Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector, Small Cap Consumer Research

Small Cap Consumer Research

Equity Research Focusing on the Consumer Sector

Small Cap Consumer Research, LLC is a leading company-sponsored equity research provider focusing on the consumer sector (apparel, brand licensing and specialty retailing segments).

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating and $24 price target and raising our 2024 and 2025 projections for JAKKS Pacific after the company handily beat our 2Q24 projections, as gains in the core business offset expected material weakness in content-led (i.e. movie driven) offerings.</li><li>Further, with the recent launch of The Simpsons and Authentic Brands driven licensed offerings, the upcoming launch of key Holiday movie properties (Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3), new owned properties and a continued focus on international expansion, we view our projections, even after our top and bottom line increases, as conservative.</li><li>Further, with JAKK continuing to trade at a material discount to their peers, we believe the risk/reward in the name remains impressive, and we reiterate our Buy rating and $24 price target.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $24 price target and raising our 2024 and 2025 projections for JAKKS Pacific after the company handily beat our 2Q24 projections, as gains in the core business offset expected material weakness in content-led (i.e. movie driven) offerings.Further, with the recent launch of The Simpsons and Authentic Brands driven licensed offerings, the upcoming launch of key Holiday movie properties (Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3), new owned properties and a continued focus on international expansion, we view our projections, even after our top and bottom line increases, as conservative.Further, with JAKK continuing to trade at a material discount to their peers, we believe the risk/reward in the name remains impressive, and we reiterate our Buy rating and $24 price target.

JAKK: Setting Sail for Sunnier Climes; Reiterate Buy, $24 Price Target

<ul><li>We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $24 price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company announcing 2Q24 (June) results after the close on Wednesday.</li><li>While we do not expect, nor have we projected, a strong 2Q, we do believe management will be upbeat on a number of key fronts, including: 1) Cleaning up inventory levels in anticipation of Holiday strength and new launches; 2) gearing up for more normalized Halloween costume demand; 3) initial launches for The Simpsons lines to key domestic and international retailers; 4) progress on the international expansion front; 5) the initial shipments for the Authentic Brands partnership and 6) potential demand for Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3 Holiday movies.</li><li>Further, we expect the balance sheet has remained debt free, cash rich and management will provide an update on potential return to shareholders.</li></ul>

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $24 price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company announcing 2Q24 (June) results after the close on Wednesday.While we do not expect, nor have we projected, a strong 2Q, we do believe management will be upbeat on a number of key fronts, including: 1) Cleaning up inventory levels in anticipation of Holiday strength and new launches; 2) gearing up for more normalized Halloween costume demand; 3) initial launches for The Simpsons lines to key domestic and international retailers; 4) progress on the international expansion front; 5) the initial shipments for the Authentic Brands partnership and 6) potential demand for Moana 2 and Sonic the Hedgehog 3 Holiday movies.Further, we expect the balance sheet has remained debt free, cash rich and management will provide an update on potential return to shareholders.

JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting up for Success; Reiterate Buy Rating, $24 PT

<ul><li>We are initiating coverage of JAKKS Pacific, Inc. ("JAKKS" or the company), a leading designer, producer, marketer, seller and distributor of multi-brand licensed toys and related products, with a Buy rating and a $24 price target, or 7.5X our 2025 EPS projection of $3.20.</li><li>We believe, after a rough start to 2024, driven by weak content-led movie driven results, JAKKS is nearing a stabilization of the business and, with new licensing relationships (The Simpsons and Authentic Brands) and content-led movies (Moana 2, Sonic the Hedgehog 3) coming to the fore, is positioned for upside.</li><li>Further, as of 1Q24, JAKKS is debt free for the first time in recent history, with cash per share of over $3.40 and tangible book value of over $14.75 per share.</li></ul>

We are initiating coverage of JAKKS Pacific, Inc. ("JAKKS" or the company), a leading designer, producer, marketer, seller and distributor of multi-brand licensed toys and related products, with a Buy rating and a $24 price target, or 7.5X our 2025 EPS projection of $3.20.We believe, after a rough start to 2024, driven by weak content-led movie driven results, JAKKS is nearing a stabilization of the business and, with new licensing relationships (The Simpsons and Authentic Brands) and content-led movies (Moana 2, Sonic the Hedgehog 3) coming to the fore, is positioned for upside.Further, as of 1Q24, JAKKS is debt free for the first time in recent history, with cash per share of over $3.40 and tangible book value of over $14.75 per share.

JAKK: Initiating Coverage of JAKKS with Buy, $24 PT; Building a Better Model

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect e-commerce to have a strong 2H24, allowing the sector to meet or exceed 11% growth expectations 2024 as Amazon’s same-day/one-day initiatives appear to be reviving the secular shift from brick-and-mortar retailers.</li><li>We continue to watch other secular adoption trends, including mobile commerce (m- commerce) and buy now, pay later (BNPL), which should also help drive growth.</li><li>Despite some signs of a slowing economy/consumer, digital advertising should have a solid 2H24 and meet/slightly exceed 9% growth expectations for the year.</li></ul>

We expect e-commerce to have a strong 2H24, allowing the sector to meet or exceed 11% growth expectations 2024 as Amazon’s same-day/one-day initiatives appear to be reviving the secular shift from brick-and-mortar retailers.We continue to watch other secular adoption trends, including mobile commerce (m- commerce) and buy now, pay later (BNPL), which should also help drive growth.Despite some signs of a slowing economy/consumer, digital advertising should have a solid 2H24 and meet/slightly exceed 9% growth expectations for the year.

Five Trends in 2H24 - Tweaking Growth Expectations for Key Markets in 2024

United States

The Walt Disney Company is an entertainment company that conducts operations in media networks, studio entertainment, theme parks and resorts, consumer products, and interactive media. The Company produces motion pictures, television programs, and musical recordings, as well as books and magazines.

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The Walt Disney Co (DIS US)

JAKK: Setting Sail for Sunnier Climes; Reiterate Buy, $24 Price Target

We are reiterating our Buy rating and $24 price target and raising our 2024 and 2025 projections for JAKKS Pacific after the company handily beat...

Small Cap Consumer Research

JAKK: 2Q Preview: Setting up for Success; Reiterate Buy Rating, $24 PT

We are reiterating our Buy rating, projections and $24 price target for JAKKS Pacific with the company announcing 2Q24 (June) results after the...

Small Cap Consumer Research

JAKK: Initiating Coverage of JAKKS with Buy, $24 PT; Building a Better Model

We are initiating coverage of JAKKS Pacific, Inc. ("JAKKS" or the company), a leading designer, producer, marketer, seller and distributor of...

Small Cap Consumer Research

Five Trends in 2H24 - Tweaking Growth Expectations for Key Markets in 2024

We continue to watch other secular adoption trends, including mobile commerce (m- commerce) and buy now, pay later (BNPL), which should also help...

Water Tower Research

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