TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Indian Premiere League cricket auction has brought in $6.6B thus far, up 3x from the 2018-2022 package, though the per game increase is closer to 2.3x.</li>
<li>Disney was smart to relinquish the digital rights, saving itself $3.6B in cash (~$2/share) rather than spending to drive worthless Hotstar+ subs (~$0.26/share).</li>
<li>Google may open up YouTube advertising to 3rd party platforms to settle EU antitrust...a potential boon for The Trade Desk.</li>
</ul>


Indian Premiere League cricket auction has brought in $6.6B thus far, up 3x from the 2018-2022 package, though the per game increase is closer to 2.3x.
Disney was smart to relinquish the digital rights, saving itself $3.6B in cash (~$2/share) rather than spending to drive worthless Hotstar+ subs (~$0.26/share).
Google may open up YouTube advertising to 3rd party platforms to settle EU antitrust...a potential boon for The Trade Desk.


TMT Quick Hits: DIS/Cricket Rights, GOOGL/TTD/EU

<div><p>In between earnings seasons, we are trying to catch up on the flurry of TMT IPOs over the past few months that have caught our eye. Why AppLovin? As we talk about often, we are interested in unique business models, and AppLovin qualifies. Its choice to build up its own mobile game portfolio as a means of turbocharging the value of its software is highly differentiated. We've been tracking winners and losers from Apple's privacy changes this year and think a growing mobile app ecosystem with proprietary 1st party data is very interesting. Valuation seems reasonable. We will continue to track this one on the long side.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div></div></div>

In between earnings seasons, we are trying to catch up on the flurry of TMT IPOs over the past few months that have caught our eye. Why AppLovin? As we talk about often, we are interested in unique business models, and AppLovin qualifies. Its choice to build up its own mobile game portfolio as a means of turbocharging the value of its software is highly differentiated. We've been tracking winners and losers from Apple's privacy changes this year and think a growing mobile app ecosystem with proprietary 1st party data is very interesting. Valuation seems reasonable. We will continue to track this one on the long side.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

<div><p>This week, a bunch of Apple related news caught our eye, and the many companies that would be impacted by changes to the appstore, privacy controls, and a new subscription service.</p></div><div><div><div><p>Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</p></div></div></div>

This week, a bunch of Apple related news caught our eye, and the many companies that would be impacted by changes to the appstore, privacy controls, and a new subscription service.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

TMT (AAPL) Weekly:  3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 8/14/​​​​2020

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The Trade Desk, Inc. operates as an advertising technology company. The Company offers online advertising platform that manages display, social, mobile, and video advertising campaigns. Trade Desk serves customers worldwide.

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TMT Quick Hits: DIS/Cricket Rights, GOOGL/TTD/EU

Disney was smart to relinquish IPL digital rights, the $3.6B in cash is worth more than the value of low ARPU Hotstar+ subs. Google opening up...

Aaron Gabin

Recent IPO Insights: AppLovin

AppLovin's choice to build up its own mobile game portfolio as a means of turbocharging the value of its software is highly differentiated. A...

Aaron Gabin

TMT (AAPL) Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 8/14/2020

This week, a bunch of Apple related news caught our eye, and the many companies that would be impacted by changes to the appstore, privacy...

Aaron Gabin

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TMT Quick Hits: DIS/Cricket Rights, GOOGL/TTD/EU

Disney was smart to relinquish IPL digital rights, the $3.6B in cash is worth more than the value of low ARPU Hotstar+ subs. Google opening up...

Aaron Gabin

Recent IPO Insights: AppLovin

AppLovin's choice to build up its own mobile game portfolio as a means of turbocharging the value of its software is highly differentiated. A...

Aaron Gabin

TMT (AAPL) Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 8/14/​​​​2020

This week, a bunch of Apple related news caught our eye, and the many companies that would be impacted by changes to the appstore, privacy...

Aaron Gabin

TMT (AAPL) Weekly: 3 Things that Stood Out The Week of 8/14/2020