Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.</li>
<li>The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.</li>
<li>Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered hydrocarbons in the Barco (Guadalupe) formation.
The Halcon-1 well at CPO-5 that also encountered potential hydrocarbons in the Guadalupe flowed at intermittent rates.
Pharos Energy (PHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Reducing net debt by a further US$10 mm – FY23 production was 6,508 boe/d, which is the middle of the production guidance of 6.35-6.75 mboe/d.


<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Narrowing uncertainty and resources range at Anshof - The Anshof-2 well encountered high quality Eocene sands with at least 12 metres vertical thickness and porosity of ~20%.</li>
<li>The top of the Eocene sand was encountered ~40-50 m higher than expected, suggesting a much larger and flatter structure than expected in the P50 case.</li>
<li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK100 per share: Production update in Oman – WI Production in November was 8,361 bbl/d.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Narrowing uncertainty and resources range at Anshof - The Anshof-2 well encountered high quality Eocene sands with at least 12 metres vertical thickness and porosity of ~20%.
The top of the Eocene sand was encountered ~40-50 m higher than expected, suggesting a much larger and flatter structure than expected in the P50 case.
Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK100 per share: Production update in Oman – WI Production in November was 8,361 bbl/d.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Drilling commences at Anshof-2 – Drilling at Anshof-2 has started.</li><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.55 per share: High flow and a new discovery at RCE-6.</li><li>Re-iterating FY23 guidance - 3Q23 production of 19,961 bbl/d and net cash at the end of September of ~US$103 mm had already been announced.</li></ul>

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Drilling commences at Anshof-2 – Drilling at Anshof-2 has started.Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.55 per share: High flow and a new discovery at RCE-6.Re-iterating FY23 guidance - 3Q23 production of 19,961 bbl/d and net cash at the end of September of ~US$103 mm had already been announced.

<ul>
<li>Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN) C ; target price of C$0.90 per share: Additional acreage should increase the size of the prize – Pulsar has signed a lease with a private mineral rights holder to expand the area of the company’s Topaz helium project.</li>
<li>The additional mineral rights are within a 6.2 mile radius of the Topaz discovery and cover a total of 2,840 gross acres (1,049 net acres).</li>
<li>This represents ~100% increase to the existing 1,040 net acres under lease. Pulsar has also an option to acquire a further 2,092 net acres. </li>
</ul>


Pulsar Helium (PLSR CN) C ; target price of C$0.90 per share: Additional acreage should increase the size of the prize – Pulsar has signed a lease with a private mineral rights holder to expand the area of the company’s Topaz helium project.
The additional mineral rights are within a 6.2 mile radius of the Topaz discovery and cover a total of 2,840 gross acres (1,049 net acres).
This represents ~100% increase to the existing 1,040 net acres under lease. Pulsar has also an option to acquire a further 2,092 net acres. 


<ul>
<li>2Q23 production was 19,961 bbl/d with the difference to our forecast mostly reflecting the timing of drilling.</li>
<li>Wassana (1.6 mbbl/d production during 2Q23) was offline in 3Q23.</li>
<li>Our YE24 estimated net cash (~US$450 mm given the late tax restructuring) represents 1.6x the current market cap of the company.</li>
</ul>


2Q23 production was 19,961 bbl/d with the difference to our forecast mostly reflecting the timing of drilling.
Wassana (1.6 mbbl/d production during 2Q23) was offline in 3Q23.
Our YE24 estimated net cash (~US$450 mm given the late tax restructuring) represents 1.6x the current market cap of the company.


Valeura Energy (TSE VLE): ~20 mbbl/d production in 2Q23

Canada

Valeura Energy Inc. operates as an exploration company. The Company engages in the development and production of petroleum and natural gas. Valeura Energy focuses on growing its resource base and production in the Thrace Basin in Northwest Turkey.

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Valeura Energy Inc (VLE CN)

Auctus on Friday - 19/01/2024

GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$24 per share: Further exploration success in Colombia – The Perico-1 exploration well at CPO-5 encountered...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 15/12/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Narrowing uncertainty and resources range at Anshof - The Anshof-2 well encountered high...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 03/02/2023

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Drilling commences at Anshof-2 – Drilling at...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 13/10/2023

Pulsar has signed a lease with a private mineral rights holder to expand the area of the company’s Topaz helium project.

Auctus Advisors

Valeura Energy (TSE VLE): ~20 mbbl/d production in 2Q23

2Q23 production was 19,961 bbl/d with the difference to our forecast mostly reflecting the timing of drilling. Wassana (1.6 mbbl/d production...

Auctus Advisors

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