Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Beijing Kingsoft Office Softwa / Event-Driven

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There were 21 changes to the index at the June 2020 review and 26 changes at the December 2020 review. We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.56%.With passive tracking products holding around US$32bn of AUM, plus another US$53bn in open interest on the listed futures, plus active managers benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>, there could be significant moves in the inclusion/exclusion names from now to the end of the review period. There will only be 9-10 trading days between the announcement of the changes and the implementation, so having a pre-position should pay off. There should not be too many changes in the possible list of inclusions and exclusions due to the averaging process over the last year of trading.

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes end May/beginning June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.There were 21 changes to the index at the June 2020 review and 26 changes at the December 2020 review. We expect 30 changes at the upcoming June 2021 index review - this is the maximum number of changes that are permitted at a single review. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.56%.With passive tracking products holding around US$32bn of AUM, plus another US$53bn in open interest on the listed futures, plus active managers benchmarked to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX), there could be significant moves in the inclusion/exclusion names from now to the end of the review period. There will only be 9-10 trading days between the announcement of the changes and the implementation, so having a pre-position should pay off. There should not be too many changes in the possible list of inclusions and exclusions due to the averaging process over the last year of trading.

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Number of Changes

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">Independence Group Nl (IGO AU)</a> plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in Lithium HoldCo from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a>.This will be IGO's first foray into the Lithium space and will lead to a large increase in the share count. However, the company expects the transaction to be EPS accretive only in FY23.

Independence Group Nl (IGO AU) plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in Lithium HoldCo from Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH).This will be IGO's first foray into the Lithium space and will lead to a large increase in the share count. However, the company expects the transaction to be EPS accretive only in FY23.

IGO Placement - Going for EV Gold, Delayed Earnings Gratification for Shareholders

Post market close on Friday, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 December.
There are 26 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.87%.
The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongfang-guoxin-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15513:1" rel="noopener">Unigroup Guoxin (002049 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-dongshan-precision-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8796:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuhan-guide-infrared-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20330:1" rel="noopener">Wuhan Guide Infrared Co,Ltd. (002414 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jpmf-guangdong-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19050:1" rel="noopener">Jpmf Guangdong Co Ltd A (002600 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunnan-chuangxin-new-material" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27135:1" rel="noopener">Yunnan Chuangxin New Material (002812 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asymchem-laboratories-tianjin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28265:1" rel="noopener">Asymchem Laboratories (002821 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafron-biomedical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29575:1" rel="noopener">Jafron Biomedical Co Ltd (300529 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgi-genomics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25890:1" rel="noopener">Bgi Genomics (300676 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cssc-holdings-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2464:1" rel="noopener">China Cssc Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-tiantan-biological-products-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5190:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jcet-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8628:1" rel="noopener">JCET Group (600584 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsingtao-brewery-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:846:1" rel="noopener">Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd A (600600 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topchoice-medical-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1102:1" rel="noopener">Topchoice Medical (600763 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-baosight-software-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Baosight Software Co (600845 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jonjee-high-tech-industrial-and-commercial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14622:1" rel="noopener">Jonjee High-Tech Ind.&amp; Com. (600872 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongtai-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29935:1" rel="noopener">Zhongtai Securities Co Ltd (600918 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boc-international-china-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29972:1" rel="noopener">Boc International China Co-A (601696 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-energy-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14450:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Energy A (601872 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanjing-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27192:1" rel="noopener">Nanjing Securities Co Ltd (601990 CH)</a>, Gan&amp;Lee Pharma (603087 CH), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gongniu-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30060:1" rel="noopener">Gongniu Group Co Ltd (603195 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-wantai-biological-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30129:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-com-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28237:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-fabrication-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30308:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-transsion-holding-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30323:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH).</a>
The deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hebei-iron-steel-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11538:1" rel="noopener">Hebei Iron &amp; Steel Co Ltd A (000709 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-idc-fluid-control-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18695:1" rel="noopener">STO Express (002468 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avic-helicopter-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14380:1" rel="noopener">Avic Helicopter Co Ltd A (600038 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tbea-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20303:1" rel="noopener">Tbea Co Ltd A (600089 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-construction-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17136:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Construction Group Co, Ltd. (600170 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24592:1" rel="noopener">Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-nanshan-aluminum-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3920:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Nanshan Aluminum A (600219 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hainan-airlines-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24023:1" rel="noopener">Hainan Airlines Co (600221 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-avionics-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11393:1" rel="noopener">China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hla-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2586:1" rel="noopener">HLA CORP., Ltd. (600398 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fangda-carbon-new-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14878:1" rel="noopener">Fangda Carbon New Material Co, Ltd. (600516 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/offshore-oil-engineering-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4968:1" rel="noopener">Offshore Oil Engineering A (600583 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-chuantou-energy-stock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2557:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tonghua-dongbao-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10358:1" rel="noopener">Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-xi-an-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29936:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Xi'an Co Ltd (600928 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-energy-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29941:1" rel="noopener">Cnooc Energy Technology &amp; -A (600968 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-film-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29943:1" rel="noopener">China Film Co Ltd (600977 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ningbo-port-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9969:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Port (601018 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baiyin-nonferrous-group-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29955:1" rel="noopener">Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co-A (601212 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingdao-port-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29958:1" rel="noopener">Qingdao Port International Co (601298 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-star-macalline-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26732:1" rel="noopener">Red Star Macalline Group (601828 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-coal-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24607:1" rel="noopener">China Coal Energy (601898 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bbmg-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22769:1" rel="noopener">BBMG Corporation (601992 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-guiyang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27479:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Guiyang Co Ltd (601997 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoshine-silicon-industry-c-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26646:1" rel="noopener">Hoshine Silicon Industry C-A (603260 CH)</a>.
Only 3 of the inclusions have over 1 day of ADV to buy, while there are a lot more deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to sell.
The index universe has also been expanded to include STAR Board stocks that have been listed for over 1 year. The change was implemented at this review (with no advance notice) and will see the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-com-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28237:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-fabrication-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30308:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-transsion-holding-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30323:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH)</a> into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>.

Post market close on Friday, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 December.
There are 26 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.87%.
The inclusions are Unigroup Guoxin (002049 CH), Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH), Wuhan Guide Infrared Co,Ltd. (002414 CH), Jpmf Guangdong Co Ltd A (002600 CH), Yunnan Chuangxin New Material (002812 CH), Asymchem Laboratories (002821 CH), Jafron Biomedical Co Ltd (300529 CH), Bgi Genomics (300676 CH), China Cssc Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH), Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH), JCET Group (600584 CH), Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd A (600600 CH), Topchoice Medical (600763 CH), Shanghai Baosight Software Co (600845 CH), Jonjee High-Tech Ind.&amp; Com. (600872 CH), Zhongtai Securities Co Ltd (600918 CH), Boc International China Co-A (601696 CH), China Merchants Energy A (601872 CH), Nanjing Securities Co Ltd (601990 CH), Gan&amp;Lee Pharma (603087 CH), Gongniu Group Co Ltd (603195 CH), Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH), Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH), China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH), Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH) and Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH).
The deletions are Hebei Iron &amp; Steel Co Ltd A (000709 CH), Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH), STO Express (002468 CH), Avic Helicopter Co Ltd A (600038 CH), Tbea Co Ltd A (600089 CH), Shanghai Construction Group Co, Ltd. (600170 CH), Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188 CH), Shandong Nanshan Aluminum A (600219 CH), Hainan Airlines Co (600221 CH), China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH), HLA CORP., Ltd. (600398 CH), Fangda Carbon New Material Co, Ltd. (600516 CH), Offshore Oil Engineering A (600583 CH), Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH), Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH), Bank of Xi'an Co Ltd (600928 CH), Cnooc Energy Technology &amp; -A (600968 CH), China Film Co Ltd (600977 CH), Ningbo Port (601018 CH), Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co-A (601212 CH), Qingdao Port International Co (601298 CH), Red Star Macalline Group (601828 CH), China Coal Energy (601898 CH), BBMG Corporation (601992 CH), Bank of Guiyang Co Ltd (601997 CH) and Hoshine Silicon Industry C-A (603260 CH).
Only 3 of the inclusions have over 1 day of ADV to buy, while there are a lot more deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to sell.
The index universe has also been expanded to include STAR Board stocks that have been listed for over 1 year. The change was implemented at this review (with no advance notice) and will see the inclusion of Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH), China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH), Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH) and Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH) into the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX). 

STAR Board: CSI300 Index Rebalance: Rule Change Sees STAR Board Stocks Included

Materials, IPO & Equity Analyst

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

Shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a> has increased over 250% in the last three quarters. The spectacular rally is only second to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)</a> in our mining universe.Our analysis indicates that Ganfeng’s returns are on a weak foundation of collapsing lithium prices due to over-supply and weak financials.On the bright side, the company has entered offtake agreements with LG Chem and Tesla for at least the next 3 years. We believe that the market is pricing a significant premium on Ganfeng for being a part of Tesla’s supply chain.We believe the stock has now decoupled from its financials and lithium market fundamentals and trading as an associate/cluster of Tesla. We believe the stock rally despite the collapse in profitability due to COVID has increased downside risk in short to midterm.   <figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/153/402/original/stock%20plot.png?1597773452" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="153402"></figure>

Shares of Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) has increased over 250% in the last three quarters. The spectacular rally is only second to Fortescue Metals (FMG AU) in our mining universe.Our analysis indicates that Ganfeng’s returns are on a weak foundation of collapsing lithium prices due to over-supply and weak financials.On the bright side, the company has entered offtake agreements with LG Chem and Tesla for at least the next 3 years. We believe that the market is pricing a significant premium on Ganfeng for being a part of Tesla’s supply chain.We believe the stock has now decoupled from its financials and lithium market fundamentals and trading as an associate/cluster of Tesla. We believe the stock rally despite the collapse in profitability due to COVID has increased downside risk in short to midterm.   

Ganfeng Lithium: Will the Rally ‘Peter Out’ as Fundamentals Catch-Up

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1104" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1">Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU)</a> announced an indicative, non-binding proposal to the Board of Directors of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20374" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a> to acquire Lynas at A$2.25/share, payable in cash in the form of a Scheme of Arrangement.  This is a 44.7% premium to the one-day price and a 36.4% premium to the 60-day price.It is, however, a 0% premium to the price at which Lynas was trading on 3 December 2018, the day before the Malaysian Minister for Energy, Science, Technology, Environment and Climate imposed two pre-conditions on the rolling over of the processing licence (later in 2019), and it is a 3.2% premium to the one-year average as of 4 December 2018. On December 5th, the shares fell to A$1.65 and they have not recovered.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/083/187/original/Screenshot%202019-03-26%20at%206.30.50%20AM.png?1553553065" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="83187"></figure><div style="text-align: left;" class="content-caption">data source: capitalIQ, investing.com</div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/840" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:840">David Blennerhassett</a> gave an overview of the license renewal issues and timeline in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lynas-between-a-hard-place-and-just-rock" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:28377">Lynas: Between a Hard Place and Just Rock</a> just a few weeks ago. It is definitely worth a read as background for those not up to speed on the situation. This is very early, non-binding, conditional in the extreme, and conditional non-binding offers are a graveyard of Australian arbitrageurs. The Offer is not all that attractive to boot. But I expect the stock will go up anyway, and that may make for some interesting trading opportunities.

This morning, Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) announced an indicative, non-binding proposal to the Board of Directors of Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) to acquire Lynas at A$2.25/share, payable in cash in the form of a Scheme of Arrangement.  This is a 44.7% premium to the one-day price and a 36.4% premium to the 60-day price.It is, however, a 0% premium to the price at which Lynas was trading on 3 December 2018, the day before the Malaysian Minister for Energy, Science, Technology, Environment and Climate imposed two pre-conditions on the rolling over of the processing licence (later in 2019), and it is a 3.2% premium to the one-year average as of 4 December 2018. On December 5th, the shares fell to A$1.65 and they have not recovered.data source: capitalIQ, investing.comDavid Blennerhassett gave an overview of the license renewal issues and timeline in Lynas: Between a Hard Place and Just Rock just a few weeks ago. It is definitely worth a read as background for those not up to speed on the situation. This is very early, non-binding, conditional in the extreme, and conditional non-binding offers are a graveyard of Australian arbitrageurs. The Offer is not all that attractive to boot. But I expect the stock will go up anyway, and that may make for some interesting trading opportunities.

China

Tianqi Lithium Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells lithium products. The Company produces lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, lithium hydroxide, and other related products. Tianqi Lithium markets its products worldwide.

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Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Maxing Out the Number of Changes

We see 30 potential inclusions/exclusions to the CSI300 index at the June review that will become effective COB 11 June. With a lot of benchmarked...

Brian Freitas

IGO Placement - Going for EV Gold, Delayed Earnings Gratification for Shareholders

Independence Group Nl plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in...

Sumeet Singh

STAR Board: CSI300 Index Rebalance: Rule Change Sees STAR Board Stocks Included

There are 26 inclusions/exclusions from the CSI300 index with a one way turnover of 3.87%. An expansion of the universe has 4 STAR Board stocks...

Brian Freitas

Ganfeng Lithium: Will the Rally ‘Peter Out’ as Fundamentals Catch-Up

Shares of Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) has increased over 250% in the last three quarters. The spectacular rally is only second to Fortescue Metals...

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Wesfarmers Puts Out A Bid for Lynas

This morning, Wesfarmers Ltd (WES AU) announced an indicative, non-binding proposal to the Board of Directors of Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) to acquire...

Travis Lundy

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