in optimism WDFC’s gross margin would improve. There is a delay before WDFC sees a benefit/impact from the price of oil
We continue to maintain our viewpoint of WDFC experiencing slower demand for its products from consumers and retailers holding back on orders
WDFC’s exposure to international markets could negatively impact sales due to the strong US Dollar


WDFC: Expectations Set for Disappointment

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

S&amp;P 500 Potential Support Levels. Current logical support levels we are monitoring include the December 2018 low of 2,346 and prior resistance in 2015-2016 at 2,130-2,200. The 2,346 level would make a lot of sense, however there is nothing that says we can’t be down 35% (coinciding with the 2,130-2,200 level) or more from the highs. Ultimately, COVID-19 is holding the market hostage and it likely will stay that way until the virus spread diminishes.

S&amp;P 500 Potential Support Levels. Current logical support levels we are monitoring include the December 2018 low of 2,346 and prior resistance in 2015-2016 at 2,130-2,200. The 2,346 level would make a lot of sense, however there is nothing that says we can’t be down 35% (coinciding with the 2,130-2,200 level) or more from the highs. Ultimately, COVID-19 is holding the market hostage and it likely will stay that way until the virus spread diminishes.

S&P 500 Technical Appraisal and Support Levels

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to to get a pulse on the market. At the same time, several cyclical areas of the market have bounced off of logical support while RS has been unable to break out to new highs for defensive Sectors. Absent bearish price inflections in the cyclicals and new RS highs for defensive areas of the market, equities are likely to remain in a state of purgatory.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities.

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to to get a pulse on the market. At the same time, several cyclical areas of the market have bounced off of logical support while RS has been unable to break out to new highs for defensive Sectors. Absent bearish price inflections in the cyclicals and new RS highs for defensive areas of the market, equities are likely to remain in a state of purgatory.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Still Susceptible

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns was not far off. In today’s report we assess the damage and highlight key support levels.  We also highlight attractive Groups  and stocks within the Materials, Utilities, and Consumer Staples Sectors.

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for breakdowns was not far off. In today’s report we assess the damage and highlight key support levels.  We also highlight attractive Groups  and stocks within the Materials, Utilities, and Consumer Staples Sectors.

Key Support Levels Being Tested for U.S. Indexes

United States

WD-40 Company manufactures and markets multi-purpose lubricant products and heavy-duty hand cleaners.  The Company's WD-40 acts as a lubricant, rust preventative, penetrant, cleaner, and moisture displacer.  WD-40's 3-IN-ONE Oil is a drip oil lubricant that allows precise application. The Company also manufactures Lava heavy-duty hand cleaner and other household cleaning products.

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WD-40 Company (WDFC US)

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BWS Financial Inc

S&P 500 Technical Appraisal and Support Levels

S&P 500 Potential Support Levels. Current logical support levels we are monitoring include the December 2018 low of 2,346 and prior resistance...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Still Susceptible

We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to...

Vermilion Research

Key Support Levels Being Tested for U.S. Indexes

With major indexes testing support last week, we highlighted that while we expect to see indexes firm up based on YTD trends, the potential for...

Vermilion Research

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