Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs or 21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.</li>
<li>Once we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs on SPX and QQQ, it would mark the beginning of a pullback (a potentially rapid one, at that)</li>
<li>Next supports currently at 4983-5050 on the S&amp;P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24), but anything in the 4800-4930 SPX range is a buyable pullback.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs or 21-day EMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.
Once we do get 2-3 closes below the 20-day MAs on SPX and QQQ, it would mark the beginning of a pullback (a potentially rapid one, at that)
Next supports currently at 4983-5050 on the S&amp;P 500 and $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24), but anything in the 4800-4930 SPX range is a buyable pullback.


More Long-Term Breakouts in Energy, Utilities, Gold Miners; Bullish Outlook Intact

<ul>
<li>We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.</li>
<li>This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)</li>
<li>If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys</li>
</ul>


We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.
This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)
If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys


Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>2023 was the year of Uranium. Both the underlying commodity and most uranium equity-linked stories performed strongly.</li>
<li>2024 will be the story about copper and supply side issues becoming front and center as the "energy transition" benefits copper usage.</li>
<li>Buy a basket of junior copper companies with high M&amp;A likelihood such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/los-andes-copper-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35434:1" rel="noopener">Los Andes Copper Ltd (LA CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solaris-resources-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40176:1" rel="noopener">Solaris Resources (SLS CN),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arras-minerals-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40384" rel="noopener">Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/entree-resources-ltd-3aeeb68c-80d0-4ada-822e-898883fbb28e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26727:1" rel="noopener">Entree Resources (ETG CN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


2023 was the year of Uranium. Both the underlying commodity and most uranium equity-linked stories performed strongly.
2024 will be the story about copper and supply side issues becoming front and center as the "energy transition" benefits copper usage.
Buy a basket of junior copper companies with high M&amp;A likelihood such as Los Andes Copper Ltd (LA CN), Solaris Resources (SLS CN), Arras Minerals (ARK V EQUITY), and Entree Resources (ETG CN). 


2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Glencore plc's first half earnings landed softer than most of its shareholders would've liked.</li>
<li>We think a period of stability is near, but key indicators fail to suggest the miner is set for a steep recovery.</li>
<li>Mining powerhouse, <strong>Glencore plc (OTCPK:GLCNF)</strong> released its first-half earnings results on Tuesday and delivered a few surprises by doing so.</li>
</ul>


Glencore plc's first half earnings landed softer than most of its shareholders would've liked.
We think a period of stability is near, but key indicators fail to suggest the miner is set for a steep recovery.
Mining powerhouse, Glencore plc (OTCPK:GLCNF) released its first-half earnings results on Tuesday and delivered a few surprises by doing so.


Glencore's H1 Earnings: The Market's Not Impressed

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Amman Mineral Internasional / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.</li>
<li>Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.</li>
<li>The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.
Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.


Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

Canada

Teck Resources Ltd. is an integrated natural resource group with activities in mining, smelting, and refining.  The Company mines zinc, copper, molybdenum, gold, and metallurgical coal in the United States, Canada, Peru, and Chile. Teck also produces refined metals, specialized metal products, and other products.

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Teck Resources (TECK US)

More Long-Term Breakouts in Energy, Utilities, Gold Miners; Bullish Outlook Intact

More Long-Term Breakouts in Energy $XLE $RSPG, Utilities $XLU, and Gold Miners $GDX $GDXJ $AEM $RGLD $EGO $SA $IAG; Rally Broadening Out; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Glencore's H1 Earnings: The Market's Not Impressed

Mining powerhouse, Glencore plc (OTCPK:GLCNF) released its first-half earnings results on Tuesday and delivered a few surprises by doing so.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability,...

Arun George

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More Long-Term Breakouts in Energy, Utilities, Gold Miners; Bullish Outlook Intact

More Long-Term Breakouts in Energy $XLE $RSPG, Utilities $XLU, and Gold Miners $GDX $GDXJ $AEM $RGLD $EGO $SA $IAG; Rally Broadening Out; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

2024 High Conviction: Junior Copper Miners

​2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Glencore's H1 Earnings: The Market's Not Impressed

Mining powerhouse, Glencore plc (OTCPK:GLCNF) released its first-half earnings results on Tuesday and delivered a few surprises by doing so.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability,...

Arun George

2023 was a strong year for uranium in 2024 it could be copper's time to shine due to supply issues and the "energy transition." Consider investing...