Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +0.2% as Investors Buy Financials; Semis regained some of its mojo as SOX rose 1.3%; Fed remains in Focus; Boeing glitches;  All Telsa cars qualify for IRA benefits</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi Sales by 2030. </li>
<li>NUGGET. Japan revamps its semi strategy - aggressive targets to get to ¥15 trillion in domestic sales by 2030, while being the key in the global semi supply chain.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +0.2% as Investors Buy Financials; Semis regained some of its mojo as SOX rose 1.3%; Fed remains in Focus; Boeing glitches;  All Telsa cars qualify for IRA benefits
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi Sales by 2030. 
NUGGET. Japan revamps its semi strategy - aggressive targets to get to ¥15 trillion in domestic sales by 2030, while being the key in the global semi supply chain.


Ohayo Japan |SPX +0.2%; Fed in Focus; NUGGET: Japan Global Semi Suppy Chain Dominance in Sight ?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX +1% as Cyclicals rose on Congress Debt Limit Deal; NFP in focus &amp; implication for Fed June pause; Dollar General -20%..US consumer headwinds; Boeing scraps next-gen aircraft.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Stronger Yen but expect strong equity open on US rally; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril by 2030</li>
<li>NUGGET. The 2nd round of Off-shore wind auctions will conclude at the end of June. This will mark the (re) start of Japan's aggressive push for wind.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX +1% as Cyclicals rose on Congress Debt Limit Deal; NFP in focus &amp; implication for Fed June pause; Dollar General -20%..US consumer headwinds; Boeing scraps next-gen aircraft.
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Stronger Yen but expect strong equity open on US rally; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril by 2030
NUGGET. The 2nd round of Off-shore wind auctions will conclude at the end of June. This will mark the (re) start of Japan's aggressive push for wind.


Ohayo Japan |RALLY PAUSE ?..Not; Debt Deal Spurs Tech Rebound; NUGGET: JP Off-Shore Wind-Set to BLOW

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. AI Driven Tech Rally Continues; Debt Deal Close(r) as Biden-McCarthy Agree, Vote still to come;More Hikes to Come as Inflation Picks UP; (Another) Massive Boeing order in the works</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs 1.9% Prem  vs Cash; US Tech(AI) Driven Rally continues;Yen Shorts Accummulate as USDJPY pass 140; Tokyo Inflation Slows;Toyota Loses crown of top selling car to TESLA</li>
<li>NUGGET. Drone Delivery in Japan - within Sight; Japan Post(6178) leading the way aiming for 2023 commercialization. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. AI Driven Tech Rally Continues; Debt Deal Close(r) as Biden-McCarthy Agree, Vote still to come;More Hikes to Come as Inflation Picks UP; (Another) Massive Boeing order in the works
JAPAN. NKY Futs 1.9% Prem  vs Cash; US Tech(AI) Driven Rally continues;Yen Shorts Accummulate as USDJPY pass 140; Tokyo Inflation Slows;Toyota Loses crown of top selling car to TESLA
NUGGET. Drone Delivery in Japan - within Sight; Japan Post(6178) leading the way aiming for 2023 commercialization. 


Ohayo Japan |AI All the Way Tech Continues to Lead Equities UP; NUGGET: JP Drone Delivery-In Sight

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. NDIVIA scores leading Tech to drive SPX +0.9% into the green; Closer to a Debt Limit Deal;  Marvell Tech reports - Bullish On AI</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs 0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 140 on dovish Ueda comments; NVIDIA drives Japan AI supply chain gains; Foreigners continue to pour into Japan for 8th week.</li>
<li>NUGGET. Calbee, worth a 2nd look after the recent share price sell-off given their very credible medium term business plan.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. NDIVIA scores leading Tech to drive SPX +0.9% into the green; Closer to a Debt Limit Deal;  Marvell Tech reports - Bullish On AI
JAPAN.  NKY Futs 0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 140 on dovish Ueda comments; NVIDIA drives Japan AI supply chain gains; Foreigners continue to pour into Japan for 8th week.
NUGGET. Calbee, worth a 2nd look after the recent share price sell-off given their very credible medium term business plan.


Ohayo Japan |Tech..no, NVIDIA All the Way; NUGGET: Calbee - Time for a 2nd Look ?

Japan

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

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Tokyo Electron Ltd Unsp Adr (TOELY US)

Ohayo Japan |SPX +0.2%; Fed in Focus; NUGGET: Japan Global Semi Suppy Chain Dominance in Sight ?

NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; Relentless bid in JP equities continues - yesterday ignoring US weakness on Monday; JP Govt tgts 3x rise in Domestic Semi...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |RALLY PAUSE ?..Not; Debt Deal Spurs Tech Rebound; NUGGET: JP Off-Shore Wind-Set to BLOW

Debt Deal drives SPX higher ahead of NFP. NKY Futs +0.8% Cash; Foreigners bought Equities for 9th week; Panasonic sees EV battery Sales at 2.5tril...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |AI All the Way Tech Continues to Lead Equities UP; NUGGET: JP Drone Delivery-In Sight

Debt Deal Close; NKY Futs 1.9% Prem vs Cash; Yen Shorts rise as USDJPY pass 140; Tokyo Inflation Slows;Toyota Loses crown of top selling car to...

Mark Chadwick

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

Ohayo Japan |Tech..no, NVIDIA All the Way; NUGGET: Calbee - Time for a 2nd Look ?

NVIDIA +24%. This says in All; NKY Futs 0.9% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 140 on dovish Ueda comments; NVIDIA drives Japan AI supply chain gains;...

Mark Chadwick

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