Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.</li>
<li>Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.</li>
<li>Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.
Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.
Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.


[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").</li>
<li>Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.</li>
<li>This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.</li>
</ul>


This paper contrasts performance of integrated oil exploration and refining firms ("Explorers") with oil refineries ("Refiners").
Hypothesis is that Refiners outperform Explorers when the crack spread widens. Back testing based on select firms proves the hypothesis.
This paper posits that Refiners will outdo Explorers when crack spreads tear based on historical performance.


Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orica-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:895:1" rel="noopener">Orica Ltd (ORI AU)</a> is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. </li>
<li>In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to partially fund the acquisition of Cyanco. 
The deal is a large one to digest, representing 21.3 days of three month ADV and 5.2% dilution. 
In this note, we'll run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>TotalEnergies' results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.</li><li>The company produced a healthy cash flow during the second quarter.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

TotalEnergies' results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.The company produced a healthy cash flow during the second quarter.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

TotalEnergies SE: Acquisition of Total Eren & Other Developments

<ul><li>TotalEnergies had a mixed result in the last quarter with revenues below expectations given that Brent was down 9% and European gas dropped by 50% compared to the previous quarter.</li><li>European gas has been above $15 per barrel and Brent above $18 per barrel, which is still high by historical standards.</li><li>Renewable power generation capacity increased by over 1 gigawatt to the previous quarter.</li></ul>

TotalEnergies had a mixed result in the last quarter with revenues below expectations given that Brent was down 9% and European gas dropped by 50% compared to the previous quarter.European gas has been above $15 per barrel and Brent above $18 per barrel, which is still high by historical standards.Renewable power generation capacity increased by over 1 gigawatt to the previous quarter.

TotalEnergies SE: Launch Of Battery Energy Storage Project & Other Developments

France

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

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TotalEnergies (TTE FP)

[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

OPEC+ meeting outcomes failed to support oil prices. Hotter-than-expected US summer and outages in Norway sent gas prices soaring. BP & Exxon...

Mint Finance

Widening Crack Spreads Enable Oil Refiners to Outdo Oil Explorers

Pure play crude oil refining and marketing firms outperformed integrated oil E&P companies during times of widening crack oil spreads.

Mint Finance

Orica Placement - Keeping the Acquisition Momentum Going

Orica Ltd (ORI AU) is looking to raise up to A$400m (US$260m) in its primary placement. The proceeds will be used to to partially fund the...

Ethan Aw

TotalEnergies SE: Acquisition of Total Eren & Other Developments

TotalEnergies' results were a major disappointment as the company failed to meet the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of...

Baptista Research

TotalEnergies SE: Launch Of Battery Energy Storage Project & Other Developments

TotalEnergies had a mixed result in the last quarter with revenues below expectations given that Brent was down 9% and European gas dropped by 50%...

Baptista Research

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