Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ADR premiums for dual-listed Taiwan shares have overall been on the uptrend this week, as semiconductor industy optimism in the U.S. as increased.</li>
<li>TSMC's ADR premium appears to be trading at a new higher range in the last few months.</li>
<li>Other spreads have risen as well lately; it's probably best to wait for significant reversals, which usually happen within two weeks at most.</li>
</ul>


ADR premiums for dual-listed Taiwan shares have overall been on the uptrend this week, as semiconductor industy optimism in the U.S. as increased.
TSMC's ADR premium appears to be trading at a new higher range in the last few months.
Other spreads have risen as well lately; it's probably best to wait for significant reversals, which usually happen within two weeks at most.


Taiwan Dual-Listings: ADR Premiums on the Rise; TSMC Premium Persistently Higher Lately

<ul>
<li>Micron earnings this week, will provide insight on the outlook for the memory chip space.</li>
<li>The Taiwanese market has substantially lagged the surge in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.</li>
<li>Chinese firms are trying to poach engineers from TSMC and UMC by offering 2-3x their salaries.</li>
</ul>


Micron earnings this week, will provide insight on the outlook for the memory chip space.
The Taiwanese market has substantially lagged the surge in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
Chinese firms are trying to poach engineers from TSMC and UMC by offering 2-3x their salaries.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Earnings to Provide Memory Outlook; Taiwan Vs. SOX Divergence

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine, Teco Elec &amp; Mach, Yulon Motor, Fitipower, Unimicron Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine, Teco Elec &amp; Mach, Yulon Motor, Fitipower, Unimicron Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 24th): Global Unichip, Nan Ya, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital, Htc, Chung-Hsin.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 17th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital, Htc, Chung-Hsin.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings: ADR Premiums on the Rise; TSMC Premium Persistently Higher Lately

Other spreads have risen as well lately; it's probably best to wait for significant reversals, which usually happen within two weeks at most.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Earnings to Provide Memory Outlook; Taiwan Vs. SOX Divergence

Micron earnings this week, will provide insight on the outlook for the memory chip space. We remain biased to be Long Micron vs. Short Nanya Tech.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 24th): Global Unichip, Nan Ya, Asia Vital, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Global Unichip, Nan Ya Printed, Asia Vital,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 17th): Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Alchip Tech, Global Unichip,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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