APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a> is looking to raise about US$2.5bn in its follow-on offering. Proceeds raised will be mainly used for R&amp;D, sales and service network expansion and market penetration.In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics, valuation, and how we think one should position their trade.We have earlier covered the company's IPO, lock-up expiry event, and its June and August 2020 placement in:<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-s-guidance-makes-selling-upon-lock-expiry-more-compelling" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:28425" rel="noopener">NIO's (蔚来) Guidance Makes Selling upon Lock-Expiry More Compelling</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-lock-up-expiry-scattered-pre-ipo-investors-to-be-the-sellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:28392" rel="noopener">NIO (蔚来) Lock-Up Expiry - Scattered Pre-IPO Investors to Be the Sellers</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-ipo-review-blue-sky-assumptions-value-it-at-just-a-small-discount-to-peers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:23179" rel="noopener">NIO (蔚来) IPO Review - Blue Sky Assumptions Value It at Just a Small Discount to Peers</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-pre-ipo-review-as-one-player-looks-to-delist-another-one-looks-to-list" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:23070" rel="noopener">NIO (蔚来) Pre-IPO Review - As One Player Looks to Delist, Another One Looks to List</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-placement-out-of-the-woods-for-now" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:40206" rel="noopener">NIO (蔚来) Placement - Out of the Woods, for Now</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nio-placement-buying-itself-out-of-nio-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42667" rel="noopener">NIO (蔚来) Placement - Buying Itself Out of NIO China</a> </li>
</ul>

NIO Inc (NIO US) is looking to raise about US$2.5bn in its follow-on offering. Proceeds raised will be mainly used for R&amp;D, sales and service network expansion and market penetration.In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics, valuation, and how we think one should position their trade.We have earlier covered the company's IPO, lock-up expiry event, and its June and August 2020 placement in:

NIO's (蔚来) Guidance Makes Selling upon Lock-Expiry More Compelling 

NIO (蔚来) Lock-Up Expiry - Scattered Pre-IPO Investors to Be the Sellers 

NIO (蔚来) IPO Review - Blue Sky Assumptions Value It at Just a Small Discount to Peers 

NIO (蔚来) Pre-IPO Review - As One Player Looks to Delist, Another One Looks to List 

NIO (蔚来) Placement - Out of the Woods, for Now 

NIO (蔚来) Placement - Buying Itself Out of NIO China 


NIO (蔚来) Placement - As Expected. Now, You Choose.

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker, Global Equity Research Ltd

Rickin Thakrar

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Sea announced a placement of its shares with the hopes of raising approximately 2bn USD. Sea shares have had a phenomenal run with the shares rising almost six-fold over the past year driven by strong top-line growth and the potential for a unique one-way adoption ecosystem in e-commerce and payments. Our updated view is below the foldOur previous bullish research on Sea  is below<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sea-limited-3q-results-driving-a-new-pillar-of-growth" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45445" rel="noopener">Sea Limited 3Q Results: Driving a New Pillar of Growth</a> <div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sea-limited-can-the-good-times-continue-to-roll" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:42356" rel="noopener">Sea Limited: Can the Good Times Continue to Roll?</a> </div><div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sea-limited-opportunistic-offering-or-building-a-war-chest" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:34457" rel="noopener">Sea Limited: Opportunistic Offering or Building a War-Chest?</a> 

</div>

Sea announced a placement of its shares with the hopes of raising approximately 2bn USD. Sea shares have had a phenomenal run with the shares rising almost six-fold over the past year driven by strong top-line growth and the potential for a unique one-way adoption ecosystem in e-commerce and payments. Our updated view is below the foldOur previous bullish research on Sea  is belowSea Limited 3Q Results: Driving a New Pillar of Growth Sea Limited: Can the Good Times Continue to Roll? 
Sea Limited: Opportunistic Offering or Building a War-Chest? 



Sea Limited Placement: Hoping for a Cheap Entry Point for This Unique Growth Story

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> announced Tuesday morning that it plans to raise up to <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-plans-stock-sale-closing-year-of-soaring-gains-11607444177?mod=article_inline" target="_blank" rel="noopener">$5 billion in new sales of stock</a> over time at prevailing market prices. As the third offering this year, including just three months ago, Tesla stands to raise more than $12 billion.And why not, say Tesla fans. With the stock up 674% so far this year, it has become only the <a href="https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-becomes-only-the-sixth-company-to-top-600-billion-in-value-51607377650" target="_blank" rel="noopener">sixth company ever to hit $600 </a><a href="https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-becomes-only-the-sixth-company-to-top-600-billion-in-value-51607377650" target="_blank" rel="noopener">billion</a> in market value. <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-to-be-added-to-s-p-500-index-11605566006?mod=article_inline" target="_blank" rel="noopener">In two weeks it will added</a> to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX)</a>.Such blind enthusiasm dismisses Tesla's problematic sales trends, its chronic lack of core unprofitability and free cash flow, it's increasingly threatened prospects, and more.Or that Tesla needs to borrow every quarter and stretch its payables and sell record amounts of stock after reporting last January that it had “<a href="https://tesla-cdn.thron.com/static/O7WXQA_TSLA_Update_Letter_2019-4Q_BPWOH4.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">grown to the point of being self-funding</a>.” Not even close.Yet investors remain unconcerned, and Tesla knows it.<div class="content-highlight">The full Bond Angle report continues below.</div>

Tesla Motors (TSLA US) announced Tuesday morning that it plans to raise up to $5 billion in new sales of stock over time at prevailing market prices. As the third offering this year, including just three months ago, Tesla stands to raise more than $12 billion.And why not, say Tesla fans. With the stock up 674% so far this year, it has become only the sixth company ever to hit $600 billion in market value. In two weeks it will added to the S&amp;P 500 (SPX INDEX).Such blind enthusiasm dismisses Tesla's problematic sales trends, its chronic lack of core unprofitability and free cash flow, it's increasingly threatened prospects, and more.Or that Tesla needs to borrow every quarter and stretch its payables and sell record amounts of stock after reporting last January that it had “grown to the point of being self-funding.” Not even close.Yet investors remain unconcerned, and Tesla knows it.The full Bond Angle report continues below.

Tesla to Sell Another $5 Billion in Stock—Might As Well

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">Independence Group Nl (IGO AU)</a> plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in Lithium HoldCo from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a>.This will be IGO's first foray into the Lithium space and will lead to a large increase in the share count. However, the company expects the transaction to be EPS accretive only in FY23.

Independence Group Nl (IGO AU) plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in Lithium HoldCo from Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH).This will be IGO's first foray into the Lithium space and will lead to a large increase in the share count. However, the company expects the transaction to be EPS accretive only in FY23.

IGO Placement - Going for EV Gold, Delayed Earnings Gratification for Shareholders

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

We are bullish on PV sales in 2021E. We estimate China's PV sales will grow by 10% yoy to 22.2mn units. We also estimate China's EV (electric vehicle) sales double will in 2021E.SUV's market share would continue growing and might reach 50% soon in China due to customers' preference, while premium car market (above Rmb130k) would continue gain market shares with consumption upgrading. B/C segment EV SUVs, as long as there's qualified models available, would be the hottest segment in 2021E.Among EV brands, Tesla (TSLA.US) Shanghai might be the biggest winner next year, thanks to its coming Model Y (SUV). Xpeng(EPEV.US) is our favourite in local brand. It would  launch a new sedan EV (P5) in 2021E.  Xpeng's new SUV model might come in 2022E.  NIO's (NIO.US) sales would under pressure due to direct competition from Model Y.Among traditional OEMs, Geely (175.HK) remains our favourite due to high expected growth of earnings driven by ramping up Lynk&amp;Co, new models and coming brand new designed EV models.

We are bullish on PV sales in 2021E. We estimate China's PV sales will grow by 10% yoy to 22.2mn units. We also estimate China's EV (electric vehicle) sales double will in 2021E.SUV's market share would continue growing and might reach 50% soon in China due to customers' preference, while premium car market (above Rmb130k) would continue gain market shares with consumption upgrading. B/C segment EV SUVs, as long as there's qualified models available, would be the hottest segment in 2021E.Among EV brands, Tesla (TSLA.US) Shanghai might be the biggest winner next year, thanks to its coming Model Y (SUV). Xpeng(EPEV.US) is our favourite in local brand. It would  launch a new sedan EV (P5) in 2021E.  Xpeng's new SUV model might come in 2022E.  NIO's (NIO.US) sales would under pressure due to direct competition from Model Y.Among traditional OEMs, Geely (175.HK) remains our favourite due to high expected growth of earnings driven by ramping up Lynk&amp;Co, new models and coming brand new designed EV models.

United States

Tesla Inc. operates as a multinational automotive and clean energy company. The Company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, and related products and services. Tesla owns its sales and service network and sells electric power train components to other automobile manufacturers.

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Tesla (TSLA US)

NIO (蔚来) Placement - As Expected. Now, You Choose.

NIO Inc (NIO US) is looking to raise about US$2.5bn in its follow-on offering. Proceeds raised will be mainly used for R&D, sales and service...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Sea Limited Placement: Hoping for a Cheap Entry Point for This Unique Growth Story

Sea announced a placement of its shares with the hopes of raising approximately 2bn USD. Sea shares have had a phenomenal run with the shares...

Rickin Thakrar

Tesla to Sell Another $5 Billion in Stock—Might As Well

Tesla is selling another $5 billion in stock—because it can and, surprisingly, it probably needs the cash. That doesn't mean investors should buy.

Vicki Bryan

IGO Placement - Going for EV Gold, Delayed Earnings Gratification for Shareholders

Independence Group Nl plans to raise A$766m via an institutional placement and entitlement offer to part funds its acquisition of 49% stake in...

Sumeet Singh

China Auto 2021E Outlook: Winter Is Over

We are bullish on PV sales in 2021E. We estimate China's PV sales will grow by 10% yoy to 22.2mn units. We also estimate China's EV (electric...

Victoria Li

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