Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

In this note, we show that the beta of EM rates to US rates has picked up in recent days as EM rates have gone from outperforming to underperforming as US rates sell-off.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we show that the beta of EM rates to US rates has picked up in recent days as EM rates have gone from outperforming to underperforming as US rates sell-off.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Long-End Rates Relink with US Rates

In this note, we go over the impact of last week's MPC meetings in Mexico, South Africa, and Colombia on our trade recommendations in these countries.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we go over the impact of last week's MPC meetings in Mexico, South Africa, and Colombia on our trade recommendations in these countries.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Our Trade Recommendations in the Aftermath of Last Week’s MPC Meetings

We discuss our views on three critical upcoming MPC meetings in EM countries. While none of the three are expected to make any changes in policy rates just yet, the statements could still be market-moving.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

We discuss our views on three critical upcoming MPC meetings in EM countries. While none of the three are expected to make any changes in policy rates just yet, the statements could still be market-moving.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Eventful MPC Meetings Coming Up

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

Yield related assets have held up very well and appear to be front running a top in yield. Gold held up incredibly well and banks stocks hit resistance to start working in a pair short. NDX is well off the 12,300 low in futures from early March and kissing fresh long support near 12,700. Lows in gold, NDX and top in XLF and the USD tells us that a shift is taking place ahead of a top in yield.

Yield related assets have held up very well and appear to be front running a top in yield. Gold held up incredibly well and banks stocks hit resistance to start working in a pair short. NDX is well off the 12,300 low in futures from early March and kissing fresh long support near 12,700. Lows in gold, NDX and top in XLF and the USD tells us that a shift is taking place ahead of a top in yield.

In this note, we assess in which countries in EM is the carry in 10y rates high enough for the current volatility and in which countries it is not.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we assess in which countries in EM is the carry in 10y rates high enough for the current volatility and in which countries it is not.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: In Which Countries Is the Rates Carry Sufficient for the Volatility?

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) (GT10 GOVT)

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Long-End Rates Relink with US Rates

In this note, we show that the beta of EM rates to US rates has picked up in recent days as EM rates have gone from outperforming to...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Our Trade Recommendations in the Aftermath of Last Week’s MPC Meetings

In this note, we go over the impact of last week's MPC meetings in Mexico, South Africa, and Colombia on our trade recommendations in these countries.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Eventful MPC Meetings Coming Up

We discuss our views on three critical upcoming MPC meetings in EM. While none of the three are expected to make any changes in policy rates just...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Assets Front Running a Yield Peak

Yield linked assets are front running a top in yield. Gold held up incredibly well and banks stocks hit resistance to start working in a pair...

Thomas Schroeder

Rates 10y Dashboard: In Which Countries Is the Rates Carry Sufficient for the Volatility?

In this note, we assess in which countries in EM is the carry in 10y rates high enough for the current volatility and in which countries it is not.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)