Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity fell 20% week-on-week this week. Net buying was a little stronger. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> was a net SOUTHBOUND sell this week for the first weekly sell since it became Southbound-eligible. Friday was the largest one-day sell in that period.</li>
<li>Tech is still on the sell side and financials are still being bought very bigly.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity fell 20% week-on-week this week. Net buying was a little stronger. 

Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) was a net SOUTHBOUND sell this week for the first weekly sell since it became Southbound-eligible. Friday was the largest one-day sell in that period.
Tech is still on the sell side and financials are still being bought very bigly.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Dec 2024); Financials and Telecoms Still Tops

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

<ul>
<li>Top Ten most active contracts for the week all traded on Monday. Most of the active contracts were Calls with December expiries.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> makes the Top Ten non-Tencent most active contracts with both Puts and Call active – likely stock replacement and hedges following torrid run higher.</li>
<li>Tencent implied vols trading at their lowest levels of the past year.</li>
</ul>


Top Ten most active contracts for the week all traded on Monday. Most of the active contracts were Calls with December expiries.

Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) makes the Top Ten non-Tencent most active contracts with both Puts and Call active – likely stock replacement and hedges following torrid run higher.
Tencent implied vols trading at their lowest levels of the past year.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Consistent compounders, stocks with steady earnings growth and excess returns over a long period of time, are difficult to find. It's even more difficult to find reasonably valued compounders.</li>
<li>From the universe of large Asian companies, we screen those with steady profit growth (&gt;10%) and excess returns in each of last 10 years and over next three forecast years.</li>
<li>Our list of 20 inexpensive compounders comprises 10 from onshore China, 5 from HK, 3 from India and 1 each from Japan and the Philippines.</li>
</ul>


Consistent compounders, stocks with steady earnings growth and excess returns over a long period of time, are difficult to find. It's even more difficult to find reasonably valued compounders.
From the universe of large Asian companies, we screen those with steady profit growth (&gt;10%) and excess returns in each of last 10 years and over next three forecast years.
Our list of 20 inexpensive compounders comprises 10 from onshore China, 5 from HK, 3 from India and 1 each from Japan and the Philippines.


Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

<ul>
<li>Strong price action across the market this week coupled with implied vols having caught down to historic vols has put a floor on implied vols.</li>
<li>Tencent sees strong call buying in December 410 and 420 Calls with month end 400 strike Put buying for December and January.</li>
<li>Cathay Pacific, +21% over past 3 weeks, HSBC, at 52-week high plus up 38% on the year and BABA, down 21% from Oct 02 high all active names.</li>
</ul>


Strong price action across the market this week coupled with implied vols having caught down to historic vols has put a floor on implied vols.
Tencent sees strong call buying in December 410 and 420 Calls with month end 400 strike Put buying for December and January.
Cathay Pacific, +21% over past 3 weeks, HSBC, at 52-week high plus up 38% on the year and BABA, down 21% from Oct 02 high all active names.


EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 02 - 06

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity rebounded about 20% this week vs the previous week. Net buying was a little lower but still strong. Market volumes overall in HK remain weak.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> was again the top buy and EV names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> were bought, but tech as a whole was sold.</li>
<li>I continue to expect HK-listed tech to see ongoing buying. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity rebounded about 20% this week vs the previous week. Net buying was a little lower but still strong. Market volumes overall in HK remain weak.

Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) was again the top buy and EV names XPeng (9868 HK) and BYD (1211 HK) were bought, but tech as a whole was sold.
I continue to expect HK-listed tech to see ongoing buying. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent (700 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Dec 2024); Financials and Telecoms Still Tops

SOUTHBOUND volumes fell this week vs last week, but the pace of net buying continues unabated. There is a LOT of financials and telecom buying...

Travis Lundy

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

John Ley

Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 02 - 06

Market showing strong price action this week with implied vols stabilizing, Tencent sees call buying, Cathay Pacific, HSBC, and BABA all active...

John Ley

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes were +20%wow, Net buying continued though tech flows slower. Markets up. China first retaliation in trade is...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Dec 2024); Financials and Telecoms Still Tops

SOUTHBOUND volumes fell this week vs last week, but the pace of net buying continues unabated. There is a LOT of financials and telecom buying...

Travis Lundy

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly December 09 – 13

​Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

John Ley

Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders

​Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

EQD | Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly Dec 02 - 06

​Market showing strong price action this week with implied vols stabilizing, Tencent sees call buying, Cathay Pacific, HSBC, and BABA all active...

John Ley

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Dec 2024); SB Trading Volumes Up, US/China Trade Volleys Up Too

Connect SOUTHBOUND volumes were +20%wow, Net buying continued though tech flows slower. Markets up. China first retaliation in trade is...

Travis Lundy

Top Ten most active contracts traded on Monday, mostly Calls with December expiries. Xiaomi Corp makes most active contracts list with Puts and...

Finding consistent compounders with steady earnings growth and excess returns is challenging, especially those that are reasonably valued. We...

Market showing strong price action this week with implied vols stabilizing, Tencent sees call buying, Cathay Pacific, HSBC, and BABA all active...