External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Tencent remains on track of margins expansion, underpinned by increased revenue contribution from high-margin businesses and operating leverage.</li><li>The company is also committed to enhancing shareholder return, with daily share repurchase amount reaching HK$1bn (c.13% of average daily turnover) since 4Q23 earning release in March.</li><li>For 1Q24E, we forecast total revenue to increase by 6% YoY to RMB158.6bn, while non-IFRS net income to grow by 31% YoY to RMB43.1bn, primarily driven by the solid GPM expansion (+c.3ppt YoY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent remains on track of margins expansion, underpinned by increased revenue contribution from high-margin businesses and operating leverage.The company is also committed to enhancing shareholder return, with daily share repurchase amount reaching HK$1bn (c.13% of average daily turnover) since 4Q23 earning release in March.For 1Q24E, we forecast total revenue to increase by 6% YoY to RMB158.6bn, while non-IFRS net income to grow by 31% YoY to RMB43.1bn, primarily driven by the solid GPM expansion (+c.3ppt YoY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent (700 HK) - Expect Solid Earnings Growth and Enhancing Shareholder Return in FY24

<ul><li>Tencent announced its 4Q23 results on 20 Mar: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB155.2bn in 4Q23, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB156.1/157.4bn.</li><li>Non-IFRS net income was up by 44% YoY to RMB42.7bn in 4Q23, ahead of our/consensus estimate of RMB40.0/42.0bn, mainly due to solid GPM expansion (+7.3ppt YoY).</li><li>FY23 total revenue grew by 10% YoY to RMB609.0bn, and non-IFRS net income increased by 36% YoY to RMB157.7bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent announced its 4Q23 results on 20 Mar: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB155.2bn in 4Q23, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of RMB156.1/157.4bn.Non-IFRS net income was up by 44% YoY to RMB42.7bn in 4Q23, ahead of our/consensus estimate of RMB40.0/42.0bn, mainly due to solid GPM expansion (+7.3ppt YoY).FY23 total revenue grew by 10% YoY to RMB609.0bn, and non-IFRS net income increased by 36% YoY to RMB157.7bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent (700 HK) - Unleashing Business Model Advantages

<ul><li>We expect Tencent will continue to deliver quality earnings growth in 4Q23E and 2024E, supported by its operating leverage capacity, improving competitive positions in core business segments and incremental contribution from Weixin ecosystem innovation.</li><li>We expect non-IFRS NPM to rise from 21% in FY22 to 28% in FY25E, on favourable revenue mix shift to higher margin business (e.g. Weixin Video Account and mini games) and opex control.</li><li>Despite the potential slowdown in games revenue growth due to seasonality of monetization (especially in 4Q23), we are upbeat on Tencent’s long-term leadership in domestic games market and capability to address overseas games market. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Tencent will continue to deliver quality earnings growth in 4Q23E and 2024E, supported by its operating leverage capacity, improving competitive positions in core business segments and incremental contribution from Weixin ecosystem innovation.We expect non-IFRS NPM to rise from 21% in FY22 to 28% in FY25E, on favourable revenue mix shift to higher margin business (e.g. Weixin Video Account and mini games) and opex control.Despite the potential slowdown in games revenue growth due to seasonality of monetization (especially in 4Q23), we are upbeat on Tencent’s long-term leadership in domestic games market and capability to address overseas games market. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tencent (700 HK) - Weixin Monetization Shows Continuous Progression

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.</li><li>We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.</li><li>Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

<ul><li>Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.</li><li>From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;</li><li>2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.com</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our previous expectation.From a full-year perspective, given the rate cut cycle has not yet started and liquidity remains tight, we suggest focusing on: 1) companies capable of boosting shareholder returns or maintaining decent returns, supported by solid fundamentals (strong competitive advantages, steady growth in core business, and stable profitability) and committed to enhancing shareholder returns (also depends on management's willingness), such as Alibaba, Tencent, and NetEase;2) companies whose new businesses have significant market potential and are poised to bring considerable capital gains in the long run, particularly from overseas expansion and AI-related initiatives, such as Pinduoduo, Tencent, Alibaba, and Trip.comContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

China

Tencent Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides Internet and mobile value-added services (VAS), online advertising, and e-commerce transactions. Tencent Holdings offers services to users worldwide.

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Tencent Holdings (ADR) (TCEHY US)

Tencent (700 HK) - Expect Solid Earnings Growth and Enhancing Shareholder Return in FY24

Tencent remains on track of margins expansion, underpinned by increased revenue contribution from high-margin businesses and operating leverage.

CMB International

Tencent (700 HK) - Unleashing Business Model Advantages

Tencent announced its 4Q23 results on 20 Mar: total revenue grew by 7% YoY to RMB155.2bn in 4Q23, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of...

CMB International

Tencent (700 HK) - Weixin Monetization Shows Continuous Progression

We expect Tencent will continue to deliver quality earnings growth in 4Q23E and 2024E, supported by its operating leverage capacity, improving...

CMB International

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

Internet - 1Q24 recap & our three stock-picking ideas

Year to date, the internet sector has pulled back after rapid rallies buoyed by improved sentiment and short-term fund inflows, in line with our...

CMB International

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