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Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

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<ul><li>The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic manufacturing given the incoming administration’s views on trade, and hopes for a ‘lighter’ regulatory approach boosting stocks.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 6.2% and the WTR Mass Retailers Index was up 4.7% for the week, while the WTR Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was flat and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 3%. The DJ30 and S&amp;P 500 were both up 5% and the R2K was up 8.2%.</li><li>How should we explain this divergence? The Commercial/Contract Index likely benefited from expectations for stronger GDP growth and better profits, both catalysts for corporate investment. </li></ul>

The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic manufacturing given the incoming administration’s views on trade, and hopes for a ‘lighter’ regulatory approach boosting stocks.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index was up 6.2% and the WTR Mass Retailers Index was up 4.7% for the week, while the WTR Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index was flat and the Home Goods Retailers Index was down 3%. The DJ30 and S&amp;P 500 were both up 5% and the R2K was up 8.2%.How should we explain this divergence? The Commercial/Contract Index likely benefited from expectations for stronger GDP growth and better profits, both catalysts for corporate investment. 

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly Post-Election Market Swings - November 11, 2024

<ul><li>A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.</li><li>Last week was the peak of earnings season and the outlook remains mooted.</li><li>Fewer companies beat expectations and when they did, the beat was less vigorous than average.</li></ul>

A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.Last week was the peak of earnings season and the outlook remains mooted.Fewer companies beat expectations and when they did, the beat was less vigorous than average.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - November 4, 2024

<ul><li>A mixed week for furniture and furnishings stocks as technology stocks once again drive the market.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-1.7%) and Home Goods Retailers Index (-3.9%) were both down for the week, while the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (+1.2%) was up.</li><li>The Mass Retailers Index was basically flat (+0.1%), while the three major indexes were all down modestly, with the S&amp;P 500 and DJ30 both down (-0.2%) and the R2K down (-0.8%).</li></ul>

A mixed week for furniture and furnishings stocks as technology stocks once again drive the market.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-1.7%) and Home Goods Retailers Index (-3.9%) were both down for the week, while the Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (+1.2%) was up.The Mass Retailers Index was basically flat (+0.1%), while the three major indexes were all down modestly, with the S&amp;P 500 and DJ30 both down (-0.2%) and the R2K down (-0.8%).

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - October 7, 2024

<ul><li>Stocks had a tough week on growth concerns, worries that Fed rate cuts might be more gradual than previously anticipated.</li><li>The Water Tower Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-3.9%) and Home Goods Retailers Index (-3.7%) outperformed the Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.7%) and all three major indexes (-4.2% to -5.5%).</li><li>The Mass Retailers Index had the week’s best performance (-2.9%).</li></ul>

Stocks had a tough week on growth concerns, worries that Fed rate cuts might be more gradual than previously anticipated.The Water Tower Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (-3.9%) and Home Goods Retailers Index (-3.7%) outperformed the Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-6.7%) and all three major indexes (-4.2% to -5.5%).The Mass Retailers Index had the week’s best performance (-2.9%).

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Industry Conditions Remain Challenged

<ul><li>Despite the spike in volatility earlier in the week, the markets were relatively calm by the end of the week, with mixed results for furniture/furnishings stocks.</li><li>The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-0.9%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (+2.2%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (+1.3%) all lagged the two large-cap market indexes (+3.0%), which outperformed the small-cap R2K index (+2.1%).</li><li>ARHS noted weaker-than-anticipated demand at the high end. CFO Dawn Phillipson said on the 2QFY24 investor call, “We experienced softening demand comps starting in May, and the negative trend accelerated into July”, with comps now expected to be down somewhere in the negative low- to mid-teens in 2HFY24.</li></ul>

Despite the spike in volatility earlier in the week, the markets were relatively calm by the end of the week, with mixed results for furniture/furnishings stocks.The Water Tower Research Commercial/Contract Furniture Index (-0.9%), Residential Manufacturers &amp; Suppliers Index (+2.2%), and Home Goods Retailers Index (+1.3%) all lagged the two large-cap market indexes (+3.0%), which outperformed the small-cap R2K index (+2.1%).ARHS noted weaker-than-anticipated demand at the high end. CFO Dawn Phillipson said on the 2QFY24 investor call, “We experienced softening demand comps starting in May, and the negative trend accelerated into July”, with comps now expected to be down somewhere in the negative low- to mid-teens in 2HFY24.

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Aug 12, 2204

United States

Tempur Sealy International Inc., through its primary subsidiary manufactures and markets foam mattresses, pillows, and miscellaneous products under its own and other brand names.

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Tempur Sealy International (TPX US)

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly Post-Election Market Swings - November 11, 2024

The markets moved sharply higher on Tuesday’s election results, with the ‘risk-on’ trade, lower uncertainty, enhanced prospects for domestic...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - November 4, 2024

A rough week for furniture and furnishings stocks as the earnings picture for the broader market continues to paint a cloudy picture.

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - October 7, 2024

The Mass Retailers Index was basically flat (+0.1%), while the three major indexes were all down modestly, with the S&P 500 and DJ30 both down (...

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Industry Conditions Remain Challenged

Stocks had a tough week on growth concerns, worries that Fed rate cuts might be more gradual than previously anticipated.

Water Tower Research

Furniture/Furnishings Weekly - Aug 12, 2204

Despite the spike in volatility earlier in the week, the markets were relatively calm by the end of the week, with mixed results for furniture...

Water Tower Research

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