Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Sun Pharmaceutical Industries / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.</li>
<li>Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level</li>
</ul>


Our long-term bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact. With that said, we believe a 1-3-month pullback has likely begun.
Supports to watch are at $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41-42 on MSCI EM (EEM-US), and whether these levels hold or not will determine the severity of the pullback.
The S&amp;P 500 is violating its 20-day MA, Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking below 4884, and Japan's TOPIX appears to be staging a false breakout at the 2800-2815 level


Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Emcure Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcure-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35585:1" rel="noopener">Emcure Pharmaceuticals</a> raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong.</li>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong.
Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading - Strong Subscription, Will Pop

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcure-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35585:1" rel="noopener">Emcure Pharmaceuticals</a> is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance, in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and take a quick look at valuations.</li>
</ul>



Emcure Pharmaceuticals is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO.
Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
We have looked at the company’s past performance, in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and take a quick look at valuations.


Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Valuations

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B in upcoming IPO through a fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. IPO price band has been set at INR960–1,008.</li>
<li>The issue will open for subscription on July 3 and close on July 5. Bidding for anchor investors will open on July 2. Lot size for bidding is 14 shares.</li>
<li>IPO proceeds will be used to repay debt. As at March 31, 2024, the company’s outstanding borrowings stood at INR21B against cash balance of INR2B.  </li>
</ul>


Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B in upcoming IPO through a fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. IPO price band has been set at INR960–1,008.
The issue will open for subscription on July 3 and close on July 5. Bidding for anchor investors will open on July 2. Lot size for bidding is 14 shares.
IPO proceeds will be used to repay debt. As at March 31, 2024, the company’s outstanding borrowings stood at INR21B against cash balance of INR2B.  


Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Equity Bottom-Up

Alkem Laboratories Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN)</a> reports 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24. However, gross margin improved significantly backed by lower raw material cost and lower intensity of price erosion in U.S.</li>
<li>For FY25, the company has guided for 10% YoY revenue growth, which is at par with the last five year’s average growth.</li>
<li>Alkem expects to maintain FY25 gross margin and EBITDA margin at the current level. As API prices have become mostly stable, there is limited room for further margin expansion.</li>
</ul>



Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN) reports 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24. However, gross margin improved significantly backed by lower raw material cost and lower intensity of price erosion in U.S.
For FY25, the company has guided for 10% YoY revenue growth, which is at par with the last five year’s average growth.
Alkem expects to maintain FY25 gross margin and EBITDA margin at the current level. As API prices have become mostly stable, there is limited room for further margin expansion.


Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

India

Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures bulk drugs and pharmaceutical formulations. The Company's formulations include cardio-vascular, psychotropic and anti-biotic drugs while its bulk drugs include atenolol, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin. Torrent Pharmaceuticals has wholly owned subsidiaries in several regulated and less regulated international markets.

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Torrent Pharmaceuticals (TRP IN)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading - Strong Subscription, Will Pop

Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong for institutional and HNI tranche.

Sumeet Singh

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Valuations

Emcure Pharmaceuticals is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B through fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. The issue will open for subscription on...

Tina Banerjee

Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pullback Underway; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensives Is a Reason for Caution

Pullback Underway $ACWI $SPX; Getting Defensive; Long-Term RS Bottoms for Defensive Sectors is a Reason for Caution. Buys in Health Care,...

Vermilion Research

Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading - Strong Subscription, Will Pop

Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong for institutional and HNI tranche.

Sumeet Singh

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Valuations

Emcure Pharmaceuticals is looking to raise around US$240m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Emcure Pharmaceuticals Pre-IPO: IPO Price Band Set; Steep Valuation Offers Limited Upside Potential

Emcure Pharmaceuticals seeks to raise INR19.5B through fresh issue of INR8B and an OFS of 11.4M shares. The issue will open for subscription on...

Tina Banerjee

Alkem Laboratories Ltd (ALKEM IN): Sluggish Performance Expected In Near-Term; Time to Book Profit

​Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...

Tina Banerjee

Alkem reports just 1% revenue growth in Q4FY24, with significant improvement in gross margin. The company expects 10% YoY revenue growth for FY25,...