Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will expire soon.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In March, the HK Secretary for Financial Services announced a waiver of stamp duty on dual counter trading market making. In November, the Govt of HK <a href="https://www.info.gov.hk/gia/general/202211/18/P2022111800254.htm" target="_blank" rel="noopener">gazetted</a> a bill.</li>
<li>HKEX launched plans in December. 9 large HK names announced in March they'd apply (Tencent, Kuaishou, Geely, BOC, Anta, AIA, China Resources Beer, Bidu, HKEX). Six more in April.</li>
<li>All the announcements are similar. But one on 21 April caught my eye because it is a big H/A with strong southbound support. That's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


In March, the HK Secretary for Financial Services announced a waiver of stamp duty on dual counter trading market making. In November, the Govt of HK gazetted a bill.
HKEX launched plans in December. 9 large HK names announced in March they'd apply (Tencent, Kuaishou, Geely, BOC, Anta, AIA, China Resources Beer, Bidu, HKEX). Six more in April.
All the announcements are similar. But one on 21 April caught my eye because it is a big H/A with strong southbound support. That's China Mobile (941 HK). 


Another Reason To Like China Mobile (941 HK)

<ul>
<li>On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.</li>
<li>At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn</li>
<li>We have covered the background of the event in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>


On 16th Nov 22, post-market close, along with its 3Q22 results Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan.
At the time of declaration, the dividend amounted to US$20bn or 15.5% of Meituan’s outstanding shares. Its value has since declined to US$17bn
We have covered the background of the event in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the recent updates.


Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Here - Not All Shares in CCASS, Here We Go Again!

<ul>
<li>In early 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> made clear it was on a divestment path - disposing of investments able to support themselves - possibly "obliged" after 2021's China internet mess.</li>
<li>In August, Reuters suggested <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> was next. Tencent denied it, but in November with Q3 earnings, announced a January 2023 distribution with March 2023 settlement. </li>
<li>US$16bn of Meituan shares get delivered on 24 March 2023 - this Friday. That's a lot. <em>But this time is different than last time.</em>
</li>
</ul>


In early 2022, Tencent (700 HK) made clear it was on a divestment path - disposing of investments able to support themselves - possibly "obliged" after 2021's China internet mess.
In August, Reuters suggested Meituan (3690 HK) was next. Tencent denied it, but in November with Q3 earnings, announced a January 2023 distribution with March 2023 settlement. 
US$16bn of Meituan shares get delivered on 24 March 2023 - this Friday. That's a lot. But this time is different than last time.



Meituan (3690 HK) - US$16bn of Shares To Be Delivered This Week

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. </li>
<li>A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.</li>
<li>Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.</li>
</ul>


Although 5% GDP growth target for 2023 is at the low end of market speculation of 5.5-6%, we think this reflects the government's conservative stance amid post-COVID recovery. 
A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a special purpose bond quota of Rmb3.8trn suggested that government spending will stay as important economic driver.
Consumption is another major stimulus for economic growth, and more supportive measures will be rolled out - we have seen many cities planning to hand out consumption vouchers.


China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Giant Biogene IPO Lock-Up - US$1.7bn Lockup Release Will Increase Free Float by 14x

Giant Biogene raised around US$70m in its Hong Kong IPO, after having downsized the deal and priced it at the low-end. Its six-month lockup will...

Sumeet Singh

Another Reason To Like China Mobile (941 HK)

China Mobile remains cheap as it likely has more dividend payout ratio upside as per the plans when the A-shares were listed. Now we are on track...

Travis Lundy

Tencent Meituan Dividend - The US$17bn Overhang Is Here - Not All Shares in CCASS, Here We Go Again!

On 16th Nov 22, Tencent declared an interim dividend by way of distribution in specie of Class B Ordinary shares of Meituan. The settlement was...

Sumeet Singh

Meituan (3690 HK) - US$16bn of Shares To Be Delivered This Week

There are about US$16bn of Meituan (3690 HK) shares to be delivered at the end of this week. This setup resembles the JD.com distribution by...

Travis Lundy

China NPC: Implications of Government Working Report 2023

A 0.2pp higher budget deficit and a Rmb3.8trn special purpose bond quota suggested government spending will remain important economic driver. More...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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