Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>The short-term recovery momentum observed in China and consumer markets.</li>
<li>The Gen 3 in 4Q23 accounts for about 50% of the production, expected to increase to around 60-70% in 4Q24F.</li>
<li>Expecting to improve quarter by quarter after reaching the bottom in 1Q24F, and the growth is expected to recover to around 20%+ YoY in 2024F.</li>
</ul>


The short-term recovery momentum observed in China and consumer markets.
The Gen 3 in 4Q23 accounts for about 50% of the production, expected to increase to around 60-70% in 4Q24F.
Expecting to improve quarter by quarter after reaching the bottom in 1Q24F, and the growth is expected to recover to around 20%+ YoY in 2024F.


Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

<ul>
<li>The sales in January 2024 were the lowest during the period of 2022-2024, indicating a likely downtrend for the first quarter of 2024.</li>
<li>Demand is expected to be flat or slightly increase in 2Q24F for GlobalWafers, which is encouraging.</li>
<li>The market for 12" raw wafers is expected to have a more stable demand-supply balance, while raw wafers of 8” and smaller sizes could experience reduced demand in 1H24F.</li>
</ul>


The sales in January 2024 were the lowest during the period of 2022-2024, indicating a likely downtrend for the first quarter of 2024.
Demand is expected to be flat or slightly increase in 2Q24F for GlobalWafers, which is encouraging.
The market for 12" raw wafers is expected to have a more stable demand-supply balance, while raw wafers of 8” and smaller sizes could experience reduced demand in 1H24F.


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): 1Q24F Is a Down Quarter; Anticipating a Much Better Growth Rate in 2025F.

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The supply chain received good news that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a> as successfully passed iPhone 16 OLED DRIVER IC (DDIC) qualification.</li>
<li>Novatek's recent alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2 is a noteworthy development.</li>
<li>Novatek's 1Q24F forecast remains unchanged, but the outlook for 2024F is likely to show positive growth.</li>
</ul>


The supply chain received good news that Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) as successfully passed iPhone 16 OLED DRIVER IC (DDIC) qualification.
Novatek's recent alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2 is a noteworthy development.
Novatek's 1Q24F forecast remains unchanged, but the outlook for 2024F is likely to show positive growth.


Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.</li>
<li>UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,</li>
<li>While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.</li>
</ul>


UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.
UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,
While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.


United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

The first annual profit was turnaround in 4Q23. It's recovery momentum in China and consumer markets now. The growth is expected to recover to 20%+...

Patrick Liao

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): 1Q24F Is a Down Quarter; Anticipating a Much Better Growth Rate in 2025F.

Sales in Jan 2024 hit a low, hinting at a downward trend for 1Q24. GlobalWafers may see flat or slightly increased demand in 2Q24, with 12" wafers...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

The first annual profit was turnaround in 4Q23. It's recovery momentum in China and consumer markets now. The growth is expected to recover to 20%+...

Patrick Liao

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): 1Q24F Is a Down Quarter; Anticipating a Much Better Growth Rate in 2025F.

​Sales in Jan 2024 hit a low, hinting at a downward trend for 1Q24. GlobalWafers may see flat or slightly increased demand in 2Q24, with 12" wafers...

Patrick Liao

Novatek (3034.TT): It Had Been Qualified by the IPhone 16 for OLED Driver IC.

​Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

Patrick Liao

United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

​UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Sales in Jan 2024 hit a low, hinting at a downward trend for 1Q24. GlobalWafers may see flat or slightly increased demand in 2Q24, with 12" wafers...

Novatek's successful qualification for iPhone 16 OLED DDIC and partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2 development signal positive growth in 2024.

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...