Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>With US bonds oversold, we expect the Japanese Yen to  strengthen</li>
<li>Supplementary Budget from the LDP as new cabinet's approval rating drops</li>
<li>The broad Japanese indices will struggle here as this plays out</li>
</ul>


With US bonds oversold, we expect the Japanese Yen to  strengthen
Supplementary Budget from the LDP as new cabinet's approval rating drops
The broad Japanese indices will struggle here as this plays out


Tactical Trading - JPY Weakness Has Likely Run Its Course for Now

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>One of the sectors we like for the next phase of the Japanese stock market</li>
<li>The market is not giving the benefit of the doubt to monetisation of its property portfolio</li>
<li>The core  railway business is back to pre-Covid 19  levels</li>
</ul>


One of the sectors we like for the next phase of the Japanese stock market
The market is not giving the benefit of the doubt to monetisation of its property portfolio
The core  railway business is back to pre-Covid 19  levels


All Aboard! JR East and the Monetisation of Its Property Assets

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 23 October.</li>
<li>At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1100/share, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a> will be valued at JPY 639.1bn (US$4.49bn).</li>
<li>The stock should be added to one global index on 29 October, to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX INDEX</a> on 28 November, while another global index inclusion will need to wait till February.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s listing has been approved by the JPX and the stock is expected to start trading on the Prime Market from 23 October.
At the reported indicative IPO price of JPY 1100/share, Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) will be valued at JPY 639.1bn (US$4.49bn).
The stock should be added to one global index on 29 October, to the TOPIX INDEX on 28 November, while another global index inclusion will need to wait till February.


Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO:  TPX Inclusion in November; Global Indices: One in October, One in Feb

<ul>
<li>Change in strategy by the Chinese authorities mean this is more than a trade</li>
<li>Sentiment, valuations and positioning are still supportive despite the rally</li>
<li>Overbought conditions in the very short-term and the technical picture is mixed </li>
</ul>


Change in strategy by the Chinese authorities mean this is more than a trade
Sentiment, valuations and positioning are still supportive despite the rally
Overbought conditions in the very short-term and the technical picture is mixed 


<ul>
<li>A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing</li>
<li>Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors</li>
<li>Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio</li>
</ul>


A monthly review of how the markets and our themes are currently performing
Analysing what went wrong and what went right in stocks and sectors
Highlighting positions added or removed from the thematic investment portfolio


September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

Japan

The TOPIX, also known as the Tokyo Stock Price Index, is a capitalization-weighted index of all companies listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The index is supplemented by the subindices of the 33 industry sectors. The index calculation excludes temporary issues and preferred stocks, and has a base value of 100 as of January 4, 1968.

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX (TPX INDEX)

Tactical Trading - JPY Weakness Has Likely Run Its Course for Now

With US government bonds oversold, the Japanese Yen is expected to strengthen causing the major Japanese indices to continue to tread water

Rikki Malik

All Aboard! JR East and the Monetisation of Its Property Assets

An undervalued sector in the Japanese stock market which is at the intersection of a few key themes including activism, raising returns and...

Rikki Malik

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: TPX Inclusion in November; Global Indices: One in October, One in Feb

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) has announced the IPO price band of JPY 1100-1200/share. Book building starts today, and final pricing will be decided on 15...

Brian Freitas

Examining the Bear Case for China

Chinese authorities shift strategy , and while sentiment and valuations support the rally, in short-term there are overbought conditions and a...

Rikki Malik

September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

Tactical Trading - JPY Weakness Has Likely Run Its Course for Now

With ​US government bonds oversold, the Japanese Yen is expected to strengthen causing the major Japanese indices to continue to tread water

Rikki Malik

All Aboard! JR East and the Monetisation of Its Property Assets

An undervalued sector in the Japanese stock market which is at the intersection of a few key themes including activism, raising returns and...

Rikki Malik

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) IPO: TPX Inclusion in November; Global Indices: One in October, One in Feb

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP) has announced the IPO price band of JPY 1100-1200/share. Book building starts today, and final pricing will be decided on 15...

Brian Freitas

Examining the Bear Case for China

​Chinese authorities shift strategy , and while sentiment and valuations support the rally, in short-term there are overbought conditions and a...

Rikki Malik

September Themes and Thematic Portfolio Review

We review overall market performance, our investment themes, highlighting additions and substractions in the thematic portfolio.

Rikki Malik

With US government bonds oversold, the Japanese Yen is expected to strengthen causing the major Japanese indices to continue to tread water

Chinese authorities shift strategy , and while sentiment and valuations support the rally, in short-term there are overbought conditions and a...