External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral experts</li><li>The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sector</li><li>While PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this target</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We attended a solar conference organised by Mercom in New Delhi, which saw participation from notable players like MNRE, SECI, NTPC, Adani Green, Tata Power, Vikram Solar, Azure Power, Acme, Renewsys, Jackson EPC, Longi, and many sectoral expertsThe crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the industry is facing at present in the renewable sectorWhile PSUs maintained a positive stance on achievement of the targeted 280GW of solar capacity by FY30, a few unlisted EPC players and developer community were of the opinion that, with issues like the increase in module prices, rupee depreciation, duty imposition on imported cells/modules, land availability, and grid congestion, the country would only be able to achieve ~70% of this targetContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Power Sector - Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q1FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR145bn, led by strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra plant) and renewable business, which was offset by lower execution in the solar EPC segment</li><li>EBITDA, however, declined 28% YoY, led by higher coal prices, margin contraction across the solar EPC business due to increased module prices, and higher Q1FY22 base on favourable tariff order for Mundra</li><li>Accordingly, margin deteriorated to 11.6% in Q1FY23 vs 23.1% YoY</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

In Q1FY23, Tata Power’s consolidated revenue increased 43% YoY to INR145bn, led by strong operational performance across its regulated, standalone (including Mundra plant) and renewable business, which was offset by lower execution in the solar EPC segmentEBITDA, however, declined 28% YoY, led by higher coal prices, margin contraction across the solar EPC business due to increased module prices, and higher Q1FY22 base on favourable tariff order for MundraAccordingly, margin deteriorated to 11.6% in Q1FY23 vs 23.1% YoYContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tata Power - Higher Profitability in Coal SPV Offsets Losses at EPC

<div><div><div><ul><li>NTPC: Generation is expected to report a strong growth of 19.8% YoY to 79.8bus, led by strong demand recovery during peak summer and low YoY base.</li><li>Powergrid: Capitalisation is expected to be at INR25bn (-56% YoY on a high base), while Capex is expected to be INR18.5bn (+67% YoY) in Q1FY23.</li><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Tata Power: Revenue is expected to grow by 21.6% YoY to INR123bn, led by improved generation at the Mundra plant, higher power demand across its distribution circles and executions across its solar EPC segment.</span></li></ul></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

NTPC: Generation is expected to report a strong growth of 19.8% YoY to 79.8bus, led by strong demand recovery during peak summer and low YoY base.Powergrid: Capitalisation is expected to be at INR25bn (-56% YoY on a high base), while Capex is expected to be INR18.5bn (+67% YoY) in Q1FY23.Tata Power: Revenue is expected to grow by 21.6% YoY to INR123bn, led by improved generation at the Mundra plant, higher power demand across its distribution circles and executions across its solar EPC segment.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power - Better Realisation and Low YoY Base to Boost PAT

<div><div><div><ul><li>Hybrid structures to gain more traction: We expect India will add ~342GW of RES capacity over FY22-FY30, led by solar +280GW which represents a capex opportunity of INR11.2 trillion (debt funding of INR9.0trillion).</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Duty imposition and incentives to amplify domestic solar equipment industry: Duty imposition on cells/modules and other supportive schemes will provide the much- needed price parity for domestic manufacturers, to compete with Chinese players.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Green hydrogen—huge potential ahead: We believe that green hydrogen’s early adoption will take place across the fertilizer, refining, ammonia, marine, and steel industries.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Hybrid structures to gain more traction: We expect India will add ~342GW of RES capacity over FY22-FY30, led by solar +280GW which represents a capex opportunity of INR11.2 trillion (debt funding of INR9.0trillion).Duty imposition and incentives to amplify domestic solar equipment industry: Duty imposition on cells/modules and other supportive schemes will provide the much- needed price parity for domestic manufacturers, to compete with Chinese players.Green hydrogen—huge potential ahead: We believe that green hydrogen’s early adoption will take place across the fertilizer, refining, ammonia, marine, and steel industries.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Power - Shifting Energy Landscape: Grey to Green Gains Pace

<div><div><div><ul><li>Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,825/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Tata Power: During Q4FY22, Tata Power completed the merger of Mundra into its standalone business and also secured the extension of mining lease in KPC for 10 years.</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>Federal Bank: Federal Bank’s (FB) Q4FY22 earnings missed our estimates, largely on account of accelerated absorption of family pension expenses, but these were partly offset by multi-quarter low credit costs (20bps).</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Reliance Industries: Our ADD rating on Reliance Industries (RIL) with a price target of INR 2,825/sh is premised on (1) recovery in the O2C businesses; (2) continued EBITDA growth in the digital business, driven by improvement in ARPU, subscriber addition, and new revenue streams; and (3) potential for further value unlocking in the digital and retail businesses.Tata Power: During Q4FY22, Tata Power completed the merger of Mundra into its standalone business and also secured the extension of mining lease in KPC for 10 years.Federal Bank: Federal Bank’s (FB) Q4FY22 earnings missed our estimates, largely on account of accelerated absorption of family pension expenses, but these were partly offset by multi-quarter low credit costs (20bps).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, Tata Power, Federal Bank, DCB Bank

India

Adani Transmission Limited provides utility services. The Company offers electricity generation, transmission, and distribution services. Adani Transmission conducts its business globally.

Torrent Power Limited generates, transmits and distributes power. The Company also implements large power projects in India.

SJVN Limited develops, owns, and operates Hydro-electric power projects in India. The Company operates power generating plants in states that include Himachal Pradesh,

CESC Limited generates and supplies electricity in and around Kolkata. The Company also provides consultancy services for setting up power plants and for erecting transformers and electrical equipment.

India Grid Trust operates as an infrastructure investment trust. The Company invests, designs, finances, constructs, and maintains power transmission projects. India Grid Trust serves customers in India.

Reliance Infrastructure Ltd. generates, distributes, and transmits electricity. The Company also builds highways, roads, bridges, rapid transit systems, airports, and other projects. Reliance Infrastructure is a member of the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group.

JSW Energy Limited generates power by using Corex gas and coal. The Company, through its subsidiary, also operates lignite thermal power plant in Rajasthan and has a capacity to produce 3,140 megawatts of electricity. JSW is also present in the power trading and transmission businesses.

GAIL India Limited processes and distributes natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company is a Government of India undertaking.

NHPC Ltd is a hydro-power development company based in India. The Company has constructed approximately 11 hydro-power projects in India and abroad with a total installed capacity of 2554.35 MW.

Gujarat Gas Limited provides natural gas. The Company supplies piped natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Gujarat Gas serves customers in India.

CK Infrastructure Holdings Limited (CKI) operates as a real assets investment company. The Company invests in energy, transportation, water, and electricity generation sectors. CKI serves customers worldwide.

Tenaga Nasional Berhad transmits, distributes, and sells electricity under license issued by the Director General of Electricity Supply. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures, sells and repairs transformers and switchgears. Tenaga Nasional also provides project management and consultancy, engineering works and energy project development services.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP owns and operates infrastructure assets. The Company operates utilities, transport, energy, and communications infrastructure assets in North and South America, Australia, and Europe.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP US)

Alliant Energy Corporation provides public-utility service to customers in the Midwest.  The Company's utility subsidiaries serve electric, natural gas, and water customers in Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.

The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated generates electricity from hydroelectric, thermal, geothermal, and nuclear power sources.  The Company distributes electricity to Osaka and the surrounding Kansai area.  Kansai Electric also constructs and maintains electrical power facilities.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale SpA transmits electricity over the high-voltage and extra-high voltage grid in Italy.  Through subsidiaries, the Company owns a substantial share of the national electricity transmission grid.

Terna - Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TRN IM)

EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. generates, supplies and distributes electricity and the supply of gas in Portugal and Spain. Through subsidiaries, the Company is involved with electricity distribution, generation and supply in Brazil, and wind power promotion, construction and operations in Spain, Portugal, France and Belgium.

Fortum Oyj provides a full range of energy related products and services. The Company's activities cover the generation, distribution, and sale of electricity and heat and steam, as well as the operation of power plants and energy-related services. Fortum operates worldwide but mainly in Northern Europe.

Hydro One Limited is an electrical transmission and distribution utility in Ontario. The company delivers electricity safely and reliably to customers across the province, and to large industrial customers and municipal utilities. Hydro One owns and operates Ontario's transmission and low-voltage distribution network.

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobras) generates, transmits, and markets electricity through regional companies in Brazil.  The Company plans, finances, coordinates, and supervises expansion projects for its subsidiaries.

Tata Power Company Limited generates and supplies electricity in Mumbai and its suburbs. The Company also constructs and operates independent power plants as well as captive power plants for industrial concerns. Tata Power also provides various services related to electricity distribution, erects and commissions transmission lines, and is diversifying into the telecommunications market.

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Tata Power (TPWR IN)

Indian Power Sector - Renewable Solar Summit July 2022

The crux of the discussion was on opportunity, scalability, RPO obligations, measures of viability, funding opportunities, and the challenges the...

HDFC Securities

Tata Power - Higher Profitability in Coal SPV Offsets Losses at EPC

Profit improved significantly in the Indonesian coal business, led by high coal prices but earnings from Tata projects were impacted on higher...

HDFC Securities

Power - Better Realisation and Low YoY Base to Boost PAT

NTPC: Generation is expected to report a strong growth of 19.8% YoY to 79.8bus, led by strong demand recovery during peak summer and low YoY base.

HDFC Securities

Power - Shifting Energy Landscape: Grey to Green Gains Pace

Renewables are poised to play a huge role in India’s energy sector, with capacity increasing fourfold by 2030, aided by stringent Renewable Power...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Reliance Industries, Tata Power, Federal Bank, DCB Bank

RIL reported standalone revenue of INR 1,295bn (+61% YoY; +16% QoQ) and EBITDA of INR 146bn, (+43% YoY; +11% QoQ), 3% below our estimates in Q4.

HDFC Securities

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