Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Risk on sentiment takes hold ahead of key CPI print tomorrow; yen weakness will drive the NKY higher.</li>
<li>Big gains for Japanese department store duty-free sales over the Chinese Golden week holiday bodes well for the likes of Isetan Mitsukoshi.</li>
<li>Cat 5 Hurricane Milton making landfall should put further pressure on the JP non-life/P&amp;C plays Sompo, MS&amp;AD and Tokio Marine.</li>
</ul>


Risk on sentiment takes hold ahead of key CPI print tomorrow; yen weakness will drive the NKY higher.
Big gains for Japanese department store duty-free sales over the Chinese Golden week holiday bodes well for the likes of Isetan Mitsukoshi.
Cat 5 Hurricane Milton making landfall should put further pressure on the JP non-life/P&amp;C plays Sompo, MS&amp;AD and Tokio Marine.


Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Sentiment and Yen Weakness to Drive the NKY Higher

<ul>
<li>Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec</li>
<li>Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line</li>
<li>Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu</li>
</ul>


Server related names higher after some big sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI should be a positive for Nidec
Watch for P&amp;C weakness in Japan following losses for peers overnight as Hurricane Milton intensifies as it approaches the Florida coast line
Oil back above $80 will continue to push related names higher; possible refiner pair with 4 days of TPX FFW selling for recent outperformer Idemitsu


Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.


Tokyo Metro IPO - Will Price at the Top, but Isn’t Particularly Cheap

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-metro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40930:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)</a>'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.3bn in its Japan IPO.
Tokyo Metro (TKM) is one of the two metro network operators in the Tokyo region. It operates nine subway lines with a total of 180 stations.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On Monday, 30 September, shareholders of US$1.4bn market cap chemicals and housing materials supplier <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aica-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9671:1" rel="noopener">Aica Kogyo (4206 JP)</a> announced a Secondary Share Sale. It's small at 2% of market cap.</li>
<li>The Offering is 2.1mm shares including greenshoe. The company also raised its H1 dividend guidance slightly (¥53/share to ¥56/share) and announced a buyback which should cover 57% of the offering.</li>
<li>It's a small deal. There are a lot more cross-holdings behind that but the company is cash-rich and the company is very cheap/underlevered on an LBO basis.</li>
</ul>


On Monday, 30 September, shareholders of US$1.4bn market cap chemicals and housing materials supplier Aica Kogyo (4206 JP) announced a Secondary Share Sale. It's small at 2% of market cap.
The Offering is 2.1mm shares including greenshoe. The company also raised its H1 dividend guidance slightly (¥53/share to ¥56/share) and announced a buyback which should cover 57% of the offering.
It's a small deal. There are a lot more cross-holdings behind that but the company is cash-rich and the company is very cheap/underlevered on an LBO basis.


Aica Kogyo (4206) - Small Offering Chips Away At Cross-Holdings

Japan

Tokio Marine Holdings, Inc., through subsidiaries, offers property, casualty and life insurance, and asset management services.

Price Gauge
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Tokio Marine Holdings (8766 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Sentiment and Yen Weakness to Drive the NKY Higher

Risk on sentiment ahead of CPI print and yen weakness to drive up NKY, gains during Chinese Golden week bode well for Isetan Mutsukoshi, Cat 5...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Tokyo Metro IPO - Will Price at the Top, but Isn’t Particularly Cheap

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we look at the valuation in the IPO price range.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

The price range for the IPO has now been set at JPY1,100-1,200/share, which still looks fairly attractive in our view and would provide a good yield.

Sumeet Singh

Aica Kogyo (4206) - Small Offering Chips Away At Cross-Holdings

Aica Kogyo yesterday announced a small secondary offering designed to allow financial cross-holders to start selling down. There more to come...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Risk-On Sentiment and Yen Weakness to Drive the NKY Higher

​Risk on sentiment ahead of CPI print and yen weakness to drive up NKY, gains during Chinese Golden week bode well for Isetan Mutsukoshi, Cat 5...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Oil Through $80 While P&C Take a Hit on Hurricane Milton

​Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...

Andrew Jackson

Tokyo Metro IPO - Will Price at the Top, but Isn’t Particularly Cheap

Tokyo Metro (9023 JP)'s shareholders aim to raise up to US$2.4bn in its Japan IPO. In this note, we look at the valuation in the IPO price range.

Sumeet Singh

Tokyo Metro IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

The price range for the IPO has now been set at JPY1,100-1,200/share, which still looks fairly attractive in our view and would provide a good yield.

Sumeet Singh

Aica Kogyo (4206) - Small Offering Chips Away At Cross-Holdings

Aica Kogyo yesterday announced a small secondary offering designed to allow financial cross-holders to start selling down. There more to come...

Travis Lundy

Risk on sentiment ahead of CPI print and yen weakness to drive up NKY, gains during Chinese Golden week bode well for Isetan Mutsukoshi, Cat 5...

Positive sales numbers and new product launches from SMCI could benefit Nidec; P&C weakness expected due to Hurricane Milton; Oil above $80...