Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reuters this afternoon carried an <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/exclusive-tencent-plans-divest-24-bln-meituan-stake-sources-2022-08-16/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> was seeking to divest "US$24bn" (17%) of $78bn market cap delivery company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> by year-end to mollify domestic regulators.</li>
<li>Tencent would seek to launch a share sale within 2022 <em>"if market conditions are favourable." </em>Meituan shares tanked 9%, immediately.</li>
<li>The article suggests disposal via block sale (faster than negotiating with a private buyer), odd given Tencent's Q1 2022 experience with the JD.com unwind. But it leads to BIG flows.</li>
</ul>


Reuters this afternoon carried an article that Tencent (700 HK) was seeking to divest "US$24bn" (17%) of $78bn market cap delivery company Meituan (3690 HK) by year-end to mollify domestic regulators.
Tencent would seek to launch a share sale within 2022 "if market conditions are favourable." Meituan shares tanked 9%, immediately.
The article suggests disposal via block sale (faster than negotiating with a private buyer), odd given Tencent's Q1 2022 experience with the JD.com unwind. But it leads to BIG flows.


Tencent (700 HK) To Divest Meituan (3690 HK) - Impact and Index Implications

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Country Garden Holdings Co / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers.</li><li>Perhaps because the first calls of China's Lehman moment showed it was an exaggerated extrapolation.</li><li>The first decline phase was limited to corporates with highly leveraged real estate balance sheets.</li></ul>

Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers.Perhaps because the first calls of China's Lehman moment showed it was an exaggerated extrapolation.The first decline phase was limited to corporates with highly leveraged real estate balance sheets.

Hang Seng Index Constituents 14 July 2022

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>TPG Telecom was formed by a merger of Vodafone and TPG in Jul 2020. The merger resulted in the shares owned by Vodafone, Hutchison and DavidTeoh, being put in escrow.</li>
<li>The lockup on those shares will expire this month. David Teoh, TPG’s founder, has sold some stock before in Dec 21 and could look to exit his remaining shareholding.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up release and its dynamics.</li>
</ul>


TPG Telecom was formed by a merger of Vodafone and TPG in Jul 2020. The merger resulted in the shares owned by Vodafone, Hutchison and DavidTeoh, being put in escrow.
The lockup on those shares will expire this month. David Teoh, TPG’s founder, has sold some stock before in Dec 21 and could look to exit his remaining shareholding.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up release and its dynamics.


TPG Telecom Possible Selldown - Founder Could Look to Raise up to US$1bn with a Clean Exit

<ul>
<li>I wanted to write this insight over the weekend but could not finish it, but now there is new news to warrant it. </li>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>  <a href="https://www.prosus.com/news/disposal-of-jdcom-shares-received-from-tencent-holdings-limited/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had sold the 131,873,028 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares it received in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> distribution. This is as expected. Proceeds were US$3.67bn.</li>
<li>Also <a href="https://www.prosus.com/news/the-group-announces-the-beginning-of-an-open-ended-share-repurchase-programme-of-prosus-and-naspers-shares/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> this morning is "the beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> shares." The details are the key to <em>everything</em>. </li>
</ul>


I wanted to write this insight over the weekend but could not finish it, but now there is new news to warrant it. 
Today, Prosus (PRX NA)  announced it had sold the 131,873,028 JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares it received in the Tencent (700 HK) distribution. This is as expected. Proceeds were US$3.67bn.
Also announced this morning is "the beginning of an open-ended share repurchase programme of Prosus and Naspers (NPN SJ) shares." The details are the key to everything. 


Prosus/Naspers - Operation Ouroboros Commences, And It's Big (Discount, Flows, Index Impact)

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There has been a recent press commentary about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> laying off staff, which although unpleasant reflects management's decisive and pragmatic decision-making style which is no bad thing.</li>
<li>It is unclear how many staff are being laid off and where but it seems that Indonesia is not impacted in a big way and core markets continue to perform.</li>
<li>We will not follow on the coattails of liquidity with a negative recommendation when what management is doing looks positive and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> is batting above its peers.</li>
</ul>


There has been a recent press commentary about Sea Ltd laying off staff, which although unpleasant reflects management's decisive and pragmatic decision-making style which is no bad thing.
It is unclear how many staff are being laid off and where but it seems that Indonesia is not impacted in a big way and core markets continue to perform.
We will not follow on the coattails of liquidity with a negative recommendation when what management is doing looks positive and Sea Ltd (SE US) is batting above its peers.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - Navigating Challenging Waters With Sails Set

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK) To Divest Meituan (3690 HK) - Impact and Index Implications

Tencent is said to be looking at a $20bn block sale of its stake in Meituan (3690 HK) by year end. That's a big block. Maybe a repeat of JD.com?...

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Index Constituents 14 July 2022

Somehow the current leg of decline in China's Real estate stocks and bonds has not gotten the attention of investors and money managers. Perhaps...

Untying The Gordian Knot

TPG Telecom Possible Selldown - Founder Could Look to Raise up to US$1bn with a Clean Exit

TPG Telecom was formed by a merger of Vodafone and TPG in Jul 2020. The merger resulted in the shares owned by Vodafone, Hutchison and David Teoh,...

Sumeet Singh

Prosus/Naspers - Operation Ouroboros Commences, And It's Big (Discount, Flows, Index Impact)

The event everyone has been waiting for. Prosus will start selling Tencent to buy back Prosus and Naspers shares to narrow the discount. The...

Travis Lundy

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Navigating Challenging Waters With Sails Set

We will not follow on the coattails of liquidity with a negative recommendation when what management is doing looks positive and Sea Ltd (SE US) is...

Angus Mackintosh

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