Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>JFSL spun off from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:198:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Industries (RIL IN)</a> last week and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ventia-services-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34917:1" rel="noopener">Ventia (VNT AU)</a> replaced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>The IDX should announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices early in the coming week.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> while Taiwan focused ETFs had outflows.</li>
</ul>


JFSL spun off from Reliance Industries (RIL IN) last week and Ventia (VNT AU) replaced Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
The IDX should announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices early in the coming week.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) while Taiwan focused ETFs had outflows.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Some semiconductor/electronic component stocks have seen their share prices skyrocket in recent months due to AI-related excitement causing drastic shifts in Leaderboard rankings.</li>
<li>In my last insight, I expected two T50 changes and one T100 change. Now I expect five T50 changes and three T100 changes.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.
Some semiconductor/electronic component stocks have seen their share prices skyrocket in recent months due to AI-related excitement causing drastic shifts in Leaderboard rankings.
In my last insight, I expected two T50 changes and one T100 change. Now I expect five T50 changes and three T100 changes.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>At present, I see two changes for the T50 index and one change for the T100 index.</li>
<li>The T100 change is an important one as the expected DEL <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisdom-marine-lines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10001:1" rel="noopener">Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT)</a> could also get deleted from the TDIV index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the T50 and T100 Indices for the September 2023 Rebalance.
At present, I see two changes for the T50 index and one change for the T100 index.
The T100 change is an important one as the expected DEL Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT) could also get deleted from the TDIV index.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​100 Jun 23: Wisdom Marine Facing TDIV Deletion

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. </li>
<li>Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.</li>
<li>Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. 
Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.
Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.


Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

Taiwan

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. provides marine transportation and shipping agent services. The Company also purchases, sells, and leases vessels and containers as well as operates container freight stations.

Price Gauge
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Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

T100 expected DEL Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT) is also a TDIV member and could be deleted from the TDIV index which would influence the TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun 23: Wisdom Marine Facing TDIV Deletion

Lite On Tech and Wistron Corp could move from T100 to T50 while Walsin Lihwa and Wan Hai Lines could move from T50 to T100. Aerospace Industrial...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, SK Telecom, Yuanta ETFs

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

T100 expected DEL Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT) is also a TDIV member and could be deleted from the TDIV index which would influence the TDIV...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​100 Jun 23: Wisdom Marine Facing TDIV Deletion

Lite On Tech and Wistron Corp could move from T100 to T50 while Walsin Lihwa and Wan Hai Lines could move from T50 to T100. Aerospace Industrial...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Sep 23: AI Frenzy Causes Many Changes to Expectations

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun 23: Wisdom Marine Facing TDIV Deletion