Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Although ASX remains within its 3-month range (below 5775) the ratio ASX/MXAP drifted to key support for an expected bounce reaction. Therefore, giving bias for ASX to shape a bullish exit from its range and outperform MXAP. (ref new AU strategies). • Rating unchanged for the rest of the countries. Outperformance in progress for Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) and HK, China (HSI, HSCEI). Still…

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Although ASX remains within its 3-month range (below 5775) the ratio ASX/MXAP drifted to key support for an expected bounce reaction. Therefore, giving bias for ASX to shape a bullish exit from its range and outperform MXAP. (ref new AU strategies). • Rating unchanged for the rest of the countries. Outperformance in progress for Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) and HK, China (HSI, HSCEI). Still…

Equity Asia Weekly Research - 11 Oct 2017

Uni President Enterprises / Technical Analysis

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Taiwan (TWSE) and India (NIFTY) underperformed our benchmark (MXAP). Taiwan rating has already been downgraded from last week. India is now joining through a tactical downgrade from “Increase exposure” to “hold”. Therefore both countries are not the best pick (for now) within our global indices and long-term bullish scenario. • Outperformance of Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) in progress and HK…

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week • Taiwan (TWSE) and India (NIFTY) underperformed our benchmark (MXAP). Taiwan rating has already been downgraded from last week. India is now joining through a tactical downgrade from “Increase exposure” to “hold”. Therefore both countries are not the best pick (for now) within our global indices and long-term bullish scenario. • Outperformance of Japan (Nikkei), Korea (Kospi) in progress and HK…

Doing bespoke work since 2002....., Custom Products Group

Patrick Hansen

Doing bespoke work since 2002.....

Custom Products Group

Custom Products was started 14 years ago at Lehman Brothers by current co-founder Patrick Hansen, CFA. After 3 years at Lehman, Patrick moved the team to Macquarie Securities where Simon Rigney (co-founder) joined. 3 years ago we took Custom Products independent. 

Our core strength can be summed up three words. 1- Customization - we have very little off the shelf products and most work is done on a one on one bespoke basis. 2- Speed - We pride ourselves in our ability to get requests back to the client very quickly. 3- Confidentiality - We do not redistribute. There is no grace period where we wait a week and then mass blast. Any request stops with that client.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We continue to track the Analyst Upgrades / Downgrades over the previous 2 week to identify potential trends in popularity. Which Sectors / Countries do the Analysts like and which ones do they not. Overall there were approx. 20% more downgrades than upgrades over the last 2 weeks.<h2>% of Upgrades relative to Total (Country Level)</h2><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/024/226/original/1.png?1492102101" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="24226"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Custom Products</div>Taiwan and India had the most upgrades relative to total recommendations in the last two weeks. In Taiwan, 37 names had a least 1 upgrade. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/745" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1">Hon Hai</a>…

We continue to track the Analyst Upgrades / Downgrades over the previous 2 week to identify potential trends in popularity. Which Sectors / Countries do the Analysts like and which ones do they not. Overall there were approx. 20% more downgrades than upgrades over the last 2 weeks.% of Upgrades relative to Total (Country Level)Source: Custom ProductsTaiwan and India had the most upgrades relative to total recommendations in the last two weeks. In Taiwan, 37 names had a least 1 upgrade. Hon Hai…

Most Popular / Unpopular Sectors and Countries in Asia - Ex Japan (Last 2 Weeks)

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. <div class="content-highlight">Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…</div>

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal will play out, there is a high probability that the Korean people, with the approval of the National Assembly, may decide to select a new Korean President sometime in 1H17. There are three major candidates that could become the next Korean President, including Moon Jae-In, Ban Ki-Moon, and Lee Jae-Myung. Currently, we believe that at this point, Moon Jae…

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

Taiwan

Uni-President Enterprises Corp. manufactures, processes, and markets instant noodles, dairy products, frozen foods, soft drinks, soy sauces, canned pickles, meat products, animal feeds, aquatic feeds, edible oils, bread, cakes, and desserts.  The Company also operates vending machines and food distribution centers in Taiwan.

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Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT)

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Equity Asia Weekly Research - 11 Oct 2017

Mid Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week• Although ASX remains within its 3-month...

BBSP Asia

BBSP Single Stock Asia Weekly

Mid-Term Country Allocation (Tactical view) in terms of Relative Value vs MXAPWhat's new from last week• Taiwan (TWSE) and India (NIFTY)...

BBSP Asia

Most Popular / Unpopular Sectors and Countries in Asia - Ex Japan (Last 2 Weeks)

We continue to track the Analyst Upgrades / Downgrades over the previous 2 week to identify potential trends in popularity. Which Sectors /...

Custom Products Group

Moon Jae In, Ban Ki Moon, Lee Jae Myung - Who Will Become the Next Korean President?

With Korea warped by the Choi Soon Shil scandal, investors are already looking ahead. Although it is yet unclear how the Choi Soon Shil scandal...

Douglas Kim

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