Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

With the Fed turning hawkish, the pressure on EM central banks to do the same has increased. In this note, we identify the countries where 2s5s slopes can flatten as rate hikes get priced in earlier than before.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

With the Fed turning hawkish, the pressure on EM central banks to do the same has increased. In this note, we identify the countries where 2s5s slopes can flatten as rate hikes get priced in earlier than before.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Which EM Countries to Target for 2s5s Flatteners?

Since the hawkish FOMC meeting last week, the US rates curve has flattened. In this note, we address the question: if the US curve continues to flatten, will it take EM with it? Our short answer is yes, but with a couple of caveats.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

Since the hawkish FOMC meeting last week, the US rates curve has flattened. In this note, we address the question: if the US curve continues to flatten, will it take EM with it? Our short answer is yes, but with a couple of caveats.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Can US Curve Flattening Pull EM with It?

In this note, we identify the countries where rates have outperformed or underperformed relative to the correction in US rates.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

In this note, we identify the countries where rates have outperformed or underperformed relative to the correction in US rates.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Leaders and Laggards in the Rates Sell-Off

In this note, we compare and analyze the performance of EM 10y rates relative to US at country and regional levels.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

In this note, we compare and analyze the performance of EM 10y rates relative to US at country and regional levels.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Rates Outperforming US in the Correction

In this note, we discuss the implication of the high correlation of US rates volatility with the spread of EM to US 10y rate.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

In this note, we discuss the implication of the high correlation of US rates volatility with the spread of EM to US 10y rate.The attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market. The analysis, therefore, is not a forecasting tool but to be used for identifying dislocations, which we loosely define as price moves that cannot be justified by fundamentals.

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Spread to US Function of US Rates Vol

Thailand

A vanilla interest rate swap is an agreement between two counterparties to exchange cashflows (fixed vs floating) in the same currency. This agreement is often used by counterparties to change their fixed cashflows to floating or vice-versa. The payments are made during the life of the swap in the frequency that is pre-established by the counterparties.

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THB 10Y (TBSWO10 CURNCY)

Rates 10y Dashboard: Which EM Countries to Target for 2s5s Flatteners?

With the Fed turning hawkish, we identify the EM countries where 2s5s slopes can flatten as rate hikes get priced in earlier than before.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Can US Curve Flattening Pull EM with It?

In this note, we address the question: if the US curve continues to flatten, as it has since the FOMC meeting last week, will it take EM with it?...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Leaders and Laggards in the Rates Sell-Off

Attached is our daily Rates 10y Dashboard that helps identify dislocations in EM 10y rates market. In this note, we identify the outperformers and...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Rates Outperforming US in the Correction

Attached is our daily Rates 10y Dashboard that helps identify dislocations in EM 10y rates market. In this note, we compare the performance of EM...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: EM Spread to US Function of US Rates Vol

Attached is our daily Rates 10y Dashboard that identifies dislocations in EM 10y rates markets. In this note, we discuss the high correlation of US...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)