Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li><a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2022-11-17/in-depth-whats-next-for-chinas-covid-vaccine-strategy-101966773.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"></a>Vaccines / In Depth: What’s next for China’s Covid vaccine strategy?</li><li>Students / Chinese student enrollment hits seven-year low in the U.S.</li><li>Caixin Summit / IMF official says recalibrating ‘zero Covid’ is critical to China’s recovery</li></ul>

Vaccines / In Depth: What’s next for China’s Covid vaccine strategy?Students / Chinese student enrollment hits seven-year low in the U.S.Caixin Summit / IMF official says recalibrating ‘zero Covid’ is critical to China’s recovery

CX Daily: What’s Next for China’s Covid Vaccine Strategy?

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.</li><li>What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.</li><li>The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.</li></ul>

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main drivers of the continued rally early in the week.What has been very different in this rally is the robust Southbound Inflows indicating strong interest from mainland investors but (yes, there is always one) it does not tie up the sharp rise in short-end HIBOR.The HIBOR rise could be due to the drawdown of the large-margin loan in support of this rally. I have not found data to support or rebuff such a thesis.

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tencent announced 3Q22 results on 16 Nov. Total revenue declined by 1.6% YoY but grew by 4.5% QoQ to RMB140.1bn in 3Q22, in line with consensus/our estimate of RMB141.4/140.6bn.</li><li>9M22 revenue was down by 1.5% YoY. Quarterly Non-IFRS net income grew 1.6% YoY after the decline for 4 consecutive quarters, and reached RMB32.3bn in 3Q22, beating consensus estimate by 7%.</li><li>The earning beat was mostly helped by effective control in S&amp;M expenses (-32% YoY) &amp; staff costs (low single-digit YoY growth excl. one-off severance costs).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent announced 3Q22 results on 16 Nov. Total revenue declined by 1.6% YoY but grew by 4.5% QoQ to RMB140.1bn in 3Q22, in line with consensus/our estimate of RMB141.4/140.6bn.9M22 revenue was down by 1.5% YoY. Quarterly Non-IFRS net income grew 1.6% YoY after the decline for 4 consecutive quarters, and reached RMB32.3bn in 3Q22, beating consensus estimate by 7%.The earning beat was mostly helped by effective control in S&amp;M expenses (-32% YoY) &amp; staff costs (low single-digit YoY growth excl. one-off severance costs).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent  (700 HK) – Return to earnings growth track

<ul><li>In Depth: Rival ride-hailing apps challenge Didi in world’s biggest market</li><li>Xi calls for improved China-Australia relations at G-20</li><li>Indonesia IT minister plays up opportunities in country’s digital transformation</li></ul>

In Depth: Rival ride-hailing apps challenge Didi in world’s biggest marketXi calls for improved China-Australia relations at G-20Indonesia IT minister plays up opportunities in country’s digital transformation

CX Daily: Rival Ride-Hailing Apps Challenge Didi in World’s Biggest Market

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.</li><li>However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. </li><li>China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changes</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data.However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China Telecom/ China Mobile sluggish cloud revenue growth. China cloud spending in 2023E could remain conservative with structural changesContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China

Baidu, Inc. operates an Internet search engine. The Company offers algorithmic search, enterprise search, news, MP3, and image searches, voice assistance, online storage, and navigation services. Baidu serves clients globally.

East Money Information Co., Ltd. operates online financial information platform.  The Company's products include internet advertising and financial data.

NetEase, Inc. is an Internet technology company that develops applications, services and other Internet technologies in China. The Company's core businesses consist of email service, web portal and online entertainment, including online gaming services. NetEase also offers online advertising, search, mobile applications and e-commerce.

Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network Co Ltd provides online financial data, data analysis software, and other financial software system.

Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network (300033 CH)

People.cn Company Limited mainly engages in internet advertising, information services, mobile value-added and technical services. The Company's main products include original messages, government information services, public opinion research and consulting, mobile news, and ISP services.

Autohome Inc is an online destination for automobile consumers in China.  The Company delivers comprehensive, independent and interactive content to automobile buyers and owners.

Wangsu Science & Technology Co., Ltd. provides online business solutions in China. The Company also provides Content Delivery Network (CDN), and Internet Data Centers (IDC).

Shanghai Wangsu Science & Technology Co (300017 CH)

Beijing Sinnet Technology Company Limited provides customers with broadband access services, IDC and its value-added services, and other internet integrated services. The Company's core business are broadband access services, IDC and its value-added services.

GDS Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops and operates data centers. GDS Holdings offers risk and security management, information technology planing, remote monitoring, cloud hosting, virtualization, disaster recovery, and remote data protection services.

INESA Intelligent Tech Inc. operates in the IT industry. The Company designs and manages cloud servers and big data applications for businesses. INESA Intelligent also manufactures electronic components.

eBay Inc. operates an online trading community.  The Company's service is used by buyers and sellers for the exchange of products and services such as coins, collectibles, computers, memorabilia, stamps and toys, as well as concert and sporting tickets.  eBay also offers, through a subsidiary, secure online payment services.

VeriSign Inc provides domain names and Internet security, enabling the world to connect online with reliability and confidence, anytime, anywhere. The Company ensures the security, stability and resiliency of key Internet infrastructure including the .com and .net top-level domains among others. VeriSign also offers intelligence-driven security services.

GoDaddy, Inc. provides a cloud-based web platform for small businesses, web design professionals and individuals. The Company's platform provides applications that help them connect to their customers, manage their businesses and get found online.

Naver Corp. provides Internet site with web portal services, such as search engine, online game and content development.  The Company also offers marketing service through text and banner advertisement.

CoStar Group Inc. provides building-specific information to the United States commercial real estate industry and related industries. The Company's database details office and industrial space. The database provides digitized photographs and floor plan images on individual commercial buildings in the company's markets.

Yandex NV operates an Internet website in Russia.  The Company's website offers an Internet search engine, news, shopping information, blogs, photographs and videos.  Yandex earns its revenues from online advertising.

SPS Commerce Inc provides on-demand supply chain management solutions through an online hosted software suite.  The Company uses pre-built integrations to eliminate on-premise software and support staff to shorten supply cycle times, optimize inventory levels and reduce costs.

Akamai Technologies, Inc. provides services for accelerating and improving the delivery of content and applications over the Internet; ranging from live and on-demand streaming video capabilities to conventional content on websites, to tools that help people transact business and reach out to new and existing customers.

NEXTDC Ltd. develops data centers. The Company develops and operates carrier and systems integrator neutral data centers in Australia. NEXTDC's customers will also be able to use the data centers as connectivity and content hubs.

AppFolio, Inc. provides cloud-based software solutions. The Company offers a cloud-based property management software that allows apartment and residential property managers to market, manage, and grow their business. AppFolio conducts business in the United States.

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

CX Daily: What’s Next for China’s Covid Vaccine Strategy?

In Depth: What’s next for China’s Covid vaccine strategy? Chinese student enrollment hits seven-year low in the U.S. IMF official says...

Caixin Global

HIBOR, Country Garden, Meituan, Tencent, and HSBC

The headlines of sweeping changes in the property market easing and Xi’s G-20 meetings to signal the thawing of foreign relationships were the main...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Tencent (700 HK) – Return to earnings growth track

Total revenue declined by 1.6% YoY but grew by 4.5% QoQ to RMB140.1bn in 3Q22, in line with consensus/our estimate of RMB141.4/140.6bn.

CMB International

CX Daily: Rival Ride-Hailing Apps Challenge Didi in World’s Biggest Market

In Depth: Rival ride-hailing apps challenge Didi in world’s biggest market. Xi calls for improved China-Australia relations at G-20.

Caixin Global

China Software & IT Services – China IaaS + PaaS growth slowed further in 3Q22

China IaaS + PaaS market grew 30.7% YoY in 1H22, according to IDC data. However, this may have slowed to 10-20% YoY in 3Q22, reflected by China...

CMB International

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