European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since mid-May, share-price spreads have not shown a clear trend across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 7 widened, 1 remained at same level).</li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols, Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen.</li>
<li>Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-May, share-price spreads have not shown a clear trend across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have tightened, 7 widened, 1 remained at same level).
Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, Grifols, Media-for-Europe, Sixt, Volkswagen.
Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: June‘24 Report

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Volkswagen are planning to IPO Porsche in order to address company valuation and to raise funds to further expand into the EV market.</li>
<li>The stock looks attractive on a valuation basis and the company has the potential to transform and future proof the business and gain a more favourable P/E ratio.</li>
<li>We look at the Derivatives Market for the best risk reward strategies.</li>
</ul>


Volkswagen are planning to IPO Porsche in order to address company valuation and to raise funds to further expand into the EV market.
The stock looks attractive on a valuation basis and the company has the potential to transform and future proof the business and gain a more favourable P/E ratio.
We look at the Derivatives Market for the best risk reward strategies.


EQD | Volkswagen (VOW3 GY): Porsche IPO Could Unlock Value-We Look at the Best Derivative Trades

<ul>
<li>Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, 450 bps in the case of Volkswagen.</li>
<li>Recommendations Long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, Investor AB.</li>
<li>Recommendations Long prefs / short ords: BMW, Roche, Schroders, Telecom Italia, Volkswagen.</li>
</ul>


Spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe, 450 bps in the case of Volkswagen.
Recommendations Long ords / short prefs: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, Investor AB.
Recommendations Long prefs / short ords: BMW, Roche, Schroders, Telecom Italia, Volkswagen.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: January '22 Report

Porsche Automobil Holding  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Porsche SE is trading at a 35.3% discount to NAV, vs. 32.4% long-term average, implying a 68% probability that Porsche SE will be liable for c. €6.5 billion legal claims.</li>
<li>I think this is too harsh. Shares are trading at a Fwd P/E of 2.5x and a dividend yield of 7.8%, which I consider very attractive. </li>
<li>Porsche SE presents an attractive opportunity to gain exposure to Volkswagen and Porsche AG. Porsche SE is focusing on deleveraging which should drive a reduction in the discount.</li>
</ul>


Porsche SE is trading at a 35.3% discount to NAV, vs. 32.4% long-term average, implying a 68% probability that Porsche SE will be liable for c. €6.5 billion legal claims.
I think this is too harsh. Shares are trading at a Fwd P/E of 2.5x and a dividend yield of 7.8%, which I consider very attractive. 
Porsche SE presents an attractive opportunity to gain exposure to Volkswagen and Porsche AG. Porsche SE is focusing on deleveraging which should drive a reduction in the discount.


Porsche Automobile Holding: H1, Model Update, Discount to NAV

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

Germany

Volkswagen AG manufactures and sells vehicles. The Company offers economy and luxury automobiles, sports cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. Volkswagen serves customers worldwide.

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Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR)

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: June‘24 Report

Since mid-May, share-price spreads have not shown a clear trend across our European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (9 have...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

EQD | Volkswagen (VOW3 GY): Porsche IPO Could Unlock Value-We Look at the Best Derivative Trades

Volkswagen AG intends to IPO 25% of its Porsche Unit. This should unlock value and supprt the stock which is trading historically cheap. We...

Simon Harris

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: January '22 Report

This report contains a table with a selection of European companies with non-voting shares and ordinary shares. Spreads have generally...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Porsche Automobile Holding: H1, Model Update, Discount to NAV

Porsche SE is trading at a 35.3% discount to NAV, vs. 32.4% long-term average, implying a 68% probability that Porsche SE will be liable for c....

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

The pre-IPO shareholders came out of lockup today, leading to a 67% drop in the share price with an accompanying spike in volumes.

Sumeet Singh

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