Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US)</a> in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cia-de-minas-buenaventura-saa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27674:1" rel="noopener">Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/equinox-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38705:1" rel="noopener">Equinox Gold (EQX US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ US) in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The largest inflows are expected in Cia de Minas Buenaventura SAA (BVN US), Equinox Gold (EQX US) and Red 5 Ltd (RED AU). 


MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Research from Atrium Research, Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research

Research from Atrium Research

Atrium Research Corporation

Atrium Research provides institutional quality issuer paid research on public equities in North America. Our investment philosophy takes a 3-5 year view on equities currently being overlooked by the market. Our research process emphasizes understanding the key performance metrics for each specific company, trustworthy management teams, unit economics, and an in-depth valuation analysis. 

Our research product includes in-depth initiation reports, research notes, thematic research pieces, and company fact sheets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz.</li>
<li>Sentiment Update Gold closed out the year up 13% at $2,062/oz, marking an all-time high in December at $2,135/oz.</li>
<li>Uranium posted yet another month of positive gains, ending the month up 12% at $91.0/lb and closing the year up 89%.</li>
</ul>


Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz.
Sentiment Update Gold closed out the year up 13% at $2,062/oz, marking an all-time high in December at $2,135/oz.
Uranium posted yet another month of positive gains, ending the month up 12% at $91.0/lb and closing the year up 89%.


<ul>
<li>The precious metals markets rebounded well in July following a healthy consolidation period in May and June.</li>
<li>Commodity prices as well as mining equities rose in the month of July, bouncing back from two modest down months in May and June.</li>
<li>Also on July 12th, U.S. inflation came in at 3.0% YoY and 0.2% MoM, compared to consensus of 3.1% YoY and 0.3% MoM.</li>
</ul>


The precious metals markets rebounded well in July following a healthy consolidation period in May and June.
Commodity prices as well as mining equities rose in the month of July, bouncing back from two modest down months in May and June.
Also on July 12th, U.S. inflation came in at 3.0% YoY and 0.2% MoM, compared to consensus of 3.1% YoY and 0.3% MoM.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The precious metals and base metals markets were down in the month of May, however, we view this as a healthy pull-back following two strong months in March and April.</li><li>M&amp;A remained elevated in the month following what appears to be the peaking of rates and inflation, and persistent elevated metals prices.</li><li>Sentiment Update Following two very strong months in March and April (Gold, Silver, and the GDX were up 8.6%, 19.3%, and 18.9%, respectively), precious metals took a breath and were down slightly in the month of May.</li></ul>

The precious metals and base metals markets were down in the month of May, however, we view this as a healthy pull-back following two strong months in March and April.M&amp;A remained elevated in the month following what appears to be the peaking of rates and inflation, and persistent elevated metals prices.Sentiment Update Following two very strong months in March and April (Gold, Silver, and the GDX were up 8.6%, 19.3%, and 18.9%, respectively), precious metals took a breath and were down slightly in the month of May.

<ul><li>The metals and mining market took a breath after a strong January with gold and copper pulling back 5% and 3%, respectively</li><li>As full-year earnings roll in, the effects of inflation are taking hold with costs rising dramatically and earnings missing expectations</li><li>Despite the February slowdown, we anticipate 2023 to be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly </li></ul>

The metals and mining market took a breath after a strong January with gold and copper pulling back 5% and 3%, respectivelyAs full-year earnings roll in, the effects of inflation are taking hold with costs rising dramatically and earnings missing expectationsDespite the February slowdown, we anticipate 2023 to be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly 

Canada

Torex Gold Resources Inc. is a mining company dedicated to the exploration and development of precious metal resources with a focus on gold. The Company's Morelos Project is an advanced stage gold exploration property located in the state of Guerrero, southwest of Mexico City.

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Torex Gold Resources (TXG CN)

MV Global Junior Gold Miners Index Rebalance: Round-Trip Trade of Over US$400m

Float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$418m. There are 17 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Mining Monthly: December Edition

Gold continued to rise in December, gaining 1.3% on the month and closed out 2023 up 13% to $2,062/oz. Sentiment Update Gold closed out the year...

Atrium Research

Mining Monthly: July Edition

Commodity prices as well as mining equities rose in the month of July, bouncing back from two modest down months in May and June.

Atrium Research

Mining Monthly: May Edition

The precious metals and base metals markets were down in the month of May, however, we view this as a healthy pull-back following two strong months...

Atrium Research

Mining Monthly: February Edition

The metals and mining market took a breath after a strong January with gold and copper pulling back 5% and 3%, respectively As full-year earnings...

Atrium Research

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