Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY24, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> clocked record-high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B (+15% YoY), and EBITDA margin of 26%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.</li>
<li>U.S. business reported highest ever revenue of $229M. India revenue is up 10% YoY, driven by continued market beating performance in branded prescription and trade generics businesses.</li>
<li>Cipla raised FY24 EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 23% to 24% with bias towards the higher end. The company started FY24 with an EBITDA margin guidance of 21–22%.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY24, Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) clocked record-high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B (+15% YoY), and EBITDA margin of 26%, driven by double-digit growth across India, North America, and South Africa.
U.S. business reported highest ever revenue of $229M. India revenue is up 10% YoY, driven by continued market beating performance in branded prescription and trade generics businesses.
Cipla raised FY24 EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 23% to 24% with bias towards the higher end. The company started FY24 with an EBITDA margin guidance of 21–22%.


2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Margin Guidance Raised

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Global generics revenue increased 9% YoY to INR61 billion, mainly driven by double-digit growth in North America and Europe generic businesses, partly offset by muted growth in domestic market.</li>
<li>Revenue from North America generics increased 13% y/y to INR31.7 billion, driven by growing momentum in core portfolio, Mayne integration, and favorable Fx. Pricing environment remains stable.</li>
<li>Despite increase in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses, EBITDA grew 13% YoY to INR 21.8 billion. Net profit increased 33% YoY to INR14.8 billion. Both EBITDA and net profit topped estimates.</li>
</ul>


Global generics revenue increased 9% YoY to INR61 billion, mainly driven by double-digit growth in North America and Europe generic businesses, partly offset by muted growth in domestic market.
Revenue from North America generics increased 13% y/y to INR31.7 billion, driven by growing momentum in core portfolio, Mayne integration, and favorable Fx. Pricing environment remains stable.
Despite increase in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses, EBITDA grew 13% YoY to INR 21.8 billion. Net profit increased 33% YoY to INR14.8 billion. Both EBITDA and net profit topped estimates.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Highest Ever Sales and Profit in Q2; Good Show in Key Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajanta-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10053:1" rel="noopener">Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN)</a> reported better-than-expected profitability in Q1FY24, due to softening of raw material prices and normalization of freight rates. EBITDA margin expanded 300bps YoY to 26%.</li>
<li>Revenue increased 7% YoY to INR10B, driven by superior execution in branded generics business and lesser price erosion in the U.S. 73% of the total sales came from branded generic.</li>
<li>Management maintained mid-teen revenue growth and EBITDA margin guidance of ~25% for FY24. Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to growing branded generic business and niche U.S. launches.</li>
</ul>



Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN) reported better-than-expected profitability in Q1FY24, due to softening of raw material prices and normalization of freight rates. EBITDA margin expanded 300bps YoY to 26%.
Revenue increased 7% YoY to INR10B, driven by superior execution in branded generics business and lesser price erosion in the U.S. 73% of the total sales came from branded generic.
Management maintained mid-teen revenue growth and EBITDA margin guidance of ~25% for FY24. Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to growing branded generic business and niche U.S. launches.


Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN): Starts FY24 With Healthy Branded Generics Growth and Improving Margins

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> recorded 30% YoY growth in revenue to INR51B in Q1FY24, driven by 57% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 6% YoY.</li>
<li>US business growth was driven by new product launches and improvement in base business. The company has launched four new products in the US during the quarter.</li>
<li>Zydus Lifesciences expects double-digit growth in India branded formulation business to continue and the U.S. business to grow on a formidable base of FY23 going forward.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 30% YoY growth in revenue to INR51B in Q1FY24, driven by 57% YoY growth in US formulation business. India business revenue grew 6% YoY.
US business growth was driven by new product launches and improvement in base business. The company has launched four new products in the US during the quarter.
Zydus Lifesciences expects double-digit growth in India branded formulation business to continue and the U.S. business to grow on a formidable base of FY23 going forward.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>NSE Indices has continued to use the current index methodology to come up with the 5 adds/deletes. The proposed methodology seems to be put on ice for reasons unknown.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/punjab-national-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:542:1" rel="noopener">Punjab National Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shriram-transport-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:253:1" rel="noopener">Shriram Transport Finance</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:183:1" rel="noopener">ACC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fsn-e-commerce-ventures-nykaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33796:1" rel="noopener">FSN E-Commerce Ventures</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-asset-management-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27027:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Asset Management</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indus-towers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8922:1" rel="noopener">Indus Towers</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/page-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4940:1" rel="noopener">Page Industries</a>.</li>
<li>The adds, deletes, capping and funding changes will result in one-way turnover of 13% and in a one-way trade of INR 20.77bn. The impact on the adds/deletes is big.</li>
</ul>


NSE Indices has continued to use the current index methodology to come up with the 5 adds/deletes. The proposed methodology seems to be put on ice for reasons unknown.

Punjab National Bank, Shriram Transport Finance, Trent, TVS Motor and Zydus Lifesciences will replace ACC, FSN E-Commerce Ventures, HDFC Asset Management, Indus Towers and Page Industries.
The adds, deletes, capping and funding changes will result in one-way turnover of 13% and in a one-way trade of INR 20.77bn. The impact on the adds/deletes is big.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Big Impact; Cross Index Flow

India

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures bulk drugs and pharmaceutical formulations. The Company's formulations include cardio-vascular, psychotropic and anti-biotic drugs while its bulk drugs include atenolol, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin. Torrent Pharmaceuticals has wholly owned subsidiaries in several regulated and less regulated international markets.

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Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)

2023 High Conviction Update: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Q2 Result Beats Estimates; Margin Guidance Raised

In Q2, Cipla clocked record high quarterly revenue at INR66.8B, up 15% YoY, and EBITDA margin of 26%. The company raised FY24 EBITDA margin...

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Highest Ever Sales and Profit in Q2; Good Show in Key Markets

Revenue increased 9% YoY to INR69B, beating street’s expectation of INRINR68, driven by double-digit growth North America and Europe. Net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN): Starts FY24 With Healthy Branded Generics Growth and Improving Margins

Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to accelerated revenue growth driven by India branded generics business, niche and complex...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): Strong Start of FY24 Riding on US Formulation Business

Quarterly revenue surpassed INR50B mark for 2nd consecutive quarter. Even upon a high base, US revenue increased 8% sequentially driven by new...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Big Impact; Cross Index Flow

There are 5 changes for the NEXT50 Index as the existing methodology is used. Turnover is huge and there will be big impact on a lot of stocks....

Brian Freitas

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