Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anycolor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36618:1" rel="noopener">Anycolor (5032 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifedrink-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39842:1" rel="noopener">Lifedrink (2585 JP)</a> have already confirmed their moves to the Prime Market and are expected to have TOPIX Inclusion Events at the end of July 2023.</li>
<li>More recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/plus-alpha-consulting-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33441:1" rel="noopener">Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP)</a> announced their move to the Prime Market and are likely to have a TOPIX Inclusion Event at the end of August 2023.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

Anycolor (5032 JP) and Lifedrink (2585 JP) have already confirmed their moves to the Prime Market and are expected to have TOPIX Inclusion Events at the end of July 2023.
More recently, Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) announced their move to the Prime Market and are likely to have a TOPIX Inclusion Event at the end of August 2023.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (Jul 2023)

Executive Director, Metrical Inc

Aki Matsumoto

Executive Director

Independent Leading Corporate Governance Research

Metrical Inc

METRICAL INC. is an independent leading Corporate Governance research firm in Japan where Corporate Governance is increasingly recognized as an important element on corporate management in these days. Thus, CG research and solutions would become an essential component of global capital markets and play important to contribute to transparency of the markets and maximize shareholders’ value in Japan. 

METRICAL INC. provides Corporate Governance research and analysis including rating services, and  also offers investment research and IR services with solutions and customized profound research on CG and IR issues.

<ul>
<li>Companies that accept reductions in policy shareholdings tend to repurchase their own shares. Pressure to reduce policy shareholdings will increase further this year when share prices are rising.</li>
<li>In order to verify whether institutional investors' voting criteria and voting behavior are consistent, the reasons for supporting/opposing individual proposals should be disclosed in more detail.</li>
<li>Investors are expected to base decisions on performance, as voting advisers returned to policy of recommending voting against top management in companies with lower-than-standard ROEs due to recovery from COVID-19.</li>
</ul>


Companies that accept reductions in policy shareholdings tend to repurchase their own shares. Pressure to reduce policy shareholdings will increase further this year when share prices are rising.
In order to verify whether institutional investors' voting criteria and voting behavior are consistent, the reasons for supporting/opposing individual proposals should be disclosed in more detail.
Investors are expected to base decisions on performance, as voting advisers returned to policy of recommending voting against top management in companies with lower-than-standard ROEs due to recovery from COVID-19.


Capital Efficiency Is the Topic of the June AGM, While What Is Happening to Passive Fund Voting?

<ul>
<li>It remains to be seen whether domestic institutional investors will support shareholder proposals on shareholder returns, which had low approval rate among domestic institutional investors at the previous year's AGM.</li>
<li>If domestic institutional investors are voting in favor of shareholder proposals, it wouldn't be surprising if more companies passed them. It's doubtful that passive funds have the same voting practices.</li>
<li>There is concern about critical tone regarding the legally binding nature of the resolution of AGMs, which appears to come from companies feeling threatened by declining shareholdings by banks/business partners.</li>
</ul>


It remains to be seen whether domestic institutional investors will support shareholder proposals on shareholder returns, which had low approval rate among domestic institutional investors at the previous year's AGM.
If domestic institutional investors are voting in favor of shareholder proposals, it wouldn't be surprising if more companies passed them. It's doubtful that passive funds have the same voting practices.
There is concern about critical tone regarding the legally binding nature of the resolution of AGMs, which appears to come from companies feeling threatened by declining shareholdings by banks/business partners.


Although It Is Commendable that Voting Behavior of Some Domestic Institutional Investors Has Changed

<ul>
<li>Although more companies have recently started to use their cash for shareholder returns, this is still not enough in terms of the dividend payout ratio.</li>
<li>Both sales and profits of companies haven't increased by that amount for past 10 years. The question for the future is whether the cash on hand can be used effectively.</li>
<li>It is hoped that the quality of listed companies on prime market will improve as a result of M&amp;As involving industry restructuring, the dissolution of parent-subsidiary listings and going private.</li>
</ul>


Although more companies have recently started to use their cash for shareholder returns, this is still not enough in terms of the dividend payout ratio.
Both sales and profits of companies haven't increased by that amount for past 10 years. The question for the future is whether the cash on hand can be used effectively.
It is hoped that the quality of listed companies on prime market will improve as a result of M&amp;As involving industry restructuring, the dissolution of parent-subsidiary listings and going private.


The Key Is to Be Able to Use Cash on Hand Effectively in the Future

<ul>
<li>Given the history of changes in the external environment that have changed managers' mindsets all at once, inflation and rising foreign shareholdings are likely to be the catalysts for change.</li>
<li>Given that some companies still do not show capital efficiency as a KPI, it is dangerous to expect much from individual companies' efforts to improve capital efficiency.</li>
<li>Whether or not to engage in management improvement is a matter for managers, but the catalyst is often an increase in foreign shareholdings. Changes are taking place in some companies.</li>
</ul>


Given the history of changes in the external environment that have changed managers' mindsets all at once, inflation and rising foreign shareholdings are likely to be the catalysts for change.
Given that some companies still do not show capital efficiency as a KPI, it is dangerous to expect much from individual companies' efforts to improve capital efficiency.
Whether or not to engage in management improvement is a matter for managers, but the catalyst is often an increase in foreign shareholdings. Changes are taking place in some companies.


What Changes in the External Environment Are Changing the Mindset of Managers?

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

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