Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.</li>
<li>We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).</li>
<li>The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI All Share Semiconductor Index ended 31 October.  The changes should be announced on 29 November and implemented on 13 December.
We forecast 12 adds and 6 deletes for the index with a one-way turnover of 2.5% and a one-way trade of CNY 642m (US$90m).
The forecast adds to the index have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months with a move higher in the short-term too.


CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,460.9 million, led by financials, information technology, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, China Merchants Bank, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,460.9 million, led by financials, information technology, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, communication services, energy.
We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, China Merchants Bank, Midea.


Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH)</a> will be added to a global index in a week and then there will be multiple index inflows at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>After underperforming from May to September, the adds have gained ground on the deletes over the last two months and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.

Hygon Information Technology C (688041 CH) will be added to a global index in a week and then there will be multiple index inflows at the close on 8 December.
After underperforming from May to September, the adds have gained ground on the deletes over the last two months and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Another Inclusion for Hygon

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks and there will be inflows from multiple index trackers.
The adds have outperformed and with 9 trading days to implementation of the changes and the inclusions also being added to other indices, there could be further outperformance near-term.


CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

China

Unigroup Guoxin Co., Ltd., formerly Tongfang Guoxin Electronics Co., Ltd., is a China-based company, principally engaged in the design and distribution of integrated circuits (ICs). The Company's IC products consist of smart card chips, special IC products and memory chips. In addition, the Company also engages in the development, manufacture and distribution of quartz crystal components. The Company distributes its products within domestic market and to overseas markets.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Unigroup Guoxin (002049 CH)

Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Another Inclusion for Hygon

There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in Dec. Hygon gains another index inclusion - one takes place later this month...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index. The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks. The...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share Semiconductor Index Rebalance Preview: 18 Changes as Adds Outperform

There could be 12 adds, 6 deletes in Dec. Impact is not very large, but 12 stocks will have flows from other index trackers too. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (May 17th): Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, CMB, Midea.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Another Inclusion for Hygon

There are 3 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index in Dec. Hygon gains another index inclusion - one takes place later this month...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CNI Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Multiple Inflows for the Inclusions

There are 3 changes for the CNI Semiconductor Chips Index. The inclusions will also be added to other indices over the next couple of weeks. The...

Brian Freitas