Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Asm International Nv / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure</li>
<li>We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) are resuming their uptrends following several weeks of consolidation above major base supports (classic bull market behavior). Our outlook for global equities remains bullish.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 has held above critical support at 4400-4415, and now displays a bull flag breakout following over a month of consolidation -- add exposure
We highlight many buy opportunities within global Technology, Services, and Communications


EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

<ul>
<li>Our overall outlook remains largely unchanged; we remain bullish on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) is above major $93 support.</li>
<li>We also discussed that if the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% and the DXY is below $105.70, we would continue to expect $93 support on ACWI-US to hold.</li>
<li>The 10-year Treasury yield is attempting to break above 4.35% and this could create a problem for ACWI-US; we will continue to monitor closely.</li>
</ul>


Our overall outlook remains largely unchanged; we remain bullish on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) is above major $93 support.
We also discussed that if the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35% and the DXY is below $105.70, we would continue to expect $93 support on ACWI-US to hold.
The 10-year Treasury yield is attempting to break above 4.35% and this could create a problem for ACWI-US; we will continue to monitor closely.


Overweight Value Within Global Ex-U.S. Equities; DXY Below $105.70; Buys in Global Value

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/software-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21717:1" rel="noopener">Software AG (SOW GR)</a> was deleted from the MDAX index triggering a couple of interim changes in the last week of July 2023.</li>
<li>Currently, I do not expect any changes for the DAX or MDAX indices in September 2023 but I expect one change for the SDAX index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.

Software AG (SOW GR) was deleted from the MDAX index triggering a couple of interim changes in the last week of July 2023.
Currently, I do not expect any changes for the DAX or MDAX indices in September 2023 but I expect one change for the SDAX index.


Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Sep 23: No More Catalyst for the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck Trade

<ul>
<li>The June 2023 index changes for the DAX index family were confirmed after the close yesterday.</li>
<li>As expected, there were no changes announced for the DAX index.</li>
<li>There will be four changes for MDAX, one change for SDAX, and one change for TecDAX.</li>
</ul>


The June 2023 index changes for the DAX index family were confirmed after the close yesterday.
As expected, there were no changes announced for the DAX index.
There will be four changes for MDAX, one change for SDAX, and one change for TecDAX.


Quiddity Flow Expectations for DAX Jun 23 Rebal: Evotec Is the Main Surprise

Samhällsbyggnadsbolaget I Norden AB / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The June 2023 regular rebalance index changes for the SE600 index and the EURSTX index were announced after the close yesterday.</li>
<li>There are 8 ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the EURSTX index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a closer look at our final index flow expectations for June 2023.</li>
</ul>


The June 2023 regular rebalance index changes for the SE600 index and the EURSTX index were announced after the close yesterday.
There are 8 ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index and 3 ADDs and 2 DELs for the EURSTX index.
In this insight, we take a closer look at our final index flow expectations for June 2023.


SE600 Jun 23 Rebal: Past Trades Successful, DELs Could Underperform Index over the Next ~2 Weeks

Germany

United Internet AG operates as an internet services company. The Company provides landline and mobile internet access products, as well as cloud applications at data centers with fixed monthly fees and volume-based charges. United Internet serves consumers and business clients worldwide.

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United Internet (UTDI GR)

EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in Technology, Services, & Comm

EURO $STOXX 50, MSCI $ACWI Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Actionable Themes: Global Technology, Services, and Communications $ASML $ASMIY...

Vermilion Research

Overweight Value Within Global Ex-U.S. Equities; DXY Below $105.70; Buys in Global Value

We're constructive on global equities as long as $ACWI is above $93 support, however, the 10-year Treasury yield $TNX is breaking above 4.35%...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Sep 23: No More Catalyst for the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck Trade

I do not expect Sartorius to get deleted from DAX in Sep 23. Despite the fundamentals still supporting the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck trade, I do...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Flow Expectations for DAX Jun 23 Rebal: Evotec Is the Main Surprise

Drug discovery company Evotec AG (EVT GR) was a surprise addition to the MDAX index. The stock was previously an ineligible candidate but its...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SE600 Jun 23 Rebal: Past Trades Successful, DELs Could Underperform Index over the Next ~2 Weeks

The changes are mostly in line with expectations. SE600 and EURSTX DELs have historically managed to underperform the SE600 index on average from...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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